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What the markets expect
Over 24.5 points 95.5%
Next is Over 27.5 points at 90.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 6 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Over 24.5 points95.5%95.5%94¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 6 h ago97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Over 24.5 points95.5%Kalshi 95.5%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Over 24.5 points
95.5%
95.5%
94¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Over 24.5 points
95.5%
Kalshi 95.5%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 24.5 points
- Last price
- 95.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 94¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
Over 27.5 points90.5%90.5%88¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 6 h ago93¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $108 (1.08x)Over 27.5 points90.5%Kalshi 90.5%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Over 27.5 points
90.5%
90.5%
88¢ bid, 93¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
93¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Over 27.5 points
90.5%
Kalshi 90.5%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 27.5 points
- Last price
- 90.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 88¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
Over 30.5 points87%87%85¢ bid, 89¢ askpolled, 6 h ago89¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $112 (1.12x)Over 30.5 points87%Kalshi 87%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Over 30.5 points
87%
87%
85¢ bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
89¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Over 30.5 points
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 30.5 points
- Last price
- 87%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- 85¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
Over 33.5 points81.5%81.5%79¢ bid, 84¢ askpolled, 6 h ago84¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $119 (1.19x)Over 33.5 points81.5%Kalshi 81.5%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Over 33.5 points
81.5%
81.5%
79¢ bid, 84¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
84¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Over 33.5 points
81.5%
Kalshi 81.5%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 33.5 points
- Last price
- 81.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 84¢
- Sell Yes
- 79¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $119 (1.19x)
Over 36.5 points74.5%74.5%72¢ bid, 77¢ askpolled, 6 h ago77¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $130 (1.30x)Over 36.5 points74.5%Kalshi 74.5%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Over 36.5 points
74.5%
74.5%
72¢ bid, 77¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
77¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Over 36.5 points
74.5%
Kalshi 74.5%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 36.5 points
- Last price
- 74.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 77¢
- Sell Yes
- 72¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $130 (1.30x)
Over 39.5 points69%69%65¢ bid, 69¢ askpolled, 6 h ago69¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $145 (1.45x)Over 39.5 points69%Kalshi 69%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Over 39.5 points
69%
69%
65¢ bid, 69¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
69¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Over 39.5 points
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 39.5 points
- Last price
- 69%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- 65¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
- Volume
- $1
Over 42.5 points57%57%57¢ bid, 58¢ askpolled, 6 h ago58¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $172 (1.72x)Over 42.5 points57%Kalshi 57%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Over 42.5 points
57%
57%
57¢ bid, 58¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
58¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Over 42.5 points
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 42.5 points
- Last price
- 57%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 58¢
- Sell Yes
- 57¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $172 (1.72x)
- Volume
- $311
Over 43.5 points56%56%55¢ bid, 57¢ askpolled, 6 h ago57¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $175 (1.75x)Over 43.5 points56%Kalshi 56%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Over 43.5 points
56%
56%
55¢ bid, 57¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
57¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Over 43.5 points
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 43.5 points
- Last price
- 56%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 57¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $175 (1.75x)
Over 44.5 points55%55%55¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 6 h ago56¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $179 (1.79x)Over 44.5 points55%Kalshi 55%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Over 44.5 points
55%
55%
55¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
56¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Over 44.5 points
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 44.5 points
- Last price
- 55%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
- Volume
- $2K
Over 45.5 points49%49%49¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 6 h ago50¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Over 45.5 points49%Kalshi 49%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Over 45.5 points
49%
49%
49¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
50¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Over 45.5 points
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 45.5 points
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
- Volume
- $568
Show 9 more outcomesHide 9 outcomes
Over 46.5 points47%47%46¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 6 h ago48¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Over 46.5 points47%Kalshi 47%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Over 46.5 points
47%
47%
46¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
48¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Over 46.5 points
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 46.5 points
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
Over 47.5 points44.5%44.5%43¢ bid, 46¢ askpolled, 6 h ago46¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $217 (2.17x)Over 47.5 points44.5%Kalshi 44.5%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Over 47.5 points
44.5%
44.5%
43¢ bid, 46¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
46¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Over 47.5 points
44.5%
Kalshi 44.5%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 47.5 points
- Last price
- 44.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 43¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
Over 48.5 points43.5%43.5%43¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 6 h ago44¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Over 48.5 points43.5%Kalshi 43.5%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Over 48.5 points
43.5%
43.5%
43¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
44¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Over 48.5 points
43.5%
Kalshi 43.5%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 48.5 points
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 43¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
Over 51.5 points34.5%34.5%33¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 6 h ago36¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Over 51.5 points34.5%Kalshi 34.5%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Over 51.5 points
34.5%
34.5%
33¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
36¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Over 51.5 points
34.5%
Kalshi 34.5%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 51.5 points
- Last price
- 34.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
Over 54.5 points26%26%26¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 6 h ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Over 54.5 points26%Kalshi 26%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Over 54.5 points
26%
26%
26¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Over 54.5 points
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 54.5 points
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $453
Over 57.5 points21.5%21.5%20¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 6 h ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Over 57.5 points21.5%Kalshi 21.5%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Over 57.5 points
21.5%
21.5%
20¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Over 57.5 points
21.5%
Kalshi 21.5%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 57.5 points
- Last price
- 21.5%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
Over 60.5 points16%16%13¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 6 h ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Over 60.5 points16%Kalshi 16%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Over 60.5 points
16%
16%
13¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Over 60.5 points
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 60.5 points
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Over 63.5 points13%13%10¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 6 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Over 63.5 points13%Kalshi 13%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Over 63.5 points
13%
13%
10¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Over 63.5 points
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 63.5 points
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $37
Over 66.5 points10%10%6¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 6 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Over 66.5 points10%Kalshi 10%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Over 66.5 points
10%
10%
6¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 6 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Over 66.5 points
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 6 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 66.5 points
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 6 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $42
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Over 24.5 points
- Over 27.5 points
- Over 30.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Iowa vs Northwestern: Total Points". Over 24.5 points leads at 95.5%. Next is Over 27.5 points at 90.5%. $3K has traded across 19 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 10, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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