The Prediction Markets

Duke vs NC St.: Spread

Closes
Nov 9, 2026, in 4 days
Traded
$12K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
4 h ago
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What the markets expect

Duke wins by over 1.5 points 62%

Next is Duke wins by over 2.5 points at 60%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Duke wins by over 1.5 points
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
Contract
Duke wins by over 1.5 points
Last price
62%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Duke wins by over 2.5 points
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
Contract
Duke wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
60%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Kalshi
Duke wins by over 3.5 points
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
Duke wins by over 3.5 points
Last price
54%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Duke wins by over 4.5 points
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Duke wins by over 4.5 points
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Duke wins by over 5.5 points
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Duke wins by over 5.5 points
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Duke wins by over 6.5 points
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Duke wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$267
Trade this on Kalshi
Duke wins by over 7.5 points
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
Duke wins by over 7.5 points
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$16
Trade this on Kalshi
Duke wins by over 9.5 points
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Duke wins by over 9.5 points
Last price
37%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$129
Trade this on Kalshi
NC St. wins by over 1.5 points
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
NC St. wins by over 1.5 points
Last price
33%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Duke wins by over 10.5 points
32.5%
Kalshi 32.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Duke wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
32.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 19 more outcomes
NC St. wins by over 2.5 points
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
NC St. wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
31%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Duke wins by over 11.5 points
30.5%
Kalshi 30.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Duke wins by over 11.5 points
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Duke wins by over 13.5 points
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Duke wins by over 13.5 points
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$70
Trade this on Kalshi
NC St. wins by over 3.5 points
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
NC St. wins by over 3.5 points
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
NC St. wins by over 4.5 points
24.5%
Kalshi 24.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
NC St. wins by over 4.5 points
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Duke wins by over 14.5 points
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Duke wins by over 14.5 points
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
NC St. wins by over 5.5 points
22.5%
Kalshi 22.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
NC St. wins by over 5.5 points
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Duke wins by over 16.5 points
21.5%
Kalshi 21.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Duke wins by over 16.5 points
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Trade this on Kalshi
NC St. wins by over 6.5 points
21.5%
Kalshi 21.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
NC St. wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Duke wins by over 17.5 points
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Duke wins by over 17.5 points
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Trade this on Kalshi
NC St. wins by over 7.5 points
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
NC St. wins by over 7.5 points
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Duke wins by over 20.5 points
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Duke wins by over 20.5 points
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
NC St. wins by over 9.5 points
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
NC St. wins by over 9.5 points
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
NC St. wins by over 10.5 points
12.5%
Kalshi 12.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
NC St. wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
NC St. wins by over 11.5 points
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
NC St. wins by over 11.5 points
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
NC St. wins by over 13.5 points
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
NC St. wins by over 13.5 points
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
NC St. wins by over 14.5 points
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
NC St. wins by over 14.5 points
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
NC St. wins by over 16.5 points
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
NC St. wins by over 16.5 points
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
NC St. wins by over 17.5 points
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
NC St. wins by over 17.5 points
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Duke wins by over 1.5 points
  • Duke wins by over 2.5 points
  • Duke wins by over 3.5 points

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Depth · top 8 levels

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Duke vs NC St.: Spread". Duke wins by over 1.5 points leads at 62%. Next is Duke wins by over 2.5 points at 60%. $12K has traded across 29 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 9, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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