The Prediction Markets

Flores vs Pacheco Mendez

Starts in 1 h 52 minKickoff
Traded
$3K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
4 min ago
Share

Cite these odds

Free to quote with credit. Prices move, so keep the time.

Citation

Link to the live page
Image1200 × 675 card with the time printed on itDownload PNG

How to describe the numbers, and the reuse terms, are on the press page.

Embed this on your site

Free to use with the credit link. Prices refresh every minute.

Widget
Theme
Size

The script resizes the frame to fit; the iframe works without it.

Newsletters can’t run the live widget, so this is a picture of it with the time printed on it, linking to the live page.

What the markets expect

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 94%

Next is Set Handicap: Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez (-1.5) vs Jesse Flores (+1.5) at 72%. The venues differ most on Flores (Polymarket 6%, Kalshi 7%), a 1.0-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 8 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Last price
94%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
93¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$741
Trade this on Kalshi
Set Handicap: Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez (-1.5) vs Jesse Flores (+1.5)
72%
Polymarket 72%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez (-1.5) vs Jesse Flores (+1.5)
Last price
72%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Set Handicap: Jesse Flores (-1.5) vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez (+1.5)
31%
Polymarket 31%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Jesse Flores (-1.5) vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez (+1.5)
Last price
31%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$770
Trade this on Polymarket
Flores
6.4%
Polymarket 6%polled, 8 min agoKalshi 7%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
M25 Guadalajara: Jesse Flores vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$883
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jesse Flores
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$600
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Indicative only, prices are 8 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 6¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 7¢.

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Mostly the same bet: two differences

Where they differ

  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes at different times: Nov 12, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 19, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: itftennis.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, ITF, Fox Sports
Show full rule comparison
  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes Nov 12, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 19, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
  • Set Handicap: Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez (-1.5) vs Jesse Flores (+1.5)
  • Set Handicap: Jesse Flores (-1.5) vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez (+1.5)

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Flores vs Pacheco Mendez". Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez leads at 94%. Next is Set Handicap: Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez (-1.5) vs Jesse Flores (+1.5) at 72%. $3K has traded across 4 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 19, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More sports markets

See all sports markets
Flores vs Pacheco Mendez Odds, Platforms, and Market Data | The Prediction Markets