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What the markets expect
UCLA wins by over 2.5 points 78%
Next is UCLA wins by over 1.5 points at 77%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
UCLA wins by over 2.5 points78%78%72¢ bid, 78¢ askpolled, 25s ago78¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $128 (1.28x)UCLA wins by over 2.5 points78%Kalshi 78%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
UCLA wins by over 2.5 points
78%
78%
72¢ bid, 78¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
78¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $128 (1.28x)
UCLA wins by over 2.5 points
78%
Kalshi 78%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UCLA wins by over 2.5 points
- Last price
- 78%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 78¢
- Sell Yes
- 72¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $128 (1.28x)
- Volume
- $164
UCLA wins by over 1.5 points77%77%74¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, 25s ago80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)UCLA wins by over 1.5 points77%Kalshi 77%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
UCLA wins by over 1.5 points
77%
77%
74¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
UCLA wins by over 1.5 points
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UCLA wins by over 1.5 points
- Last price
- 77%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 74¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
UCLA wins by over 3.5 points69%69%66¢ bid, 72¢ askpolled, 25s ago72¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $139 (1.39x)UCLA wins by over 3.5 points69%Kalshi 69%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
UCLA wins by over 3.5 points
69%
69%
66¢ bid, 72¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
72¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $139 (1.39x)
UCLA wins by over 3.5 points
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UCLA wins by over 3.5 points
- Last price
- 69%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 72¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $139 (1.39x)
UCLA wins by over 4.5 points66.5%66.5%64¢ bid, 69¢ askpolled, 25s ago69¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $145 (1.45x)UCLA wins by over 4.5 points66.5%Kalshi 66.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
UCLA wins by over 4.5 points
66.5%
66.5%
64¢ bid, 69¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
69¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $145 (1.45x)
UCLA wins by over 4.5 points
66.5%
Kalshi 66.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UCLA wins by over 4.5 points
- Last price
- 66.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- 64¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
UCLA wins by over 6.5 points66%66%62¢ bid, 66¢ askpolled, 25s ago66¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $152 (1.52x)UCLA wins by over 6.5 points66%Kalshi 66%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
UCLA wins by over 6.5 points
66%
66%
62¢ bid, 66¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
66¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $152 (1.52x)
UCLA wins by over 6.5 points
66%
Kalshi 66%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UCLA wins by over 6.5 points
- Last price
- 66%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 66¢
- Sell Yes
- 62¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $152 (1.52x)
- Volume
- $145
UCLA wins by over 5.5 points64.5%64.5%62¢ bid, 67¢ askpolled, 25s ago67¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $149 (1.49x)UCLA wins by over 5.5 points64.5%Kalshi 64.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
UCLA wins by over 5.5 points
64.5%
64.5%
62¢ bid, 67¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
67¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $149 (1.49x)
UCLA wins by over 5.5 points
64.5%
Kalshi 64.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UCLA wins by over 5.5 points
- Last price
- 64.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 67¢
- Sell Yes
- 62¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $149 (1.49x)
UCLA wins by over 7.5 points55%55%54¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 25s ago56¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $179 (1.79x)UCLA wins by over 7.5 points55%Kalshi 55%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
UCLA wins by over 7.5 points
55%
55%
54¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
56¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
UCLA wins by over 7.5 points
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UCLA wins by over 7.5 points
- Last price
- 55%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 54¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
UCLA wins by over 9.5 points54%54%53¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 25s ago54¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $185 (1.85x)UCLA wins by over 9.5 points54%Kalshi 54%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
UCLA wins by over 9.5 points
54%
54%
53¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
54¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
UCLA wins by over 9.5 points
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UCLA wins by over 9.5 points
- Last price
- 54%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 53¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $3K
UCLA wins by over 10.5 points47%47%47¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 25s ago48¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $208 (2.08x)UCLA wins by over 10.5 points47%Kalshi 47%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
UCLA wins by over 10.5 points
47%
47%
47¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
48¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
UCLA wins by over 10.5 points
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UCLA wins by over 10.5 points
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 47¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
- Volume
- $1K
UCLA wins by over 11.5 points45.5%45.5%44¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 25s ago47¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $213 (2.13x)UCLA wins by over 11.5 points45.5%Kalshi 45.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
UCLA wins by over 11.5 points
45.5%
45.5%
44¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
47¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
UCLA wins by over 11.5 points
45.5%
Kalshi 45.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UCLA wins by over 11.5 points
- Last price
- 45.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 44¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
Show 21 more outcomesHide 21 outcomes
UCLA wins by over 13.5 points41%41%39¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, 25s ago41¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $244 (2.44x)UCLA wins by over 13.5 points41%Kalshi 41%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
UCLA wins by over 13.5 points
41%
41%
39¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
41¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
UCLA wins by over 13.5 points
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UCLA wins by over 13.5 points
- Last price
- 41%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 39¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
- Volume
- $264
UCLA wins by over 14.5 points38%38%35¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, 25s ago41¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $244 (2.44x)UCLA wins by over 14.5 points38%Kalshi 38%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
UCLA wins by over 14.5 points
38%
38%
35¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
41¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
UCLA wins by over 14.5 points
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UCLA wins by over 14.5 points
- Last price
- 38%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
UCLA wins by over 16.5 points34%34%31¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 25s ago37¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $270 (2.70x)UCLA wins by over 16.5 points34%Kalshi 34%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
UCLA wins by over 16.5 points
34%
34%
31¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
37¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
UCLA wins by over 16.5 points
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UCLA wins by over 16.5 points
- Last price
- 34%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
UCLA wins by over 17.5 points31.5%31.5%30¢ bid, 33¢ askpolled, 25s ago33¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $303 (3.03x)UCLA wins by over 17.5 points31.5%Kalshi 31.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
UCLA wins by over 17.5 points
31.5%
31.5%
30¢ bid, 33¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
33¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $303 (3.03x)
UCLA wins by over 17.5 points
31.5%
Kalshi 31.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UCLA wins by over 17.5 points
- Last price
- 31.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 33¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $303 (3.03x)
