The Prediction Markets

Gentzsch vs Dodig

Starts in 41 minKickoff
Traded
$3K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
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What the markets expect

Matej Dodig 62%

Next is Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig Total Sets: O/U 2.5 at 54.5%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Matej Dodig
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
Contract
Matej Dodig
Last price
62%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig Total Sets: O/U 2.5
54.5%
Polymarket 54.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig Game Spread +/-1.5
Last price
54.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig Total Sets: O/U 2.5
54%
Polymarket 54%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig Match O/U 22.5
Last price
54%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig Total Sets: O/U 2.5
53%
Polymarket 53%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig Match O/U 21.5
Last price
53%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig Total Sets: O/U 2.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig Set 2 O/U 10.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig Total Sets: O/U 2.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig Set 1 O/U 9.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig Total Sets: O/U 2.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig Set 2 O/U 8.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig Total Sets: O/U 2.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig Set 2 Winner
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig Total Sets: O/U 2.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig Set 2 O/U 9.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Completed Match
48%
Polymarket 48%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Completed Match
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 8 more outcomes
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig Total Sets: O/U 2.5
47%
Polymarket 47%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig Match O/U 23.5
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig Total Sets: O/U 2.5
42.5%
Polymarket 42.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig Set 1 Winner
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig Total Sets: O/U 2.5
42%
Polymarket 42%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 84¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig Set 1 O/U 8.5
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig Total Sets: O/U 2.5
41.5%
Polymarket 41.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Polymarket
Gentzsch
38.6%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 39%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$469
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Tom Gentzsch
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$174
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 38¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 39¢.

Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig Total Sets: O/U 2.5
36.5%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Matej Dodig (-1.5) vs Tom Gentzsch (+1.5)
Last price
36.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig Total Sets: O/U 2.5
34.5%
Polymarket 34.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig Set 1 O/U 10.5
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig Total Sets: O/U 2.5
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Tom Gentzsch (-1.5) vs Matej Dodig (+1.5)
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Trade this on Polymarket

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Mostly the same bet: two differences

Where they differ

  • If the match is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the match does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the match is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (tennis: ~14 days).
  • Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ATP
Show full rule comparison
  • If the match is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the match does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the match is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (tennis: ~14 days).
  • Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
  • Trading closes Nov 12, 2026, 12:30 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 19, 2026, 12:10 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Matej Dodig
  • Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig Total Sets: O/U 2.5
  • Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig Total Sets: O/U 2.5

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Matej Dodig for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Gentzsch vs Dodig". Matej Dodig leads at 62%. Next is Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig Total Sets: O/U 2.5 at 54.5%. $3K has traded across 18 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 19, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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