The Prediction Markets

Kumstat vs Mayot

Starts in 5 h 48 minKickoff
Traded
$9K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
2 min ago
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What the markets expect

Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot Match O/U 22.5 81.5%

Next is Harold Mayot at 61%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot Match O/U 22.5
81.5%
Polymarket 81.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 85¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot Set 1 O/U 8.5
Last price
81.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Harold Mayot
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
Contract
Harold Mayot
Last price
61%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot Match O/U 22.5
60.5%
Polymarket 60.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot Match O/U 21.5
Last price
60.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot Match O/U 22.5
53.5%
Polymarket 53.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot Game Spread +/-1.5
Last price
53.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$94
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot Match O/U 22.5
53%
Polymarket 53%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot Match O/U 22.5
Last price
53%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Completed Match
51%
Polymarket 51%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Completed Match
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot Match O/U 22.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot Set 2 Winner
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot Match O/U 22.5
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot Set 2 O/U 9.5
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot Match O/U 22.5
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot Set 2 O/U 10.5
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot Match O/U 22.5
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot Set 2 O/U 8.5
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 7 more outcomes
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot Match O/U 22.5
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot Set 1 O/U 9.5
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot Match O/U 22.5
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot Match O/U 23.5
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot Match O/U 22.5
42%
Polymarket 42%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot Set 1 Winner
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kumstat
40.4%
Polymarket 40.5%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 40%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Jan Kumstat
Last price
40%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$51
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 40¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 40¢.

Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot Match O/U 22.5
39%
Polymarket 39%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot Match O/U 22.5
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot Set Handicap +/-1.5
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot Match O/U 22.5
34%
Polymarket 34%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot Set 1 O/U 10.5
Last price
34%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Polymarket

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Mostly the same bet: two differences

Where they differ

  • If the match is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the match does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the match is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (tennis: ~14 days).
  • Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ATP
Show full rule comparison
  • If the match is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the match does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the match is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (tennis: ~14 days).
  • Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
  • Trading closes Nov 13, 2026, 3:30 AM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 20, 2026, 3:10 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot Match O/U 22.5
  • Harold Mayot
  • Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot Match O/U 22.5

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot Match O/U 22.5 for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Kumstat vs Mayot". Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot Match O/U 22.5 leads at 81.5%. Next is Harold Mayot at 61%. $9K has traded across 17 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 20, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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