The Prediction Markets

Lugano vs Kauno

Starts in 22 hKickoff
Traded
$41K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
4 h ago
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What the markets expect

Lugano 82%

Next is FC Lugano 5 - 3 FK Kauno Žalgiris at 22%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Lugano
82%
Kalshi 82%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lugano
Last price
82%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$518
Trade this on Kalshi
FC Lugano 5 - 3 FK Kauno Žalgiris
22%
Polymarket 22%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 5 - 3 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Lugano 3 - 5 FK Kauno Žalgiris
18.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 3 - 5 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Lugano 1 - 4 FK Kauno Žalgiris
16.1%
Polymarket 16.1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 32.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $312 (3.12x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 1 - 4 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
16.1%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
32.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$312 (3.12x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Lugano 1 - 5 FK Kauno Žalgiris
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 1 - 5 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Lugano 4 - 3 FK Kauno Žalgiris
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 31.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 4 - 3 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
31.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Lugano 0 - 4 FK Kauno Žalgiris
15.6%
Polymarket 15.6%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 31.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $322 (3.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 0 - 4 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
15.6%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
31.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$322 (3.22x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Lugano 5 - 4 FK Kauno Žalgiris
14.5%
Polymarket 14.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 5 - 4 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Any Other Score
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
Any Other Score
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$39K
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Lugano 0 - 5 FK Kauno Žalgiris
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 0 - 5 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 30 more outcomes
FC Lugano 4 - 5 FK Kauno Žalgiris
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 4 - 5 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Tie
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tie
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$220
Trade this on Kalshi
FC Lugano 2 - 0 FK Kauno Žalgiris
11%
Polymarket 11%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 2 - 0 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Lugano 3 - 0 FK Kauno Žalgiris
11%
Polymarket 11%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 3 - 0 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Lugano 2 - 1 FK Kauno Žalgiris
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 2 - 1 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Lugano 1 - 0 FK Kauno Žalgiris
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 1 - 0 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Lugano 3 - 1 FK Kauno Žalgiris
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 3 - 1 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Lugano 4 - 0 FK Kauno Žalgiris
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 4 - 0 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kauno
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kauno
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
FC Lugano 1 - 1 FK Kauno Žalgiris
5.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 1 - 1 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
5.6¢
Sell Yes
4.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,786 (17.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Lugano 5 - 5 FK Kauno Žalgiris
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 5 - 5 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Lugano 2 - 4 FK Kauno Žalgiris
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 2 - 4 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
9.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,010 (10.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Lugano 4 - 1 FK Kauno Žalgiris
4.9%
Polymarket 4.9%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 4 - 1 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
4.9%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
7.6¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,316 (13.2x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Lugano 2 - 5 FK Kauno Žalgiris
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 2 - 5 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Lugano 5 - 0 FK Kauno Žalgiris
4.2%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 8.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 5 - 0 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
8.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,205 (12.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Lugano 3 - 4 FK Kauno Žalgiris
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 3 - 4 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
7.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,266 (12.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Lugano 4 - 4 FK Kauno Žalgiris
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 4 - 4 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Lugano 5 - 1 FK Kauno Žalgiris
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 5 - 1 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
6.5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,538 (15.4x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Lugano 3 - 2 FK Kauno Žalgiris
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 3 - 2 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
3.5¢
Sell Yes
2.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,857 (28.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Lugano 2 - 2 FK Kauno Žalgiris
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 2 - 2 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Lugano 0 - 0 FK Kauno Žalgiris
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 0 - 0 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
2.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Lugano 5 - 2 FK Kauno Žalgiris
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 5 - 2 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Lugano 1 - 2 FK Kauno Žalgiris
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 1 - 2 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
2.4¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,167 (41.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Lugano 4 - 2 FK Kauno Žalgiris
1.9%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 4 - 2 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
3.6¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,778 (27.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Lugano 0 - 1 FK Kauno Žalgiris
1.7%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 0 - 1 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Lugano 3 - 3 FK Kauno Žalgiris
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 3 - 3 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Lugano 0 - 2 FK Kauno Žalgiris
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 0 - 2 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Lugano 2 - 3 FK Kauno Žalgiris
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 2 - 3 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Lugano 0 - 3 FK Kauno Žalgiris
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 0 - 3 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Polymarket
FC Lugano 1 - 3 FK Kauno Žalgiris
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
FC Lugano 1 - 3 FK Kauno Žalgiris
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: uefa.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Lugano
  • FC Lugano 5 - 3 FK Kauno Žalgiris
  • FC Lugano 3 - 5 FK Kauno Žalgiris

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Lugano for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Lugano vs Kauno". Lugano leads at 82%. Next is FC Lugano 5 - 3 FK Kauno Žalgiris at 22%. $41K has traded across 40 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 7, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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