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What the markets expect
1,200 or above 99.5%
Next is 1,240 or above at 99.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
1,200 or above99.5%99.5%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 4 h agoNo ask1,200 or above99.5%Kalshi 99.5%polled, 4 h ago
1,200 or above
99.5%
99.5%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 4 h ago
No ask
1,200 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,200 or above
- Last price
- 99.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
1,240 or above99.5%99.5%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 4 h agoNo ask1,240 or above99.5%Kalshi 99.5%polled, 4 h ago
1,240 or above
99.5%
99.5%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 4 h ago
No ask
1,240 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,240 or above
- Last price
- 99.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
1,280 or above99.5%99.5%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 4 h agoNo ask1,280 or above99.5%Kalshi 99.5%polled, 4 h ago
1,280 or above
99.5%
99.5%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 4 h ago
No ask
1,280 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,280 or above
- Last price
- 99.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
1,640 or above99.5%99.5%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 4 h agoNo ask1,640 or above99.5%Kalshi 99.5%polled, 4 h ago
1,640 or above
99.5%
99.5%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 4 h ago
No ask
1,640 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,640 or above
- Last price
- 99.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
1,680 or above99.5%99.5%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 4 h agoNo ask1,680 or above99.5%Kalshi 99.5%polled, 4 h ago
1,680 or above
99.5%
99.5%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 4 h ago
No ask
1,680 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,680 or above
- Last price
- 99.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
1,320 or above99%99%98¢ bid, — askpolled, 4 h agoNo ask1,320 or above99%Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h ago
1,320 or above
99%
99%
98¢ bid, — ask
polled, 4 h ago
No ask
1,320 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h ago
1,400 or above99%99%98¢ bid, — askpolled, 4 h agoNo ask1,400 or above99%Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h ago
1,400 or above
99%
99%
98¢ bid, — ask
polled, 4 h ago
No ask
1,400 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h ago
1,520 or above99%99%98¢ bid, — askpolled, 4 h agoNo ask1,520 or above99%Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h ago
1,520 or above
99%
99%
98¢ bid, — ask
polled, 4 h ago
No ask
1,520 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h ago
1,720 or above99%99%98¢ bid, — askpolled, 4 h agoNo ask1,720 or above99%Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h ago
1,720 or above
99%
99%
98¢ bid, — ask
polled, 4 h ago
No ask
1,720 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h ago
1,760 or above99%99%93¢ bid, — askpolled, 4 h agoNo ask1,760 or above99%Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h ago
1,760 or above
99%
99%
93¢ bid, — ask
polled, 4 h ago
No ask
1,760 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,760 or above
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
- Volume
- $3
Show 40 more outcomesHide 40 outcomes
1,800 or above99%99%97¢ bid, — askpolled, 4 h agoNo ask1,800 or above99%Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h ago
1,800 or above
99%
99%
97¢ bid, — ask
polled, 4 h ago
No ask
1,800 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,800 or above
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 97¢
- Volume
- $3
1,840 or above99%99%97¢ bid, — askpolled, 4 h agoNo ask1,840 or above99%Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h ago
1,840 or above
99%
99%
97¢ bid, — ask
polled, 4 h ago
No ask
1,840 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,840 or above
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 97¢
- Volume
- $3
1,880 or above99%99%97¢ bid, — askpolled, 4 h agoNo ask1,880 or above99%Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h ago
1,880 or above
99%
99%
97¢ bid, — ask
polled, 4 h ago
No ask
1,880 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,880 or above
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 97¢
- Volume
- $4K
1,960 or above99%99%98¢ bid, — askpolled, 4 h agoNo ask1,960 or above99%Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h ago
1,960 or above
99%
99%
98¢ bid, — ask
polled, 4 h ago
No ask
1,960 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,960 or above
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 98¢
- Volume
- $271
2,000 or above99%99%97¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 4 h ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)2,000 or above99%Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
2,000 or above
99%
99%
97¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
2,000 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,000 or above
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 97¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $3K
2,080 or above99%99%95¢ bid, — askpolled, 4 h agoNo ask2,080 or above99%Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h ago
2,080 or above
99%
99%
95¢ bid, — ask
polled, 4 h ago
No ask
2,080 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,080 or above
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 95¢
- Volume
- $698
1,360 or above98.5%98.5%97¢ bid, — askpolled, 4 h agoNo ask1,360 or above98.5%Kalshi 98.5%polled, 4 h ago
1,360 or above
98.5%
98.5%
97¢ bid, — ask
polled, 4 h ago
No ask
1,360 or above
98.5%
Kalshi 98.5%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,360 or above
- Last price
- 98.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 97¢
1,440 or above98.5%98.5%97¢ bid, — askpolled, 4 h agoNo ask1,440 or above98.5%Kalshi 98.5%polled, 4 h ago
1,440 or above
98.5%
98.5%
97¢ bid, — ask
polled, 4 h ago
No ask
1,440 or above
98.5%
Kalshi 98.5%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,440 or above
- Last price
- 98.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 97¢
1,480 or above98.5%98.5%97¢ bid, — askpolled, 4 h agoNo ask1,480 or above98.5%Kalshi 98.5%polled, 4 h ago
1,480 or above
98.5%
98.5%
97¢ bid, — ask
polled, 4 h ago
No ask
1,480 or above
98.5%
Kalshi 98.5%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,480 or above
- Last price
- 98.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 97¢
1,560 or above98.5%98.5%97¢ bid, — askpolled, 4 h agoNo ask1,560 or above98.5%Kalshi 98.5%polled, 4 h ago
1,560 or above
98.5%
98.5%
97¢ bid, — ask
polled, 4 h ago
No ask
1,560 or above
98.5%
Kalshi 98.5%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,560 or above
