The Prediction Markets

M25 Guadalajara: Jesse Flores vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Starts in 12 hKickoff
Traded
$1K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
8 min ago
Share

Cite these odds

Free to quote with credit. Prices move, so keep the time.

Citation

Link to the live page
Image1200 × 675 card with the time printed on itDownload PNG

How to describe the numbers, and the reuse terms, are on the press page.

Embed this on your site

Free to use with the credit link. Prices refresh every minute.

Widget
Theme
Size

The script resizes the frame to fit; the iframe works without it.

Newsletters can’t run the live widget, so this is a picture of it with the time printed on it, linking to the live page.

What the markets expect

M25 Guadalajara: Jesse Flores vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 58.3%

Next is M25 Guadalajara: Jesse Flores vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez at 35.4%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

M25 Guadalajara: Jesse Flores vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 58.3%M25 Guadalajara: Jesse Flores vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 35.4%M25 Guadalajara: Jesse Flores vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 6.3%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 8 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
M25 Guadalajara: Jesse Flores vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
58.3%
Polymarket 51%(58.3% fair)polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez (-1.5) vs Jesse Flores (+1.5)
Last price
51%
Fair, margin removed
58.3%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
M25 Guadalajara: Jesse Flores vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
35.4%
Polymarket 31%(35.4% fair)polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Jesse Flores (-1.5) vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez (+1.5)
Last price
31%
Fair, margin removed
35.4%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$465
Trade this on Polymarket
M25 Guadalajara: Jesse Flores vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
6.3%
Polymarket 5.5%(6.3% fair)polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
M25 Guadalajara: Jesse Flores vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Last price
5.5%
Fair, margin removed
6.3%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$645
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: itftennis.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • M25 Guadalajara: Jesse Flores vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
  • M25 Guadalajara: Jesse Flores vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
  • M25 Guadalajara: Jesse Flores vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Cover all 3 outcomes across venues

Loading every outcome’s book…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "M25 Guadalajara: Jesse Flores vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez". M25 Guadalajara: Jesse Flores vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez leads at 58.3%. Next is M25 Guadalajara: Jesse Flores vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez at 35.4%. $1K has traded across 3 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 12, 2026.

This market refers to the tennis match between Jesse Flores and Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez in the M25 Guadalajara, Main Draw, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jesse Flores' if Jesse Flores advances against Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez. This market will resolve to 'Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez' if Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez advances against Jesse Flores. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More sports markets

See all sports markets
M25 Guadalajara: Jesse Flores vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Odds, Platforms, and Market Data | The Prediction Markets