The Prediction Markets

Houston vs Cleveland: Spread

Closes
Nov 17, 2026, in 7 days
Traded
$5K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Houston wins by over 1.5 points 64%

Next is Houston wins by over 2.5 points at 63.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Houston wins by over 1.5 points
64%
Kalshi 64%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
Contract
Houston wins by over 1.5 points
Last price
64%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Houston wins by over 2.5 points
63.5%
Kalshi 63.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Houston wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
63.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Houston wins by over 3.5 points
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
Houston wins by over 3.5 points
Last price
55%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Houston wins by over 4.5 points
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
Contract
Houston wins by over 4.5 points
Last price
52%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Houston wins by over 5.5 points
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Houston wins by over 5.5 points
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$130
Trade this on Kalshi
Houston wins by over 6.5 points
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Houston wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
46%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$282
Trade this on Kalshi
Houston wins by over 7.5 points
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
Houston wins by over 7.5 points
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$31
Trade this on Kalshi
Houston wins by over 9.5 points
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Houston wins by over 9.5 points
Last price
33%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Houston wins by over 10.5 points
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Houston wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
31%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Cleveland wins by over 1.5 points
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cleveland wins by over 1.5 points
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 15 more outcomes
Cleveland wins by over 2.5 points
27.5%
Kalshi 27.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cleveland wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
27.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Houston wins by over 13.5 points
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Houston wins by over 13.5 points
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Cleveland wins by over 3.5 points
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cleveland wins by over 3.5 points
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Houston wins by over 14.5 points
20.5%
Kalshi 20.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Houston wins by over 14.5 points
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Cleveland wins by over 4.5 points
19.5%
Kalshi 19.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cleveland wins by over 4.5 points
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Cleveland wins by over 5.5 points
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cleveland wins by over 5.5 points
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Houston wins by over 16.5 points
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Houston wins by over 16.5 points
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Cleveland wins by over 6.5 points
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cleveland wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Houston wins by over 17.5 points
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Houston wins by over 17.5 points
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Cleveland wins by over 7.5 points
12.5%
Kalshi 12.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cleveland wins by over 7.5 points
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Cleveland wins by over 9.5 points
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cleveland wins by over 9.5 points
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Houston wins by over 20.5 points
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Houston wins by over 20.5 points
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$589
Trade this on Kalshi
Cleveland wins by over 10.5 points
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cleveland wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Cleveland wins by over 13.5 points
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cleveland wins by over 13.5 points
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Cleveland wins by over 14.5 points
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cleveland wins by over 14.5 points
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Houston wins by over 1.5 points
  • Houston wins by over 2.5 points
  • Houston wins by over 3.5 points

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Houston vs Cleveland: Spread". Houston wins by over 1.5 points leads at 64%. Next is Houston wins by over 2.5 points at 63.5%. $5K has traded across 25 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 17, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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