The Prediction Markets

Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko

LiveKickoff In play now; prices move fast
Traded
$4K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
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What the markets expect

Sebastian Dominko 70%

Next is Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko at 67%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Sebastian Dominko
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sebastian Dominko
Last price
70%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
67%
Polymarket 67%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko Set 1 Winner
Last price
67%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
34¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
60.5%
Polymarket 60.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Polymarket
Contract
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko Match O/U 21.5
Last price
60.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Polymarket
Completed Match
55%
Polymarket 55%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Completed Match
Last price
55%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
10¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
51.5%
Polymarket 51.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko Match O/U 22.5
Last price
51.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min ago
Polymarket
Contract
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko Set 2 Winner
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
46.5%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Sebastian Dominko (-1.5) vs Patrick Zahraj (+1.5)
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
44.5%
Polymarket 44.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko Match O/U 23.5
Last price
44.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
31.5%
Polymarket 31.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
Last price
31.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Patrick Zahraj
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Zahraj
Last price
31%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$638
Trade this on Kalshi
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
18%
Polymarket 18%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Patrick Zahraj (-1.5) vs Sebastian Dominko (+1.5)
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ATP

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Sebastian Dominko
  • Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
  • Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Sebastian Dominko for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko". Sebastian Dominko leads at 70%. Next is Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko at 67%. $4K has traded across 12 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 15, 2026.

This market refers to the tennis match between Patrick Zahraj and Sebastian Dominko in the Knoxville, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 2:40PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Zahraj' if Patrick Zahraj advances against Sebastian Dominko. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Dominko' if Sebastian Dominko advances against Patrick Zahraj. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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