The Prediction Markets

Ethereum price on October 22?

Closes
Oct 22, 2026, closed
Traded
$12.5M
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
28 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

2,300-2,400 99.9%

Next is 2,250 to 2,499.99 at 17.9%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 29 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
2,300-2,400
99.9%
Polymarket 99.9%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,300-2,400
Last price
99.9%
As of
Polled 28 min ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
99.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$111K
Trade this on Polymarket
2,250 to 2,499.99
17.9%
Kalshi 17.9%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 17.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $559 (5.59x)
Kalshi
Contract
2,250 to 2,499.99
Last price
17.9%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
17.9¢
Sell Yes
17.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$559 (5.59x)
Volume
$1.2M
Trade this on Kalshi
2,500 to 2,749.99
16.4%
Kalshi 16.4%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 17.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $585 (5.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
2,500 to 2,749.99
Last price
16.4%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
17.1¢
Sell Yes
16.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$585 (5.85x)
Volume
$1.2M
Trade this on Kalshi
2,000 to 2,249.99
15.7%
Kalshi 15.7%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 15.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $637 (6.37x)
Kalshi
Contract
2,000 to 2,249.99
Last price
15.7%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
15.7¢
Sell Yes
15.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$637 (6.37x)
Volume
$1.3M
Trade this on Kalshi
2,750 to 2,999.99
12.1%
Kalshi 12.1%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 12.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $820 (8.20x)
Kalshi
Contract
2,750 to 2,999.99
Last price
12.1%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
12.2¢
Sell Yes
12.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$820 (8.20x)
Volume
$1.1M
Trade this on Kalshi
3,000 to 3,249.99
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 8.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
Kalshi
Contract
3,000 to 3,249.99
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
8.5¢
Sell Yes
8.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,176 (11.8x)
Volume
$1.1M
Trade this on Kalshi
1,750 to 1,999.99
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 7.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
1,750 to 1,999.99
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
7.1¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,408 (14.1x)
Volume
$1.2M
Trade this on Kalshi
1,500 to 1,749.99
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Kalshi
Contract
1,500 to 1,749.99
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
3.5¢
Sell Yes
3.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,857 (28.6x)
Volume
$1.0M
Trade this on Kalshi
5,000 or above
3.3%
Kalshi 3.3%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 3.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
5,000 or above
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
3.3¢
Sell Yes
3.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,030 (30.3x)
Volume
$865K
Trade this on Kalshi
3,250 to 3,499.99
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
3,250 to 3,499.99
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$120K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 10 more outcomes
3,750 to 3,999.99
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
3,750 to 3,999.99
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
3.1¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,226 (32.3x)
Volume
$52K
Trade this on Kalshi
3,500 to 3,749.99
2.2%
Kalshi 2.2%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
3,500 to 3,749.99
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
2.2¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,545 (45.5x)
Volume
$70K
Trade this on Kalshi
999.99 or below
2.2%
Kalshi 2.2%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
999.99 or below
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
2.3¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,348 (43.5x)
Volume
$999K
Trade this on Kalshi
1,250 to 1,499.99
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
1,250 to 1,499.99
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1.0M
Trade this on Kalshi
1,000 to 1,249.99
1.3%
Kalshi 1.3%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Kalshi
Contract
1,000 to 1,249.99
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$955K
Trade this on Kalshi
4,000 to 4,249.99
0.8%
Kalshi 0.8%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Kalshi
Contract
4,000 to 4,249.99
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$52K
Trade this on Kalshi
4,250 to 4,499.99
0.6%
Kalshi 0.6%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Kalshi
Contract
4,250 to 4,499.99
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$33K
Trade this on Kalshi
4,500 to 4,749.99
0.6%
Kalshi 0.6%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Kalshi
Contract
4,500 to 4,749.99
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$51K
Trade this on Kalshi
4,750 to 4,999.99
0.2%
Kalshi 0.2%polled, 29 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Kalshi
Contract
4,750 to 4,999.99
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 29 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$56K
Trade this on Kalshi
2,400-2,500
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 28 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,400-2,500
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 28 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$148K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: binance.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 2,300-2,400
  • 2,250 to 2,499.99
  • 2,500 to 2,749.99

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list 2,300-2,400 for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Ethereum price on October 22?". 2,300-2,400 leads at 99.9%. Next is 2,250 to 2,499.99 at 17.9%. $12.5M has traded across 20 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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