The Prediction Markets

Las Vegas vs San Francisco: Team Total

Closes
Nov 10, 2026, in 6 days
Traded
$2K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
3 h ago
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What the markets expect

San Francisco over 3.5 points 99%

Next is San Francisco over 7.5 points at 97%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
San Francisco over 3.5 points
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Francisco over 3.5 points
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
94¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$108
Trade this on Kalshi
San Francisco over 7.5 points
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Francisco over 7.5 points
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
94¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Las Vegas over 3.5 points
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Las Vegas over 3.5 points
Last price
96%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
95¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
San Francisco over 14.5 points
95.5%
Kalshi 95.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Francisco over 14.5 points
Last price
95.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
94¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Las Vegas over 7.5 points
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Las Vegas over 7.5 points
Last price
94%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
92¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
San Francisco over 10.5 points
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Francisco over 10.5 points
Last price
94%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
94¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$220
Trade this on Kalshi
San Francisco over 17.5 points
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Francisco over 17.5 points
Last price
92%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
92¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$94
Trade this on Kalshi
San Francisco over 20.5 points
90.5%
Kalshi 90.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Francisco over 20.5 points
Last price
90.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Kalshi
San Francisco over 21.5 points
87.5%
Kalshi 87.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Francisco over 21.5 points
Last price
87.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Las Vegas over 10.5 points
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
Las Vegas over 10.5 points
Last price
87%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 17 more outcomes
San Francisco over 24.5 points
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Francisco over 24.5 points
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$158
Trade this on Kalshi
Las Vegas over 14.5 points
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
Contract
Las Vegas over 14.5 points
Last price
74%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$16
Trade this on Kalshi
Las Vegas over 17.5 points
63.5%
Kalshi 63.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
Contract
Las Vegas over 17.5 points
Last price
63.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Trade this on Kalshi
San Francisco over 28.5 points
62.5%
Kalshi 62.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Francisco over 28.5 points
Last price
62.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Trade this on Kalshi
San Francisco over 30.5 points
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Francisco over 30.5 points
Last price
56%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$43
Trade this on Kalshi
Las Vegas over 20.5 points
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Las Vegas over 20.5 points
Last price
54%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$160
Trade this on Kalshi
San Francisco over 31.5 points
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Francisco over 31.5 points
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$69
Trade this on Kalshi
Las Vegas over 21.5 points
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Las Vegas over 21.5 points
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Trade this on Kalshi
San Francisco over 35.5 points
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Francisco over 35.5 points
Last price
33%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Kalshi
Las Vegas over 24.5 points
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
Las Vegas over 24.5 points
Last price
33%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Las Vegas over 28.5 points
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Las Vegas over 28.5 points
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Trade this on Kalshi
San Francisco over 38.5 points
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Francisco over 38.5 points
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$78
Trade this on Kalshi
Las Vegas over 31.5 points
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Las Vegas over 31.5 points
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$296
Trade this on Kalshi
San Francisco over 42.5 points
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Francisco over 42.5 points
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$219
Trade this on Kalshi
Las Vegas over 35.5 points
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Las Vegas over 35.5 points
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Las Vegas over 38.5 points
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Las Vegas over 38.5 points
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Las Vegas over 42.5 points
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Las Vegas over 42.5 points
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • San Francisco over 3.5 points
  • San Francisco over 7.5 points
  • Las Vegas over 3.5 points

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Las Vegas vs San Francisco: Team Total". San Francisco over 3.5 points leads at 99%. Next is San Francisco over 7.5 points at 97%. $2K has traded across 27 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 10, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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