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What the markets expect
1,400 or above 99.5%
Next is 1,440 or above at 99.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
1,400 or above99.5%99.5%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 h agoNo ask1,400 or above99.5%Kalshi 99.5%polled, 1 h ago
1,400 or above
99.5%
99.5%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 h ago
No ask
1,400 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 1 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,400 or above
- Last price
- 99.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
1,440 or above99.5%99.5%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 h agoNo ask1,440 or above99.5%Kalshi 99.5%polled, 1 h ago
1,440 or above
99.5%
99.5%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 h ago
No ask
1,440 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 1 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,440 or above
- Last price
- 99.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
1,480 or above99.5%99.5%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 h agoNo ask1,480 or above99.5%Kalshi 99.5%polled, 1 h ago
1,480 or above
99.5%
99.5%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 h ago
No ask
1,480 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 1 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,480 or above
- Last price
- 99.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
1,520 or above99.5%99.5%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 h agoNo ask1,520 or above99.5%Kalshi 99.5%polled, 1 h ago
1,520 or above
99.5%
99.5%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 h ago
No ask
1,520 or above
99.5%
Kalshi 99.5%polled, 1 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,520 or above
- Last price
- 99.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
1,560 or above98.5%98.5%97¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 h agoNo ask1,560 or above98.5%Kalshi 98.5%polled, 1 h ago
1,560 or above
98.5%
98.5%
97¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 h ago
No ask
1,560 or above
98.5%
Kalshi 98.5%polled, 1 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,560 or above
- Last price
- 98.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 97¢
1,600 or above98.5%98.5%97¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 h agoNo ask1,600 or above98.5%Kalshi 98.5%polled, 1 h ago
1,600 or above
98.5%
98.5%
97¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 h ago
No ask
1,600 or above
98.5%
Kalshi 98.5%polled, 1 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,600 or above
- Last price
- 98.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 97¢
1,640 or above98.5%98.5%97¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 h agoNo ask1,640 or above98.5%Kalshi 98.5%polled, 1 h ago
1,640 or above
98.5%
98.5%
97¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 h ago
No ask
1,640 or above
98.5%
Kalshi 98.5%polled, 1 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,640 or above
- Last price
- 98.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 97¢
1,680 or above98.5%98.5%97¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 h agoNo ask1,680 or above98.5%Kalshi 98.5%polled, 1 h ago
1,680 or above
98.5%
98.5%
97¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 h ago
No ask
1,680 or above
98.5%
Kalshi 98.5%polled, 1 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,680 or above
- Last price
- 98.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 97¢
1,720 or above98%98%96¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 h agoNo ask1,720 or above98%Kalshi 98%polled, 1 h ago
1,720 or above
98%
98%
96¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 h ago
No ask
1,720 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 1 h ago
1,760 or above98%98%96¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 h agoNo ask1,760 or above98%Kalshi 98%polled, 1 h ago
1,760 or above
98%
98%
96¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 h ago
No ask
1,760 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 1 h ago
Show 40 more outcomesHide 40 outcomes
1,800 or above98%98%96¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 h agoNo ask1,800 or above98%Kalshi 98%polled, 1 h ago
1,800 or above
98%
98%
96¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 h ago
No ask
1,800 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 1 h ago
1,840 or above98%98%96¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 h agoNo ask1,840 or above98%Kalshi 98%polled, 1 h ago
1,840 or above
98%
98%
96¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 h ago
No ask
1,840 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 1 h ago
1,880 or above98%98%96¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 h agoNo ask1,880 or above98%Kalshi 98%polled, 1 h ago
1,880 or above
98%
98%
96¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 h ago
No ask
1,880 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 1 h ago
1,920 or above98%98%96¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 h agoNo ask1,920 or above98%Kalshi 98%polled, 1 h ago
1,920 or above
98%
98%
96¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 h ago
No ask
1,920 or above
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 1 h ago
1,960 or above97.5%97.5%96¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 h ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)1,960 or above97.5%Kalshi 97.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
1,960 or above
97.5%
97.5%
96¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
1,960 or above
97.5%
Kalshi 97.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,960 or above
- Last price
- 97.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 96¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
2,000 or above97.5%97.5%96¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 h ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)2,000 or above97.5%Kalshi 97.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
2,000 or above
97.5%
97.5%
96¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
2,000 or above
97.5%
Kalshi 97.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,000 or above
- Last price
- 97.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 96¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
2,080 or above96%96%93¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, 1 h ago96¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $104 (1.04x)2,080 or above96%Kalshi 96%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
2,080 or above
96%
96%
93¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
96¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
2,080 or above
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,080 or above
- Last price
- 96%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $187
2,040 or above95%95%95¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 1 h ago97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)2,040 or above95%Kalshi 95%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
2,040 or above
95%
95%
95¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
2,040 or above
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,040 or above
- Last price
- 95%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 95¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
2,120 or above94%94%91¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 1 h ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)2,120 or above94%Kalshi 94%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
2,120 or above
94%
94%
91¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
2,120 or above
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,120 or above
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
- Volume
- $19
2,160 or above89.5%89.5%89¢ bid, 90¢ askpolled, 1 h ago90¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $111 (1.11x)2,160 or above89.5%Kalshi 89.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
2,160 or above
89.5%
89.5%
89¢ bid, 90¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
90¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
2,160 or above
89.5%
Kalshi 89.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,160 or above
- Last price
- 89.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- 89¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
2,200 or above82%82%81¢ bid, 82¢ askpolled, 1 h ago82¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $122 (1.22x)2,200 or above82%Kalshi 82%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
2,200 or above
82%
82%
81¢ bid, 82¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
82¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $122 (1.22x)
2,200 or above
82%
Kalshi 82%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,200 or above
- Last price
- 82%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 82¢
- Sell Yes
- 81¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $122 (1.22x)
- Volume
- $94
2,240 or above77%77%76¢ bid, 77¢ askpolled, 1 h ago77¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $130 (1.30x)2,240 or above77%Kalshi 77%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
2,240 or above
77%
77%
76¢ bid, 77¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
77¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $130 (1.30x)
2,240 or above
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,240 or above
- Last price
- 77%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 77¢
- Sell Yes
- 76¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $130 (1.30x)
2,280 or above66%66%66¢ bid, 68¢ askpolled, 1 h ago68¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $147 (1.47x)2,280 or above66%Kalshi 66%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
2,280 or above
66%
66%
66¢ bid, 68¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
68¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $147 (1.47x)
2,280 or above
66%
Kalshi 66%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,280 or above
- Last price
- 66%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 68¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $147 (1.47x)
- Volume
- $11
2,320 or above56%56%54¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 1 h ago56¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $179 (1.79x)2,320 or above56%Kalshi 56%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
2,320 or above
56%
56%
54¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
56¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
2,320 or above
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,320 or above
- Last price
- 56%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 54¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
- Volume
- $2
2,360 or above47%47%45¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 1 h ago47¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $213 (2.13x)2,360 or above47%Kalshi 47%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
