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Best ask
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What the markets expect
2,360 to 2,399.99 42.3%
Next is 2,320 to 2,359.99 at 14.1%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 57 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
2,360 to 2,399.9942.3%60%42.3% fair58¢ bid, 68¢ askpolled, 57 min ago68¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $147 (1.47x)2,360 to 2,399.9942.3%Kalshi 60%(42.3% fair)polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
2,360 to 2,399.99
42.3%
60%
42.3% fair
58¢ bid, 68¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
68¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $147 (1.47x)
2,360 to 2,399.99
42.3%
Kalshi 60%(42.3% fair)polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,360 to 2,399.99
- Last price
- 60%
- Fair, margin removed
- 42.3%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 68¢
- Sell Yes
- 58¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $147 (1.47x)
- Volume
- $5K
2,320 to 2,359.9914.1%20%14.1% fair15¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 57 min ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)2,320 to 2,359.9914.1%Kalshi 20%(14.1% fair)polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
2,320 to 2,359.99
14.1%
20%
14.1% fair
15¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
2,320 to 2,359.99
14.1%
Kalshi 20%(14.1% fair)polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,320 to 2,359.99
- Last price
- 20%
- Fair, margin removed
- 14.1%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $0
2,400 to 2,439.9911.3%16%11.3% fair7¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 57 min ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)2,400 to 2,439.9911.3%Kalshi 16%(11.3% fair)polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
2,400 to 2,439.99
11.3%
16%
11.3% fair
7¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
2,400 to 2,439.99
11.3%
Kalshi 16%(11.3% fair)polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,400 to 2,439.99
- Last price
- 16%
- Fair, margin removed
- 11.3%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
2,280 to 2,319.993.5%5%3.5% fair3¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 57 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)2,280 to 2,319.993.5%Kalshi 5%(3.5% fair)polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
2,280 to 2,319.99
3.5%
5%
3.5% fair
3¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
2,280 to 2,319.99
3.5%
Kalshi 5%(3.5% fair)polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,280 to 2,319.99
- Last price
- 5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
2,440 to 2,479.992.8%4%2.8% fair— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 57 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)2,440 to 2,479.992.8%Kalshi 4%(2.8% fair)polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
2,440 to 2,479.99
2.8%
4%
2.8% fair
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
2,440 to 2,479.99
2.8%
Kalshi 4%(2.8% fair)polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,440 to 2,479.99
- Last price
- 4%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.8%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $24
2,480 to 2,519.992.1%3%2.1% fair— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 57 min ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)2,480 to 2,519.992.1%Kalshi 3%(2.1% fair)polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
2,480 to 2,519.99
2.1%
3%
2.1% fair
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
2,480 to 2,519.99
2.1%
Kalshi 3%(2.1% fair)polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,480 to 2,519.99
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.1%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $100
2,080 to 2,119.991.4%2%1.4% fair— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 57 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)2,080 to 2,119.991.4%Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
2,080 to 2,119.99
1.4%
2%
1.4% fair
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
2,080 to 2,119.99
1.4%
Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,080 to 2,119.99
- Last price
- 2%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
2,120 to 2,159.991.4%2%1.4% fair— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 57 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)2,120 to 2,159.991.4%Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
2,120 to 2,159.99
1.4%
2%
1.4% fair
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
2,120 to 2,159.99
1.4%
Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,120 to 2,159.99
- Last price
- 2%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
2,160 to 2,199.991.4%2%1.4% fair— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 57 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)2,160 to 2,199.991.4%Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
2,160 to 2,199.99
1.4%
2%
1.4% fair
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
2,160 to 2,199.99
1.4%
Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,160 to 2,199.99
- Last price
- 2%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
2,200 to 2,239.991.4%2%1.4% fair— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 57 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)2,200 to 2,239.991.4%Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
2,200 to 2,239.99
1.4%
2%
1.4% fair
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
2,200 to 2,239.99
1.4%
Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,200 to 2,239.99
- Last price
- 2%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Show 30 more outcomesHide 30 outcomes
2,240 to 2,279.991.4%2%1.4% fair— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 57 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)2,240 to 2,279.991.4%Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
2,240 to 2,279.99
1.4%
2%
1.4% fair
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
2,240 to 2,279.99
1.4%
Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,240 to 2,279.99
- Last price
- 2%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
2,520 to 2,559.991.4%2%1.4% fair— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 57 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)2,520 to 2,559.991.4%Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
2,520 to 2,559.99
1.4%
2%
1.4% fair
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
2,520 to 2,559.99
1.4%
Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,520 to 2,559.99
- Last price
- 2%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
2,560 to 2,599.991.4%2%1.4% fair— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 57 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)2,560 to 2,599.991.4%Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
2,560 to 2,599.99
1.4%
2%
1.4% fair
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
2,560 to 2,599.99
1.4%
Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,560 to 2,599.99
- Last price
- 2%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
2,640 to 2,679.991.4%2%1.4% fair— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 57 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)2,640 to 2,679.991.4%Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
2,640 to 2,679.99
1.4%
2%
1.4% fair
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
2,640 to 2,679.99
1.4%
Kalshi 2%(1.4% fair)polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,640 to 2,679.99
- Last price
- 2%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
2,600 to 2,639.991.1%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 57 min ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)2,600 to 2,639.991.1%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
2,600 to 2,639.99
1.1%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
2,600 to 2,639.99
1.1%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,600 to 2,639.99
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
2,680 to 2,719.991.1%1.5%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 57 min ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)2,680 to 2,719.991.1%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
2,680 to 2,719.99
1.1%
1.5%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
2,680 to 2,719.99
1.1%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,680 to 2,719.99
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
1,960 to 1,999.990.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 57 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)1,960 to 1,999.990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
1,960 to 1,999.99
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
1,960 to 1,999.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,960 to 1,999.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
2,000 to 2,039.990.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 57 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)2,000 to 2,039.990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
2,000 to 2,039.99
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
2,000 to 2,039.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,000 to 2,039.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
