The Prediction Markets

ETH price on Oct 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Closes
Oct 22, 2026, in 1 hour
Traded
$45K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
3 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

1,650 or above 99.5%

Next is 1,690 or above at 99.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
1,650 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
1,650 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
1,690 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
1,690 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
1,730 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
1,730 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
1,770 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
1,770 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
1,810 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
1,810 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
1,850 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
1,850 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
1,890 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
1,890 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
1,930 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
1,930 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
1,970 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
1,970 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
2,010 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
2,010 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 30 more outcomes
2,050 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
2,050 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
2,090 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
2,090 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
2,130 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 3 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
2,130 or above
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Trade this on Kalshi
2,170 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 3 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
2,170 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Trade this on Kalshi
2,210 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 3 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
2,210 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Trade this on Kalshi
2,250 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 3 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
2,250 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
2,330 or above
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 3 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
2,330 or above
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
2,290 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 3 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
2,290 or above
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$48
Trade this on Kalshi
2,370 or above
82%
Kalshi 82%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
2,370 or above
Last price
82%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
2,410 or above
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
2,410 or above
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
2,490 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
2,490 or above
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
2,450 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
2,450 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
2,530 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
2,530 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
2,570 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
2,570 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
2,610 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
2,610 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
2,650 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
2,650 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
2,690 or above
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
2,690 or above
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
2,730 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
2,730 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
2,770 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
2,770 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
2,810 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
2,810 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
2,850 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
2,850 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
2,890 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
2,890 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
2,930 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
2,930 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
2,970 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
2,970 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
3,010 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
3,010 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
3,050 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
3,050 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
3,090 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
3,090 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
3,130 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
3,130 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
3,170 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
3,170 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
3,210 or above
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
3,210 or above
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 1,650 or above
  • 1,690 or above
  • 1,730 or above

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "ETH price on Oct 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT?". 1,650 or above leads at 99.5%. Next is 1,690 or above at 99.5%. $45K has traded across 40 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 22, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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