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Best ask
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What the markets expect
2,370 to 2,409.99 21.2%
Next is 2,330 to 2,369.99 at 16.4%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
2,370 to 2,409.9921.2%26%21.2% fair26¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 53s ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)2,370 to 2,409.9921.2%Kalshi 26%(21.2% fair)polled, 53s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
2,370 to 2,409.99
21.2%
26%
21.2% fair
26¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
2,370 to 2,409.99
21.2%
Kalshi 26%(21.2% fair)polled, 53s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,370 to 2,409.99
- Last price
- 26%
- Fair, margin removed
- 21.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $513
2,330 to 2,369.9916.4%20%16.3% fair20¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 53s ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)2,330 to 2,369.9916.4%Kalshi 20%(16.3% fair)polled, 53s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
2,330 to 2,369.99
16.4%
20%
16.3% fair
20¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
2,330 to 2,369.99
16.4%
Kalshi 20%(16.3% fair)polled, 53s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,330 to 2,369.99
- Last price
- 20%
- Fair, margin removed
- 16.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $684
2,410 to 2,449.9916.3%20%16.3% fair16¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 53s ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)2,410 to 2,449.9916.3%Kalshi 20%(16.3% fair)polled, 53s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
2,410 to 2,449.99
16.3%
20%
16.3% fair
16¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
2,410 to 2,449.99
16.3%
Kalshi 20%(16.3% fair)polled, 53s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,410 to 2,449.99
- Last price
- 20%
- Fair, margin removed
- 16.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
- Volume
- $154
2,290 to 2,329.999%11%9% fair11¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 53s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)2,290 to 2,329.999%Kalshi 11%(9% fair)polled, 53s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
2,290 to 2,329.99
9%
11%
9% fair
11¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
2,290 to 2,329.99
9%
Kalshi 11%(9% fair)polled, 53s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,290 to 2,329.99
- Last price
- 11%
- Fair, margin removed
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
2,450 to 2,489.998.2%10%8.2% fair6¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 53s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)2,450 to 2,489.998.2%Kalshi 10%(8.2% fair)polled, 53s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
2,450 to 2,489.99
8.2%
10%
8.2% fair
6¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
2,450 to 2,489.99
8.2%
Kalshi 10%(8.2% fair)polled, 53s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,450 to 2,489.99
- Last price
- 10%
- Fair, margin removed
- 8.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $274
2,490 to 2,529.993.3%4%3.3% fair1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 53s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)2,490 to 2,529.993.3%Kalshi 4%(3.3% fair)polled, 53s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
2,490 to 2,529.99
3.3%
4%
3.3% fair
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
2,490 to 2,529.99
3.3%
Kalshi 4%(3.3% fair)polled, 53s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,490 to 2,529.99
- Last price
- 4%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $20K
2,250 to 2,289.992.5%3%2.4% fair2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 53s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)2,250 to 2,289.992.5%Kalshi 3%(2.4% fair)polled, 53s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
2,250 to 2,289.99
2.5%
3%
2.4% fair
2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
2,250 to 2,289.99
2.5%
Kalshi 3%(2.4% fair)polled, 53s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,250 to 2,289.99
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
2,530 to 2,569.992.5%3%2.4% fair— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 53s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)2,530 to 2,569.992.5%Kalshi 3%(2.4% fair)polled, 53s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
2,530 to 2,569.99
2.5%
3%
2.4% fair
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
2,530 to 2,569.99
2.5%
Kalshi 3%(2.4% fair)polled, 53s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,530 to 2,569.99
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $50
2,170 to 2,209.991.7%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 53s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)2,170 to 2,209.991.7%Kalshi 2%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
2,170 to 2,209.99
1.7%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
2,170 to 2,209.99
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,170 to 2,209.99
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $241
2,210 to 2,249.991.7%2%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 53s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)2,210 to 2,249.991.7%Kalshi 2%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
2,210 to 2,249.99
1.7%
2%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
2,210 to 2,249.99
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,210 to 2,249.99
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $2K
Show 40 more outcomesHide 40 outcomes
1,490 to 1,529.990.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)1,490 to 1,529.990.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,490 to 1,529.99
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,490 to 1,529.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,490 to 1,529.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $66
2,090 to 2,129.990.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)2,090 to 2,129.990.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,090 to 2,129.99
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,090 to 2,129.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,090 to 2,129.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $25
2,570 to 2,609.990.8%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 53s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)2,570 to 2,609.990.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
2,570 to 2,609.99
0.8%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
2,570 to 2,609.99
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,570 to 2,609.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
1,489.99 or below0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)1,489.99 or below0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,489.99 or below
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,489.99 or below
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,489.99 or below
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
1,530 to 1,569.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)1,530 to 1,569.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,530 to 1,569.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,530 to 1,569.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,530 to 1,569.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
1,570 to 1,609.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)1,570 to 1,609.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,570 to 1,609.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,570 to 1,609.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,570 to 1,609.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
1,610 to 1,649.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)1,610 to 1,649.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,610 to 1,649.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,610 to 1,649.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,610 to 1,649.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
1,650 to 1,689.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)1,650 to 1,689.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,650 to 1,689.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,650 to 1,689.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,650 to 1,689.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
1,690 to 1,729.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)1,690 to 1,729.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,690 to 1,729.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,690 to 1,729.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,690 to 1,729.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
1,730 to 1,769.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)1,730 to 1,769.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,730 to 1,769.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,730 to 1,769.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,730 to 1,769.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
1,770 to 1,809.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)1,770 to 1,809.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,770 to 1,809.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,770 to 1,809.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,770 to 1,809.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
1,810 to 1,849.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)1,810 to 1,849.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,810 to 1,849.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,810 to 1,849.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,810 to 1,849.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
