The Prediction Markets

Iceland vs. Luxembourg - Exact Score

Starts in 11 daysKickoff
Traded
$21K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Iceland 0 - 0 Luxembourg 37.5%

Next is Iceland 0 - 5 Luxembourg at 37.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Iceland 0 - 0 Luxembourg
37.5%
Polymarket 37.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 0 - 0 Luxembourg
Last price
37.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 0 - 5 Luxembourg
37.5%
Polymarket 37.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 0 - 5 Luxembourg
Last price
37.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 3 - 0 Luxembourg
37.5%
Polymarket 37.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 3 - 0 Luxembourg
Last price
37.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 4 - 0 Luxembourg
37.5%
Polymarket 37.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 4 - 0 Luxembourg
Last price
37.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 0 - 2 Luxembourg
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 0 - 2 Luxembourg
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 0 - 3 Luxembourg
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 0 - 3 Luxembourg
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 0 - 4 Luxembourg
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 0 - 4 Luxembourg
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 1 - 3 Luxembourg
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 1 - 3 Luxembourg
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 1 - 4 Luxembourg
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 1 - 4 Luxembourg
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 1 - 5 Luxembourg
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 1 - 5 Luxembourg
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 27 more outcomes
Iceland 2 - 0 Luxembourg
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 2 - 0 Luxembourg
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 2 - 4 Luxembourg
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 2 - 4 Luxembourg
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 2 - 5 Luxembourg
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 2 - 5 Luxembourg
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 3 - 1 Luxembourg
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 3 - 1 Luxembourg
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 3 - 5 Luxembourg
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 3 - 5 Luxembourg
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 4 - 1 Luxembourg
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 4 - 1 Luxembourg
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 4 - 2 Luxembourg
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 4 - 2 Luxembourg
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 5 - 0 Luxembourg
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 5 - 0 Luxembourg
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 5 - 1 Luxembourg
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 5 - 1 Luxembourg
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 5 - 2 Luxembourg
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 5 - 2 Luxembourg
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 5 - 3 Luxembourg
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 5 - 3 Luxembourg
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 3 - 4 Luxembourg
33.5%
Polymarket 33.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 3 - 4 Luxembourg
Last price
33.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 1 - 0 Luxembourg
32%
Polymarket 32%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 1 - 0 Luxembourg
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 2 - 1 Luxembourg
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 2 - 1 Luxembourg
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 4 - 3 Luxembourg
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 4 - 3 Luxembourg
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 0 - 1 Luxembourg
29.5%
Polymarket 29.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 0 - 1 Luxembourg
Last price
29.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 1 - 1 Luxembourg
28.5%
Polymarket 28.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 1 - 1 Luxembourg
Last price
28.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 3 - 2 Luxembourg
28%
Polymarket 28%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 3 - 2 Luxembourg
Last price
28%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 4 - 4 Luxembourg
23.5%
Polymarket 23.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 4 - 4 Luxembourg
Last price
23.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Any Other Score
23%
Polymarket 23%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Any Other Score
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$21K
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 2 - 2 Luxembourg
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 2 - 2 Luxembourg
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 5 - 5 Luxembourg
21%
Polymarket 21%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 5 - 5 Luxembourg
Last price
21%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 1 - 2 Luxembourg
20%
Polymarket 20%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 1 - 2 Luxembourg
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 3 - 3 Luxembourg
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 3 - 3 Luxembourg
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 5 - 4 Luxembourg
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 5 - 4 Luxembourg
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 4 - 5 Luxembourg
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 4 - 5 Luxembourg
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceland 2 - 3 Luxembourg
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceland 2 - 3 Luxembourg
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: uefa.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Iceland 0 - 0 Luxembourg
  • Iceland 0 - 5 Luxembourg
  • Iceland 3 - 0 Luxembourg

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Iceland vs. Luxembourg - Exact Score". Iceland 0 - 0 Luxembourg leads at 37.5%. Next is Iceland 0 - 5 Luxembourg at 37.5%. $21K has traded across 37 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 16, 2026.

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Iceland and Luxembourg, originally scheduled for Monday, November 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve based on the final score of the Iceland vs. Luxembourg match, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the match is canceled, does not start by Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "0-0". The following abandonment rules apply only when this market's outcome was not already definitively determined under its rules before abandonment. If the match is abandoned, this market will resolve according to the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers on the abandoned match. If a result is awarded by Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that determines this market's outcome, this market will resolve based on the awarded result, regardless of the score as played. If no such result is awarded and the result as played at the time of abandonment is declared to stand by Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the match as played. If the match is replayed or resumed from the point of abandonment and has an official result by Wednesday, November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the completed result. In any other case, this market will resolve to "0-0". Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor names, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences in a team's or player's name will not affect resolution, provided the intended team or player can be clearly and uniquely identified as a participant in the listed fixture or competition. If a listed name has no reasonable connection to any participant, or could reasonably refer to more than one participant such that the intended team or player cannot be determined, this market will resolve as it would if the listed fixture had been canceled entirely; a listed participant who cannot be identified does not count as inactive or absent. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match information from UEFA Nations League (https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/). If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve to "0-0".

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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