2,360 or above
47%
47%
45¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
47¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
2,360 or above
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,360 or above
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 45¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
- Volume
- $1K
2,400 or above37%37%36¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 1 h ago37¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $270 (2.70x)2,400 or above37%Kalshi 37%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
2,400 or above
37%
37%
36¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
37¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
2,400 or above
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,400 or above
- Last price
- 37%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
- Volume
- $300
2,440 or above29%29%28¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 1 h ago29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)2,440 or above29%Kalshi 29%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
2,440 or above
29%
29%
28¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
2,440 or above
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,440 or above
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
- Volume
- $426
2,480 or above21%21%20¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 1 h ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)2,480 or above21%Kalshi 21%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
2,480 or above
21%
21%
20¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
2,480 or above
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,480 or above
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $191
2,520 or above13%13%12¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 1 h ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)2,520 or above13%Kalshi 13%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
2,520 or above
13%
13%
12¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
2,520 or above
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,520 or above
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $210
2,560 or above6%6%1¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)2,560 or above6%Kalshi 6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
2,560 or above
6%
6%
1¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
2,560 or above
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,560 or above
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $24
2,640 or above6%6%2¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 1 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)2,640 or above6%Kalshi 6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
2,640 or above
6%
6%
2¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
2,640 or above
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,640 or above
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $55
2,600 or above4%4%4¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 1 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)2,600 or above4%Kalshi 4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
2,600 or above
4%
4%
4¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
2,600 or above
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,600 or above
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $378
2,680 or above4%4%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 1 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)2,680 or above4%Kalshi 4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
2,680 or above
4%
4%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
2,680 or above
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,680 or above
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $22
2,720 or above4%4%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 1 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)2,720 or above4%Kalshi 4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
2,720 or above
4%
4%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
2,720 or above
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,720 or above
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $1
2,800 or above4%4%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 1 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)2,800 or above4%Kalshi 4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
2,800 or above
4%
4%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
2,800 or above
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,800 or above
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $70
2,840 or above2%2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 1 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)2,840 or above2%Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
2,840 or above
2%
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
2,840 or above
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,840 or above
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
2,760 or above1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 1 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)2,760 or above1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
2,760 or above
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
2,760 or above
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,760 or above
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
2,880 or above1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 1 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)2,880 or above1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
2,880 or above
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
2,880 or above
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,880 or above
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
2,920 or above1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 1 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)2,920 or above1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
2,920 or above
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
2,920 or above
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,920 or above
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
2,960 or above1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 1 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)2,960 or above1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
2,960 or above
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
2,960 or above
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,960 or above
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
3,000 or above1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 1 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)3,000 or above1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
3,000 or above
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
3,000 or above
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,000 or above
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
3,040 or above1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 1 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)3,040 or above1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
3,040 or above
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
3,040 or above
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,040 or above
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
3,080 or above1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 1 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)3,080 or above1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
3,080 or above
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
3,080 or above
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,080 or above
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
3,120 or above1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 1 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)3,120 or above1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
3,120 or above
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
3,120 or above
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,120 or above
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
3,160 or above1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 1 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)3,160 or above1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
3,160 or above
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
3,160 or above
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,160 or above
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
3,200 or above1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 1 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)3,200 or above1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
3,200 or above
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
3,200 or above
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,200 or above
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
3,240 or above1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 1 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)3,240 or above1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
3,240 or above
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
3,240 or above
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,240 or above
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
3,280 or above1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 1 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)3,280 or above1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
3,280 or above
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
3,280 or above
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,280 or above
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
3,320 or above1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 1 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)3,320 or above1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
3,320 or above
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
3,320 or above
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,320 or above
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
3,360 or above1.5%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 1 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)3,360 or above1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
3,360 or above
1.5%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
3,360 or above
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,360 or above
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 1,400 or above
- 1,440 or above
- 1,480 or above
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "ETH price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?". 1,400 or above leads at 99.5%. Next is 1,440 or above at 99.5%. $3K has traded across 50 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 30, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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