The Prediction Markets

Kubler vs Vujic

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$47K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
4 h ago
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What the markets expect

Sydney: Jason Kubler vs Stefan Vujic Set 1 Winner 99.6%

Next is Kubler at 95.9%. The venues differ most on Kubler (Polymarket 95%, Kalshi 97%), a 2.0-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Sydney: Jason Kubler vs Stefan Vujic Set 1 Winner
99.6%
Polymarket 99.6%polled, 4 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Sydney: Jason Kubler vs Stefan Vujic Set 1 Winner
Last price
99.6%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.2¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Kubler
95.9%
Polymarket 95%polled, 4 h agoKalshi 97%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sydney: Jason Kubler vs Stefan Vujic
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
94¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jason Kubler
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 4 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Sydney: Jason Kubler vs Stefan Vujic Set 1 Winner
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Sydney: Jason Kubler vs Stefan Vujic Match O/U 23.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Sydney: Jason Kubler vs Stefan Vujic Set 1 Winner
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Sydney: Jason Kubler vs Stefan Vujic Match O/U 21.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Sydney: Jason Kubler vs Stefan Vujic Set 1 Winner
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Sydney: Jason Kubler vs Stefan Vujic Match O/U 22.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Sydney: Jason Kubler vs Stefan Vujic Set 1 Winner
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Sydney: Jason Kubler vs Stefan Vujic Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Sydney: Jason Kubler vs Stefan Vujic Set 1 Winner
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Jason Kubler (-1.5) vs Stefan Vujic (+1.5)
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Sydney: Jason Kubler vs Stefan Vujic Set 1 Winner
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Sydney: Jason Kubler vs Stefan Vujic Set 2 Winner
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Stefan Vujic
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stefan Vujic
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$29K
Trade this on Kalshi
Sydney: Jason Kubler vs Stefan Vujic Set 1 Winner
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Stefan Vujic (-1.5) vs Jason Kubler (+1.5)
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Venue prices are 4 h old, so we are not showing a cross-venue spread. Check each venue for current prices. Find markets with fresh spreads

Mostly the same bet: two differences

Where they differ

  • If the match is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the match does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the match is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (tennis: ~14 days).
  • Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ATP
Show full rule comparison
  • If the match is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the match does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the match is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (tennis: ~14 days).
  • Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
  • Trading closes Nov 21, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 28, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Sydney: Jason Kubler vs Stefan Vujic Set 1 Winner
  • Kubler
  • Sydney: Jason Kubler vs Stefan Vujic Set 1 Winner

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Sydney: Jason Kubler vs Stefan Vujic Set 1 Winner for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Kubler vs Vujic". Sydney: Jason Kubler vs Stefan Vujic Set 1 Winner leads at 99.6%. Next is Kubler at 95.9%. $47K has traded across 10 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 28, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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