The Prediction Markets

How high will HYPE get in November?

Closes
Dec 1, 2026, in 25 days
Traded
$2K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
4 min ago
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What the markets expect

Above $90.00 59%

Next is 80 at 58%. The venues differ most on 100 (Polymarket 36.5%, Kalshi 28%), a 8.5-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 5 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Above $90.00
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $90.00
Last price
59%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
80
58%
Polymarket 58%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
80
Last price
58%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
76
56%
Polymarket 56%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
76
Last price
56%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
88
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 5 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
88
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
1¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Above $92.50
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $92.50
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Trade this on Kalshi
92
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 81¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
92
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Trade this on Polymarket
72
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
72
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Polymarket
Above $95.00
42.5%
Kalshi 42.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $95.00
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Trade this on Kalshi
96
40%
Polymarket 40%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
96
Last price
40%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Above $97.50
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $97.50
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$183
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 7 more outcomes
68
37.5%
Polymarket 37.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
Contract
68
Last price
37.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$433
Trade this on Polymarket
100
30.8%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, 5 min agoKalshi 28%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
100
Last price
36.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Above $100.00
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$400
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 16¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 30¢.

104
29.5%
Polymarket 29.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
104
Last price
29.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Polymarket
Above $102.50
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $102.50
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$198
Trade this on Kalshi
108
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
108
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$103
Trade this on Polymarket
Above $107.50
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $107.50
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$125
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $105.00
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $105.00
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Kalshi

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Different bets: these contracts settle on different rules

Where they differ

  • Kalshi settles on CF Benchmarks real-time indices (e.g. BRTI); Polymarket on Binance USDT-pair 1-minute candle highs/lows. A brief wick on one source may not appear on the other.
  • Windows differ: Polymarket counts from market creation; Kalshi rungs count from each rung's own start date (e.g. Feb 5, 2026 for some 2026 lows).
  • Kalshi rungs are strict ('Above $99,999.99', 'Below $55,000'); Polymarket rungs are inclusive. They differ only at exactly the level.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: binance.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks
Show full rule comparison
  • Kalshi settles on CF Benchmarks real-time indices (e.g. BRTI); Polymarket on Binance USDT-pair 1-minute candle highs/lows. A brief wick on one source may not appear on the other.
  • Windows differ: Polymarket counts from market creation; Kalshi rungs count from each rung's own start date (e.g. Feb 5, 2026 for some 2026 lows).
  • Kalshi rungs are strict ('Above $99,999.99', 'Below $55,000'); Polymarket rungs are inclusive. They differ only at exactly the level.
  • Trading closes Dec 1, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 1, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above $90.00
  • 80
  • 76

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Above $90.00 for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "How high will HYPE get in November?". Above $90.00 leads at 59%. Next is 80 at 58%. $2K has traded across 17 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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