UCLA wins by over 20.5 points24.5%24.5%22¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 25s ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)UCLA wins by over 20.5 points24.5%Kalshi 24.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
UCLA wins by over 20.5 points
24.5%
24.5%
22¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
UCLA wins by over 20.5 points
24.5%
Kalshi 24.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UCLA wins by over 20.5 points
- Last price
- 24.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
Illinois wins by over 1.5 points20.5%20.5%18¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 25s ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Illinois wins by over 1.5 points20.5%Kalshi 20.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Illinois wins by over 1.5 points
20.5%
20.5%
18¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Illinois wins by over 1.5 points
20.5%
Kalshi 20.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Illinois wins by over 1.5 points
- Last price
- 20.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
UCLA wins by over 21.5 points20.5%20.5%18¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 25s ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)UCLA wins by over 21.5 points20.5%Kalshi 20.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
UCLA wins by over 21.5 points
20.5%
20.5%
18¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
UCLA wins by over 21.5 points
20.5%
Kalshi 20.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UCLA wins by over 21.5 points
- Last price
- 20.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
Illinois wins by over 2.5 points20%20%16¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 25s ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Illinois wins by over 2.5 points20%Kalshi 20%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Illinois wins by over 2.5 points
20%
20%
16¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Illinois wins by over 2.5 points
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Illinois wins by over 2.5 points
- Last price
- 20%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
- Volume
- $19
UCLA wins by over 23.5 points16%16%16¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 25s ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)UCLA wins by over 23.5 points16%Kalshi 16%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
UCLA wins by over 23.5 points
16%
16%
16¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
UCLA wins by over 23.5 points
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UCLA wins by over 23.5 points
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $12
UCLA wins by over 24.5 points16%16%13¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 25s ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)UCLA wins by over 24.5 points16%Kalshi 16%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
UCLA wins by over 24.5 points
16%
16%
13¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
UCLA wins by over 24.5 points
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UCLA wins by over 24.5 points
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Illinois wins by over 3.5 points15.5%15.5%13¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 25s ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Illinois wins by over 3.5 points15.5%Kalshi 15.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Illinois wins by over 3.5 points
15.5%
15.5%
13¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Illinois wins by over 3.5 points
15.5%
Kalshi 15.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Illinois wins by over 3.5 points
- Last price
- 15.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
Illinois wins by over 4.5 points13.5%13.5%11¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 25s ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Illinois wins by over 4.5 points13.5%Kalshi 13.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Illinois wins by over 4.5 points
13.5%
13.5%
11¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Illinois wins by over 4.5 points
13.5%
Kalshi 13.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Illinois wins by over 4.5 points
- Last price
- 13.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Illinois wins by over 5.5 points12.5%12.5%10¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 25s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Illinois wins by over 5.5 points12.5%Kalshi 12.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Illinois wins by over 5.5 points
12.5%
12.5%
10¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Illinois wins by over 5.5 points
12.5%
Kalshi 12.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Illinois wins by over 5.5 points
- Last price
- 12.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
UCLA wins by over 27.5 points11.5%11.5%9¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 25s ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)UCLA wins by over 27.5 points11.5%Kalshi 11.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
UCLA wins by over 27.5 points
11.5%
11.5%
9¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
UCLA wins by over 27.5 points
11.5%
Kalshi 11.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UCLA wins by over 27.5 points
- Last price
- 11.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Illinois wins by over 6.5 points11%11%8¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 25s ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Illinois wins by over 6.5 points11%Kalshi 11%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Illinois wins by over 6.5 points
11%
11%
8¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Illinois wins by over 6.5 points
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Illinois wins by over 6.5 points
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Illinois wins by over 7.5 points8.5%8.5%6¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 25s ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Illinois wins by over 7.5 points8.5%Kalshi 8.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Illinois wins by over 7.5 points
8.5%
8.5%
6¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Illinois wins by over 7.5 points
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Illinois wins by over 7.5 points
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Illinois wins by over 9.5 points5.5%5.5%3¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 25s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Illinois wins by over 9.5 points5.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Illinois wins by over 9.5 points
5.5%
5.5%
3¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Illinois wins by over 9.5 points
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Illinois wins by over 9.5 points
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Illinois wins by over 10.5 points4.5%4.5%3¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 25s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Illinois wins by over 10.5 points4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Illinois wins by over 10.5 points
4.5%
4.5%
3¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Illinois wins by over 10.5 points
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Illinois wins by over 10.5 points
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Illinois wins by over 11.5 points4.5%4.5%3¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 25s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Illinois wins by over 11.5 points4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Illinois wins by over 11.5 points
4.5%
4.5%
3¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Illinois wins by over 11.5 points
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Illinois wins by over 11.5 points
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Illinois wins by over 13.5 points3.5%3.5%2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 25s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Illinois wins by over 13.5 points3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Illinois wins by over 13.5 points
3.5%
3.5%
2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Illinois wins by over 13.5 points
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Illinois wins by over 13.5 points
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Illinois wins by over 14.5 points2.5%2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 25s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Illinois wins by over 14.5 points2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Illinois wins by over 14.5 points
2.5%
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Illinois wins by over 14.5 points
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Illinois wins by over 14.5 points
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- UCLA wins by over 2.5 points
- UCLA wins by over 1.5 points
- UCLA wins by over 3.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Illinois vs UCLA: Spread". UCLA wins by over 2.5 points leads at 78%. Next is UCLA wins by over 1.5 points at 77%. $5K has traded across 31 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 16, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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