The Prediction Markets

Feldbausch vs Pereira

LiveKickoff In play now; prices move fast
Traded
$30K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

Cite these odds

Free to quote with credit. Prices move, so keep the time.

Citation

Link to the live page
Image1200 × 675 card with the time printed on itDownload PNG

How to describe the numbers, and the reuse terms, are on the press page.

Embed this on your site

Free to use with the credit link. Prices refresh every minute.

Widget
Theme
Size

The script resizes the frame to fit; the iframe works without it.

Newsletters can’t run the live widget, so this is a picture of it with the time printed on it, linking to the live page.

What the markets expect

Monastir: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago Pereira 99.8%

Next is Kilian Feldbausch at 76%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Monastir: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago Pereira
99.8%
Polymarket 99.8%polled, 45s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Monastir: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago Pereira Match O/U 23.5
Last price
99.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.5¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Kilian Feldbausch
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kilian Feldbausch
Last price
76%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Kalshi
Monastir: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago Pereira
74.5%
Polymarket 74.5%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Monastir: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago Pereira
Last price
74.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$992
Trade this on Polymarket
Completed Match
55%
Polymarket 55%polled, 45s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Completed Match
Last price
55%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
10¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Tiago Pereira
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tiago Pereira
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Monastir: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago Pereira
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 45s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Monastir: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago Pereira Game Spread +/-3.5
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ATP

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Monastir: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago Pereira
  • Kilian Feldbausch
  • Monastir: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago Pereira

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Monastir: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago Pereira for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Feldbausch vs Pereira". Monastir: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago Pereira leads at 99.8%. Next is Kilian Feldbausch at 76%. $30K has traded across 6 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 25, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More sports markets

See all sports markets