The Prediction Markets

Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy

Starts in 5 h 45 minKickoff
Traded
$4K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
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What the markets expect

Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy 61.5%

Next is Nicolas Mejia at 61%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy
61.5%
Polymarket 61.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Polymarket
Contract
Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy
Last price
61.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Nicolas Mejia
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nicolas Mejia
Last price
61%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$239
Trade this on Kalshi
Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy
57%
Polymarket 57%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 58¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Polymarket
Contract
Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy Set 1 Winner
Last price
57%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy
56.5%
Polymarket 56.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 58¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Polymarket
Contract
Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy Match O/U 21.5
Last price
56.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Completed Match
53%
Polymarket 53%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Completed Match
Last price
53%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$480
Trade this on Polymarket
Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy Set 2 Winner
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy Match O/U 22.5
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy
44%
Polymarket 44%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy Match O/U 23.5
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy
42.5%
Polymarket 42.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy Game Spread +/-3.5
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy
42%
Polymarket 42%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 3 more outcomes
Jack Kennedy
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jack Kennedy
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$904
Trade this on Kalshi
Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy
36%
Polymarket 36%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Nicolas Mejia (-1.5) vs Jack Kennedy (+1.5)
Last price
36%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy
20.5%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Jack Kennedy (-1.5) vs Nicolas Mejia (+1.5)
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ATP

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy
  • Nicolas Mejia
  • Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy". Knoxville: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy leads at 61.5%. Next is Nicolas Mejia at 61%. $4K has traded across 13 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 16, 2026.

This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolas Mejia and Jack Kennedy in the Knoxville, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Mejia' if Nicolas Mejia advances against Jack Kennedy. This market will resolve to 'Jack Kennedy' if Jack Kennedy advances against Nicolas Mejia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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