The Prediction Markets

Knoxville: Liam Draxl vs Petr Nesterov

Starts in 6 hKickoff
Traded
$24K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Liam Draxl 77%

Next is Knoxville: Liam Draxl vs Petr Nesterov at 76.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Liam Draxl
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
Contract
Liam Draxl
Last price
77%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$19K
Trade this on Kalshi
Knoxville: Liam Draxl vs Petr Nesterov
76.5%
Polymarket 76.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 77¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Polymarket
Contract
Knoxville: Liam Draxl vs Petr Nesterov
Last price
76.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Knoxville: Liam Draxl vs Petr Nesterov
71%
Polymarket 71%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 72¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Polymarket
Contract
Knoxville: Liam Draxl vs Petr Nesterov Set 1 Winner
Last price
71%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Knoxville: Liam Draxl vs Petr Nesterov
60.5%
Polymarket 60.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Polymarket
Contract
Knoxville: Liam Draxl vs Petr Nesterov Game Spread +/-3.5
Last price
60.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Knoxville: Liam Draxl vs Petr Nesterov
55.5%
Polymarket 55.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Liam Draxl (-1.5) vs Petr Nesterov (+1.5)
Last price
55.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Knoxville: Liam Draxl vs Petr Nesterov
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Knoxville: Liam Draxl vs Petr Nesterov Match O/U 21.5
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Knoxville: Liam Draxl vs Petr Nesterov
45%
Polymarket 45%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
Contract
Knoxville: Liam Draxl vs Petr Nesterov Match O/U 23.5
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Knoxville: Liam Draxl vs Petr Nesterov
43%
Polymarket 43%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Knoxville: Liam Draxl vs Petr Nesterov Match O/U 22.5
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Knoxville: Liam Draxl vs Petr Nesterov
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 76¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Polymarket
Contract
Knoxville: Liam Draxl vs Petr Nesterov Set 2 Winner
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Knoxville: Liam Draxl vs Petr Nesterov
33%
Polymarket 33%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
Knoxville: Liam Draxl vs Petr Nesterov Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
33%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Pyotr Nesterov
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pyotr Nesterov
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Knoxville: Liam Draxl vs Petr Nesterov
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Petr Nesterov (-1.5) vs Liam Draxl (+1.5)
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ATP

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Liam Draxl
  • Knoxville: Liam Draxl vs Petr Nesterov
  • Knoxville: Liam Draxl vs Petr Nesterov

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Liam Draxl for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Knoxville: Liam Draxl vs Petr Nesterov". Liam Draxl leads at 77%. Next is Knoxville: Liam Draxl vs Petr Nesterov at 76.5%. $24K has traded across 12 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 18, 2026.

This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Draxl and Petr Nesterov in the Knoxville, originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against Petr Nesterov. This market will resolve to 'Petr Nesterov' if Petr Nesterov advances against Liam Draxl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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