The Prediction Markets

M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$6K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
3 h ago
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What the markets expect

M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro 50.5%

Next is M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro at 50%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Giannicola Misasi (-1.5) vs Mariano Tammaro (+1.5)
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$250
Trade this on Polymarket
M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Mariano Tammaro (-1.5) vs Giannicola Misasi (+1.5)
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$409
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: itftennis.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro
  • M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro
  • M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro". M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro leads at 50.5%. Next is M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Giannicola Misasi vs Mariano Tammaro at 50%. $6K has traded across 3 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 11, 2026.

This market refers to the tennis match between Giannicola Misasi and Mariano Tammaro in the M15 San Gregorio di Catania, Main Draw, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giannicola Misasi' if Giannicola Misasi advances against Mariano Tammaro. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Tammaro' if Mariano Tammaro advances against Giannicola Misasi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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