- Last price
- 98.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 97¢
1,600 or above98.5%98.5%97¢ bid, — askpolled, 4 h agoNo ask1,600 or above98.5%Kalshi 98.5%polled, 4 h ago
1,600 or above
98.5%
98.5%
97¢ bid, — ask
polled, 4 h ago
No ask
1,600 or above
98.5%
Kalshi 98.5%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,600 or above
- Last price
- 98.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 97¢
1,920 or above98%98%95¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 4 h ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)1,920 or above98%Kalshi 98%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
1,920 or above
98%
98%
95¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
1,920 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,920 or above
- Last price
- 98%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 95¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $6K
2,040 or above96%96%96¢ bid, — askpolled, 4 h agoNo ask2,040 or above96%Kalshi 96%polled, 4 h ago
2,040 or above
96%
96%
96¢ bid, — ask
polled, 4 h ago
No ask
2,040 or above
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,040 or above
- Last price
- 96%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 96¢
- Volume
- $767
2,200 or above96%96%94¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 4 h ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)2,200 or above96%Kalshi 96%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
2,200 or above
96%
96%
94¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
2,200 or above
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,200 or above
- Last price
- 96%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $20K
2,120 or above95%95%94¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 4 h ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)2,120 or above95%Kalshi 95%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
2,120 or above
95%
95%
94¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
2,120 or above
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,120 or above
- Last price
- 95%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $1K
2,160 or above95%95%95¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 4 h ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)2,160 or above95%Kalshi 95%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
2,160 or above
95%
95%
95¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
2,160 or above
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,160 or above
- Last price
- 95%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 95¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $4K
2,240 or above95%95%95¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, 4 h ago96¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $104 (1.04x)2,240 or above95%Kalshi 95%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
2,240 or above
95%
95%
95¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
96¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
2,240 or above
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,240 or above
- Last price
- 95%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 95¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $10K
2,280 or above91%91%91¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, 4 h ago92¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $109 (1.09x)2,280 or above91%Kalshi 91%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
2,280 or above
91%
91%
91¢ bid, 92¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
92¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
2,280 or above
91%
Kalshi 91%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,280 or above
- Last price
- 91%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
- Volume
- $10K
2,320 or above85%85%84¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, 4 h ago86¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $116 (1.16x)2,320 or above85%Kalshi 85%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
2,320 or above
85%
85%
84¢ bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
86¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
2,320 or above
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,320 or above
- Last price
- 85%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 84¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
- Volume
- $3K
2,360 or above75%75%75¢ bid, 76¢ askpolled, 4 h ago76¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $132 (1.32x)2,360 or above75%Kalshi 75%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
2,360 or above
75%
75%
75¢ bid, 76¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
76¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $132 (1.32x)
2,360 or above
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,360 or above
- Last price
- 75%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 76¢
- Sell Yes
- 75¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $132 (1.32x)
- Volume
- $7K
2,400 or above62%62%62¢ bid, 63¢ askpolled, 4 h ago63¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $159 (1.59x)2,400 or above62%Kalshi 62%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
2,400 or above
62%
62%
62¢ bid, 63¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
63¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $159 (1.59x)
2,400 or above
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,400 or above
- Last price
- 62%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 63¢
- Sell Yes
- 62¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $159 (1.59x)
- Volume
- $5K
2,440 or above46%46%46¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 4 h ago48¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $208 (2.08x)2,440 or above46%Kalshi 46%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
2,440 or above
46%
46%
46¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
48¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
2,440 or above
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,440 or above
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
- Volume
- $2K
2,480 or above31%31%31¢ bid, 33¢ askpolled, 4 h ago33¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $303 (3.03x)2,480 or above31%Kalshi 31%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
2,480 or above
31%
31%
31¢ bid, 33¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
33¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $303 (3.03x)
2,480 or above
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,480 or above
- Last price
- 31%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 33¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $303 (3.03x)
- Volume
- $4K
2,520 or above19%19%19¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 4 h ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)2,520 or above19%Kalshi 19%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
