The Prediction Markets

Jose Mauro Delano vs Murtazali Magomedov: Method of Victory

Closes
Nov 21, 2026, in 14 days
Traded
$2K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
3 min ago
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What the markets expect

Jose Mauro Delano by Decision 24.9%

Next is Murtazali Magomedov by Submission at 19.1%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Jose Mauro Delano by Decision 24.9%Murtazali Magomedov by Submission 19.1%Jose Mauro Delano by KO/TKO/DQ 16.3%Murtazali Magomedov by Decision 14.4%Murtazali Magomedov by KO/TKO/DQ 13.4%2 others 11.9%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Jose Mauro Delano by Decision
24.9%
Kalshi 26%(24.9% fair)polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jose Mauro Delano by Decision
Last price
26%
Fair, margin removed
24.9%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$68
Trade this on Kalshi
Murtazali Magomedov by Submission
19.1%
Kalshi 20%(19.1% fair)polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Murtazali Magomedov by Submission
Last price
20%
Fair, margin removed
19.1%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$836
Trade this on Kalshi
Jose Mauro Delano by KO/TKO/DQ
16.3%
Kalshi 17%(16.3% fair)polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jose Mauro Delano by KO/TKO/DQ
Last price
17%
Fair, margin removed
16.3%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$238
Trade this on Kalshi
Murtazali Magomedov by Decision
14.4%
Kalshi 15%(14.4% fair)polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Murtazali Magomedov by Decision
Last price
15%
Fair, margin removed
14.4%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$250
Trade this on Kalshi
Murtazali Magomedov by KO/TKO/DQ
13.4%
Kalshi 14%(13.4% fair)polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Murtazali Magomedov by KO/TKO/DQ
Last price
14%
Fair, margin removed
13.4%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$250
Trade this on Kalshi
Jose Mauro Delano by Submission
10.5%
Kalshi 11%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jose Mauro Delano by Submission
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$94
Trade this on Kalshi
Draw/No Contest
1.4%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Draw/No Contest
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports, Paramount+

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Jose Mauro Delano by Decision
  • Murtazali Magomedov by Submission
  • Jose Mauro Delano by KO/TKO/DQ

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Jose Mauro Delano vs Murtazali Magomedov: Method of Victory". Jose Mauro Delano by Decision leads at 24.9%. Next is Murtazali Magomedov by Submission at 19.1%. $2K has traded across 7 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 21, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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