The Prediction Markets

Ethereum above ___ on April 29?

Closed
Apr 29, 2026
Traded
$449K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Apr 29, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 177 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
1,900
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 4262 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
1,900
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 177 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Polymarket
2,000
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 4262 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
2,000
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 177 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Polymarket
2,100
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 4262 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
2,100
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 177 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$38K
Trade this on Polymarket
2,200
99.4%
Polymarket 99.4%polled, 4262 h agoBest Yes 99.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,200
Last price
99.4%
As of
Polled 177 d ago
Buy Yes
99.6¢
Sell Yes
99.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$37K
Trade this on Polymarket
2,300
46.5%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 4262 h agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,300
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled 177 d ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$28K
Trade this on Polymarket
2,400
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 4262 h agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,400
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 177 d ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$54K
Trade this on Polymarket
2,500
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4262 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,500
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 177 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$55K
Trade this on Polymarket
2,600
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4262 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,600
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 177 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$167K
Trade this on Polymarket
2,700
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4262 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,700
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 177 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Polymarket
2,800
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4262 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,800
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 177 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
2,900
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4262 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,900
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 177 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 1,900
  • 2,000
  • 2,100

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Ethereum above ___ on April 29?". 1,900 last traded at 100%. Next is 2,000 at 100%. $449K has traded across 11 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 29, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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