2,520 or above
19%
19%
19¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
2,520 or above
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,520 or above
- Last price
- 19%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $931
2,560 or above11%11%11¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 4 h ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)2,560 or above11%Kalshi 11%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
2,560 or above
11%
11%
11¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
2,560 or above
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,560 or above
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $206
2,600 or above6%6%6¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 4 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)2,600 or above6%Kalshi 6%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
2,600 or above
6%
6%
6¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
2,600 or above
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,600 or above
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $1
2,640 or above3%3%3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 4 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)2,640 or above3%Kalshi 3%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
2,640 or above
3%
3%
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
2,640 or above
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,640 or above
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
2,720 or above2%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)2,720 or above2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
2,720 or above
2%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
2,720 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,720 or above
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $30K
2,880 or above1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 4 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)2,880 or above1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
2,880 or above
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
2,880 or above
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,880 or above
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
2,920 or above1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 4 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)2,920 or above1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
2,920 or above
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
2,920 or above
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,920 or above
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
2,960 or above1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 4 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)2,960 or above1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
2,960 or above
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
2,960 or above
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,960 or above
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
3,040 or above1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 4 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)3,040 or above1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
3,040 or above
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
3,040 or above
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,040 or above
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
3,080 or above1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 4 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)3,080 or above1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
3,080 or above
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
3,080 or above
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,080 or above
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
3,160 or above1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 4 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)3,160 or above1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
3,160 or above
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
3,160 or above
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,160 or above
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
2,680 or above1%1%1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 4 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)2,680 or above1%Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
2,680 or above
1%
1%
1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
2,680 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,680 or above
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $31K
3,120 or above1%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)3,120 or above1%Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
3,120 or above
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
3,120 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,120 or above
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
2,760 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 4 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)2,760 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,760 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,760 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,760 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
2,800 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 4 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)2,800 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,800 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,800 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,800 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
2,840 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 4 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)2,840 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,840 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,840 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,840 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
3,000 or above0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 4 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)3,000 or above0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,000 or above
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,000 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,000 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 1,200 or above
- 1,240 or above
- 1,280 or above
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "ETH price on Nov 6, 2026 at 5pm EST?". 1,200 or above leads at 99.5%. Next is 1,240 or above at 99.5%. $147K has traded across 50 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 6, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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