The Prediction Markets

Ethereum above ___ on April 14?

Closed
Apr 14, 2026
Traded
$27K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Apr 14, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 196 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
1,600
99.5%
Polymarket 99.5%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 99.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,600
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
99.8¢
Sell Yes
99.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$282
Trade this on Polymarket
1,700
99.3%
Polymarket 99.3%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 99.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,700
Last price
99.3%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
99.6¢
Sell Yes
99¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
1,800
99.1%
Polymarket 99.1%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 99.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,800
Last price
99.1%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
99.3¢
Sell Yes
98.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
1,900
98.7%
Polymarket 98.7%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 98.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,900
Last price
98.7%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
98.7¢
Sell Yes
98.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
2,000
97.4%
Polymarket 97.4%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 97.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,000
Last price
97.4%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
97.8¢
Sell Yes
96.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
2,100
90%
Polymarket 90%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 91¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,100
Last price
90%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
2,200
66.5%
Polymarket 66.5%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,200
Last price
66.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
2,300
33%
Polymarket 33%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,300
Last price
33%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$165
Trade this on Polymarket
2,400
11.1%
Polymarket 11.1%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,400
Last price
11.1%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
9.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
2,500
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 3.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,500
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
3.4¢
Sell Yes
2.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,941 (29.4x)
Volume
$184
Trade this on Polymarket
2,600
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,600
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Volume
$605
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 1,600
  • 1,700
  • 1,800

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Ethereum above ___ on April 14?". 1,600 last traded at 99.5%. Next is 1,700 at 99.3%. $27K has traded across 11 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 14, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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