The Prediction Markets

How high will BNB get in November?

Closes
Dec 1, 2026, in 15 days
Traded
$5K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

700 52%

Next is 600 at 50%. The venues differ most on 800 (Polymarket 9.5%, Kalshi 5%), a 4.5-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 47 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
700
52%
Polymarket 52%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
700
Last price
52%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
600
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 42s ago
Polymarket
Contract
600
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
22¢
Trade this on Polymarket
200
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
200
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Trade this on Polymarket
400
31%
Polymarket 31%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
400
Last price
31%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$173
Trade this on Polymarket
500
28%
Polymarket 28%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
500
Last price
28%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$543
Trade this on Polymarket
800
8%
Polymarket 9.5%polled, 42s agoKalshi 5%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
800
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$411
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Above $800.00
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 47 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Indicative only, prices are 47 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5¢.

900
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
900
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$293
Trade this on Polymarket
Above $750.00
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $750.00
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 47 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$243
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $760.00
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $760.00
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 47 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$37
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $820.00
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $820.00
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 47 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$320
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 8 more outcomes
300
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 8.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,149 (11.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
300
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,149 (11.5x)
Volume
$328
Trade this on Polymarket
Above $790.00
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $790.00
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 47 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$215
Trade this on Kalshi
1,100
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,100
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.4¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,563 (15.6x)
Volume
$582
Trade this on Polymarket
Above $770.00
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $770.00
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 47 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $780.00
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $780.00
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 47 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Kalshi
1,200
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,200
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$161
Trade this on Polymarket
1,000
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,000
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,273 (22.7x)
Volume
$401
Trade this on Polymarket
Above $810.00
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 47 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $810.00
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 47 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Different bets: these contracts settle on different rules

Where they differ

  • Kalshi settles on CF Benchmarks real-time indices (e.g. BRTI); Polymarket on Binance USDT-pair 1-minute candle highs/lows. A brief wick on one source may not appear on the other.
  • Windows differ: Polymarket counts from market creation; Kalshi rungs count from each rung's own start date (e.g. Feb 5, 2026 for some 2026 lows).
  • Kalshi rungs are strict ('Above $99,999.99', 'Below $55,000'); Polymarket rungs are inclusive. They differ only at exactly the level.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: binance.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks
Show full rule comparison
  • Kalshi settles on CF Benchmarks real-time indices (e.g. BRTI); Polymarket on Binance USDT-pair 1-minute candle highs/lows. A brief wick on one source may not appear on the other.
  • Windows differ: Polymarket counts from market creation; Kalshi rungs count from each rung's own start date (e.g. Feb 5, 2026 for some 2026 lows).
  • Kalshi rungs are strict ('Above $99,999.99', 'Below $55,000'); Polymarket rungs are inclusive. They differ only at exactly the level.
  • Trading closes Dec 1, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 1, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 700
  • 600
  • 200

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list 700 for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "How high will BNB get in November?". 700 leads at 52%. Next is 600 at 50%. $5K has traded across 18 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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