The Prediction Markets

How high will SOL get in November?

Closes
Dec 1, 2026, in 26 days
Traded
$52K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
5 h ago
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What the markets expect

Below $90.00 89%

Next is 100 at 81%. The venues differ most on 80 (Polymarket 19%, Kalshi 24%), a 5.0-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 5 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Below $90.00
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 5 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Below $90.00
Last price
89%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
1¢
Volume
$87
Trade this on Kalshi
100
81%
Polymarket 79%polled, 5 h agoKalshi 83%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 81¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
100
Last price
79%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$668
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Above $100.00
Last price
83%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Prices on these venues are 5 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Above $105.00
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $105.00
Last price
55%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$672
Trade this on Kalshi
Below $85.00
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
Below $85.00
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$122
Trade this on Kalshi
110
33.3%
Polymarket 34%polled, 5 h agoKalshi 31%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
110
Last price
34%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Above $110.00
Last price
31%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$252
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Prices on these venues are 5 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Above $115.00
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $115.00
Last price
29%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$370
Trade this on Kalshi
80
21.3%
Polymarket 19%polled, 5 h agoKalshi 24%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
80
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$404
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Below $80.00
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$350
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Prices on these venues are 5 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Above $125.00
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $125.00
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Below $75.00
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Below $75.00
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
120
13.6%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 5 h agoKalshi 14%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
120
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Above $120.00
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$420
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Prices on these venues are 5 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Show 16 more outcomes
Above $135.00
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $135.00
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Below $65.00
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Below $65.00
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Kalshi
130
6.2%
Polymarket 5.6%polled, 5 h agoKalshi 8%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
130
Last price
5.6%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
6.4¢
Sell Yes
4.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,563 (15.6x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Above $130.00
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Prices on these venues are 5 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

70
5.8%
Polymarket 5%polled, 5 h agoKalshi 8%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
70
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Below $70.00
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Prices on these venues are 5 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

140
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
140
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
2.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
60
2.2%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 5 h agoKalshi 2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
60
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
3.1¢
Sell Yes
1.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,226 (32.3x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Below $60.00
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Prices on these venues are 5 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

150
1.7%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 2.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
150
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
2.6¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,846 (38.5x)
Volume
$896
Trade this on Polymarket
Below $55.00
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Below $55.00
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
160
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
160
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$946
Trade this on Polymarket
50
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
50
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$570
Trade this on Polymarket
170
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
170
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$349
Trade this on Polymarket
40
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
40
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
180
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
180
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$177
Trade this on Polymarket
20
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
20
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
30
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
30
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
10
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
10
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Venue prices are 5 h old, so we are not showing a cross-venue spread. Check each venue for current prices. Find markets with fresh spreads

Different bets: these contracts settle on different rules

Where they differ

  • Kalshi settles on CF Benchmarks real-time indices (e.g. BRTI); Polymarket on Binance USDT-pair 1-minute candle highs/lows. A brief wick on one source may not appear on the other.
  • Windows differ: Polymarket counts from market creation; Kalshi rungs count from each rung's own start date (e.g. Feb 5, 2026 for some 2026 lows).
  • Kalshi rungs are strict ('Above $99,999.99', 'Below $55,000'); Polymarket rungs are inclusive. They differ only at exactly the level.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: binance.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks
Show full rule comparison
  • Kalshi settles on CF Benchmarks real-time indices (e.g. BRTI); Polymarket on Binance USDT-pair 1-minute candle highs/lows. A brief wick on one source may not appear on the other.
  • Windows differ: Polymarket counts from market creation; Kalshi rungs count from each rung's own start date (e.g. Feb 5, 2026 for some 2026 lows).
  • Kalshi rungs are strict ('Above $99,999.99', 'Below $55,000'); Polymarket rungs are inclusive. They differ only at exactly the level.
  • Trading closes Dec 1, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 1, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Below $90.00
  • 100
  • Above $105.00

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Below $90.00 for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "How high will SOL get in November?". Below $90.00 leads at 89%. Next is 100 at 81%. $52K has traded across 26 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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