1,850 to 1,889.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)1,850 to 1,889.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,850 to 1,889.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,850 to 1,889.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,850 to 1,889.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
1,890 to 1,929.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)1,890 to 1,929.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,890 to 1,929.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,890 to 1,929.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,890 to 1,929.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
1,930 to 1,969.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)1,930 to 1,969.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,930 to 1,969.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,930 to 1,969.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,930 to 1,969.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
1,970 to 2,009.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)1,970 to 2,009.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,970 to 2,009.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,970 to 2,009.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,970 to 2,009.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
2,010 to 2,049.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)2,010 to 2,049.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,010 to 2,049.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,010 to 2,049.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,010 to 2,049.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
2,050 to 2,089.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)2,050 to 2,089.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,050 to 2,089.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,050 to 2,089.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,050 to 2,089.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
2,130 to 2,169.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)2,130 to 2,169.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,130 to 2,169.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,130 to 2,169.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,130 to 2,169.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
2,610 to 2,649.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)2,610 to 2,649.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,610 to 2,649.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,610 to 2,649.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,610 to 2,649.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
2,650 to 2,689.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)2,650 to 2,689.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,650 to 2,689.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,650 to 2,689.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,650 to 2,689.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
2,690 to 2,729.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)2,690 to 2,729.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,690 to 2,729.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,690 to 2,729.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,690 to 2,729.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
2,730 to 2,769.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)2,730 to 2,769.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,730 to 2,769.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,730 to 2,769.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,730 to 2,769.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
2,770 to 2,809.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)2,770 to 2,809.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,770 to 2,809.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,770 to 2,809.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,770 to 2,809.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
2,810 to 2,849.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)2,810 to 2,849.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,810 to 2,849.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,810 to 2,849.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,810 to 2,849.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
2,850 to 2,889.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)2,850 to 2,889.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,850 to 2,889.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,850 to 2,889.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,850 to 2,889.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
2,890 to 2,929.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)2,890 to 2,929.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,890 to 2,929.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,890 to 2,929.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,890 to 2,929.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
2,930 to 2,969.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)2,930 to 2,969.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,930 to 2,969.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,930 to 2,969.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,930 to 2,969.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
2,970 to 3,009.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)2,970 to 3,009.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,970 to 3,009.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,970 to 3,009.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,970 to 3,009.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
3,010 to 3,049.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)3,010 to 3,049.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,010 to 3,049.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,010 to 3,049.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,010 to 3,049.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
3,050 to 3,089.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)3,050 to 3,089.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,050 to 3,089.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,050 to 3,089.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,050 to 3,089.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
3,090 to 3,129.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)3,090 to 3,129.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,090 to 3,129.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,090 to 3,129.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,090 to 3,129.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
3,130 to 3,169.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)3,130 to 3,169.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,130 to 3,169.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,130 to 3,169.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,130 to 3,169.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
3,170 to 3,209.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)3,170 to 3,209.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,170 to 3,209.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,170 to 3,209.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,170 to 3,209.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
3,210 to 3,249.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)3,210 to 3,249.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,210 to 3,249.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,210 to 3,249.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,210 to 3,249.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
3,250 to 3,289.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)3,250 to 3,289.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,250 to 3,289.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,250 to 3,289.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,250 to 3,289.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
3,290 to 3,329.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)3,290 to 3,329.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,290 to 3,329.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,290 to 3,329.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,290 to 3,329.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
3,330 to 3,369.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)3,330 to 3,369.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,330 to 3,369.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,330 to 3,369.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,330 to 3,369.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
3,370 to 3,409.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)3,370 to 3,409.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,370 to 3,409.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,370 to 3,409.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,370 to 3,409.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
3,410 or above0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 53s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)3,410 or above0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,410 or above
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 53s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,410 or above
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,410 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 2,370 to 2,409.99
- 2,330 to 2,369.99
- 2,410 to 2,449.99
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "ETH price range on Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?". 2,370 to 2,409.99 leads at 21.2%. Next is 2,330 to 2,369.99 at 16.4%. $24K has traded across 50 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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