2,040 to 2,079.990.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 57 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)2,040 to 2,079.990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
2,040 to 2,079.99
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
2,040 to 2,079.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,040 to 2,079.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
2,720 to 2,759.990.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 57 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)2,720 to 2,759.990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
2,720 to 2,759.99
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
2,720 to 2,759.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,720 to 2,759.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
2,760 to 2,799.990.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 57 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)2,760 to 2,799.990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
2,760 to 2,799.99
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
2,760 to 2,799.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,760 to 2,799.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
2,800 to 2,839.990.7%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 57 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)2,800 to 2,839.990.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
2,800 to 2,839.99
0.7%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
2,800 to 2,839.99
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,800 to 2,839.99
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
1,639.99 or below0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 57 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)1,639.99 or below0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,639.99 or below
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,639.99 or below
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,639.99 or below
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
1,640 to 1,679.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 57 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)1,640 to 1,679.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,640 to 1,679.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,640 to 1,679.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,640 to 1,679.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
1,680 to 1,719.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 57 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)1,680 to 1,719.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,680 to 1,719.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,680 to 1,719.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,680 to 1,719.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
1,720 to 1,759.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 57 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)1,720 to 1,759.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,720 to 1,759.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,720 to 1,759.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,720 to 1,759.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
1,760 to 1,799.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 57 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)1,760 to 1,799.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,760 to 1,799.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,760 to 1,799.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,760 to 1,799.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
1,800 to 1,839.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 57 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)1,800 to 1,839.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,800 to 1,839.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,800 to 1,839.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,800 to 1,839.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
1,840 to 1,879.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 57 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)1,840 to 1,879.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,840 to 1,879.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,840 to 1,879.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,840 to 1,879.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
1,880 to 1,919.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 57 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)1,880 to 1,919.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,880 to 1,919.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,880 to 1,919.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,880 to 1,919.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
1,920 to 1,959.990.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 57 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)1,920 to 1,959.990.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,920 to 1,959.99
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
1,920 to 1,959.99
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 1,920 to 1,959.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
2,840 to 2,879.990.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 57 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)2,840 to 2,879.990.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,840 to 2,879.99
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,840 to 2,879.99
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,840 to 2,879.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
2,880 to 2,919.990.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 57 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)2,880 to 2,919.990.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,880 to 2,919.99
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,880 to 2,919.99
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,880 to 2,919.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
2,920 to 2,959.990.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 57 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)2,920 to 2,959.990.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,920 to 2,959.99
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,920 to 2,959.99
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,920 to 2,959.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
2,960 to 2,999.990.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 57 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)2,960 to 2,999.990.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,960 to 2,999.99
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
2,960 to 2,999.99
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 2,960 to 2,999.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
3,000 to 3,039.990.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 57 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)3,000 to 3,039.990.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,000 to 3,039.99
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,000 to 3,039.99
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,000 to 3,039.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
3,040 to 3,079.990.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 57 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)3,040 to 3,079.990.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,040 to 3,079.99
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,040 to 3,079.99
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,040 to 3,079.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
3,080 to 3,119.990.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 57 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)3,080 to 3,119.990.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,080 to 3,119.99
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,080 to 3,119.99
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,080 to 3,119.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
3,120 to 3,159.990.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 57 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)3,120 to 3,159.990.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,120 to 3,159.99
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,120 to 3,159.99
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,120 to 3,159.99
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
3,160 or above0.3%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 57 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)3,160 or above0.3%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,160 or above
0.3%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 57 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
3,160 or above
0.3%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 57 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 3,160 or above
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 57 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 2,360 to 2,399.99
- 2,320 to 2,359.99
- 2,400 to 2,439.99
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "ETH price range on Oct 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT?". 2,360 to 2,399.99 leads at 42.3%. Next is 2,320 to 2,359.99 at 14.1%. $5K has traded across 40 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 24, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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