The Prediction Markets

Gadamauri vs Gobat

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$5K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Metz: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Adrien Gobat Match O/U 23.5 70.5%

Next is Metz: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Adrien Gobat Match O/U 23.5 at 69%. The venues differ most on Gadamauri (Polymarket 37.5%, Kalshi 39%), a 1.5-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Metz: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Adrien Gobat Match O/U 23.5
70.5%
Polymarket 70.5%polled, just now
Polymarket
Contract
Metz: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Adrien Gobat Match O/U 23.5
Last price
70.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
41¢
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Metz: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Adrien Gobat Match O/U 23.5
69%
Polymarket 69%polled, just now
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Buvaysar Gadamauri (-1.5) vs Adrien Gobat (+1.5)
Last price
69%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
38¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Metz: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Adrien Gobat Match O/U 23.5
68.5%
Polymarket 68.5%polled, just now
Polymarket
Contract
Metz: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Adrien Gobat Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
68.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
37¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Metz: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Adrien Gobat Match O/U 23.5
60.5%
Polymarket 60.5%polled, just now
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Adrien Gobat (-1.5) vs Buvaysar Gadamauri (+1.5)
Last price
60.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
21¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Metz: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Adrien Gobat Match O/U 23.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, just now
Polymarket
Contract
Metz: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Adrien Gobat Set 2 Winner
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Metz: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Adrien Gobat Match O/U 23.5
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Metz: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Adrien Gobat Match O/U 22.5
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Gadamauri
38%
Polymarket 37.5%polled, just nowKalshi 39%polled, just nowBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
Metz: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Adrien Gobat
Last price
37.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Buvaysar Gadamauri
Last price
39%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 37¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 38¢.

Adrien Gobat
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, just nowBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Adrien Gobat
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$183
Trade this on Kalshi
Metz: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Adrien Gobat Match O/U 23.5
29.5%
Polymarket 29.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Metz: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Adrien Gobat Match O/U 21.5
Last price
29.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Metz: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Adrien Gobat Match O/U 23.5
29.5%
Polymarket 29.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Metz: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Adrien Gobat Set 1 Winner
Last price
29.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Trade this on Polymarket

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Mostly the same bet: two differences

Where they differ

  • If the match is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the match does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the match is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (tennis: ~14 days).
  • Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ATP
Show full rule comparison
  • If the match is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the match does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the match is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (tennis: ~14 days).
  • Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
  • Trading closes Nov 22, 2026, 11:20 AM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 29, 2026, 11:20 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Metz: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Adrien Gobat Match O/U 23.5
  • Metz: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Adrien Gobat Match O/U 23.5
  • Metz: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Adrien Gobat Match O/U 23.5

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Metz: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Adrien Gobat Match O/U 23.5 for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Gadamauri vs Gobat". Metz: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Adrien Gobat Match O/U 23.5 leads at 70.5%. Next is Metz: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Adrien Gobat Match O/U 23.5 at 69%. $5K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 29, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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