The Prediction Markets

Kikuchi vs Ichikawa

LiveKickoff In play now; prices move fast
Traded
$23K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Taisei Ichikawa 85%

Next is Kobe: Yuta Kikuchi vs Taisei Ichikawa at 52.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Taisei Ichikawa
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Taisei Ichikawa
Last price
85%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kobe: Yuta Kikuchi vs Taisei Ichikawa
52.5%
Polymarket 52.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kobe: Yuta Kikuchi vs Taisei Ichikawa Match O/U 21.5
Last price
52.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Kobe: Yuta Kikuchi vs Taisei Ichikawa
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 40s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Kobe: Yuta Kikuchi vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 2 Winner
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Kobe: Yuta Kikuchi vs Taisei Ichikawa
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 40s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Kobe: Yuta Kikuchi vs Taisei Ichikawa Match O/U 23.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Kobe: Yuta Kikuchi vs Taisei Ichikawa
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kobe: Yuta Kikuchi vs Taisei Ichikawa Set 1 Winner
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kobe: Yuta Kikuchi vs Taisei Ichikawa
46.5%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kobe: Yuta Kikuchi vs Taisei Ichikawa Match O/U 22.5
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Kobe: Yuta Kikuchi vs Taisei Ichikawa
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kobe: Yuta Kikuchi vs Taisei Ichikawa Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kobe: Yuta Kikuchi vs Taisei Ichikawa
34.5%
Polymarket 34.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Taisei Ichikawa (-1.5) vs Yuta Kikuchi (+1.5)
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kobe: Yuta Kikuchi vs Taisei Ichikawa
28.5%
Polymarket 28.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Yuta Kikuchi (-1.5) vs Taisei Ichikawa (+1.5)
Last price
28.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Yuta Kikuchi
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Yuta Kikuchi
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kobe: Yuta Kikuchi vs Taisei Ichikawa
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 40s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kobe: Yuta Kikuchi vs Taisei Ichikawa
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ATP

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Taisei Ichikawa
  • Kobe: Yuta Kikuchi vs Taisei Ichikawa
  • Kobe: Yuta Kikuchi vs Taisei Ichikawa

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Taisei Ichikawa for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Kikuchi vs Ichikawa". Taisei Ichikawa leads at 85%. Next is Kobe: Yuta Kikuchi vs Taisei Ichikawa at 52.5%. $23K has traded across 11 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 29, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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