The Prediction Markets

Ethereum above ___ on March 22?

Closed
Mar 22, 2026
Traded
$840K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Mar 22, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 215 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
1,600
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 5167 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
1,600
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 215 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Trade this on Polymarket
1,700
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 5167 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
1,700
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 215 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$40K
Trade this on Polymarket
1,800
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 5167 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
1,800
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 215 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$111K
Trade this on Polymarket
1,900
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 5167 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
1,900
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 215 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$84K
Trade this on Polymarket
2,000
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 5167 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
2,000
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 215 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$130K
Trade this on Polymarket
2,100
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5167 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,100
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 215 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$165K
Trade this on Polymarket
2,200
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5167 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,200
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 215 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$116K
Trade this on Polymarket
2,300
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5167 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,300
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 215 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$111K
Trade this on Polymarket
2,400
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5167 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,400
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 215 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$68K
Trade this on Polymarket
2,500
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5167 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,500
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 215 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Polymarket
2,600
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5167 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,600
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 215 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 1,600
  • 1,700
  • 1,800

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Ethereum above ___ on March 22?". 1,600 last traded at 100%. Next is 1,700 at 100%. $840K has traded across 11 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Mar 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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