The Prediction Markets

Manchester United vs Aston Villa: Spread

Starts in 4 daysKickoff
Traded
$50K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
4 h ago
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What the markets expect

Manchester United FC 44%

Next is Aston Villa FC at 30.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Manchester United FC
44%
Polymarket 44%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Aston Villa FC
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aston Villa FC
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Draw (Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC)
26%
Polymarket 26%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Draw (Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC)
Last price
26%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$95
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United wins by more than 1.5 goals
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Manchester United wins by more than 1.5 goals
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Manchester United FC 0 - 5 Aston Villa FC
21%
Polymarket 21%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 0 - 5 Aston Villa FC
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United FC 1 - 5 Aston Villa FC
21%
Polymarket 21%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 1 - 5 Aston Villa FC
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United FC 5 - 0 Aston Villa FC
21%
Polymarket 21%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 5 - 0 Aston Villa FC
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United FC 3 - 5 Aston Villa FC
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 3 - 5 Aston Villa FC
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United FC 4 - 5 Aston Villa FC
15.4%
Polymarket 15.4%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 30.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $325 (3.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 4 - 5 Aston Villa FC
Last price
15.4%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
30.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$325 (3.25x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United FC 5 - 4 Aston Villa FC
15.4%
Polymarket 15.4%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 30.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $325 (3.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 5 - 4 Aston Villa FC
Last price
15.4%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
30.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$325 (3.25x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 34 more outcomes
Aston Villa wins by more than 1.5 goals
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aston Villa wins by more than 1.5 goals
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$63
Trade this on Kalshi
Manchester United FC 5 - 1 Aston Villa FC
15%
Polymarket 15%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 5 - 1 Aston Villa FC
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Any Other Score
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
Any Other Score
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$39K
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United FC 5 - 3 Aston Villa FC
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 5 - 3 Aston Villa FC
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United FC 4 - 3 Aston Villa FC
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 4 - 3 Aston Villa FC
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United FC 1 - 1 Aston Villa FC
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 1 - 1 Aston Villa FC
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United FC 2 - 1 Aston Villa FC
9.5%
Polymarket 9.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 2 - 1 Aston Villa FC
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$32
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United wins by more than 1.5 goals
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Manchester United wins by more than 2.5 goals
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Manchester United FC 0 - 4 Aston Villa FC
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 0 - 4 Aston Villa FC
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United FC 4 - 0 Aston Villa FC
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 4 - 0 Aston Villa FC
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United FC 1 - 0 Aston Villa FC
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 1 - 0 Aston Villa FC
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$26
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United FC 1 - 2 Aston Villa FC
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 1 - 2 Aston Villa FC
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$69
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United FC 2 - 2 Aston Villa FC
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 2 - 2 Aston Villa FC
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Aston Villa wins by more than 1.5 goals
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aston Villa wins by more than 2.5 goals
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Manchester United FC 2 - 0 Aston Villa FC
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 2 - 0 Aston Villa FC
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United FC 0 - 1 Aston Villa FC
5.7%
Polymarket 5.7%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 0 - 1 Aston Villa FC
Last price
5.7%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
6.2¢
Sell Yes
5.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,613 (16.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United FC 3 - 1 Aston Villa FC
5.2%
Polymarket 5.2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 3 - 1 Aston Villa FC
Last price
5.2%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
4.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United FC 0 - 0 Aston Villa FC
5.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 0 - 0 Aston Villa FC
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
4.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United FC 1 - 4 Aston Villa FC
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 1 - 4 Aston Villa FC
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United FC 2 - 5 Aston Villa FC
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 2 - 5 Aston Villa FC
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United FC 5 - 5 Aston Villa FC
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 5 - 5 Aston Villa FC
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United FC 0 - 2 Aston Villa FC
3.9%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 0 - 2 Aston Villa FC
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
4.3¢
Sell Yes
3.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,326 (23.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United FC 3 - 2 Aston Villa FC
3.9%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 3 - 2 Aston Villa FC
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
3.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United FC 3 - 4 Aston Villa FC
3.9%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,299 (13.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 3 - 4 Aston Villa FC
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
7.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,299 (13.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United FC 3 - 0 Aston Villa FC
3.8%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 3 - 0 Aston Villa FC
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
3.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United FC 4 - 4 Aston Villa FC
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 4 - 4 Aston Villa FC
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
6.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,493 (14.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United FC 1 - 3 Aston Villa FC
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 1 - 3 Aston Villa FC
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
3.5¢
Sell Yes
2.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,857 (28.6x)
Volume
$29
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United FC 2 - 3 Aston Villa FC
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 2 - 3 Aston Villa FC
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
3.1¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,226 (32.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United FC 2 - 4 Aston Villa FC
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 2 - 4 Aston Villa FC
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United FC 0 - 3 Aston Villa FC
1.9%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 0 - 3 Aston Villa FC
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
2.4¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,167 (41.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United FC 4 - 1 Aston Villa FC
1.7%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 4 - 1 Aston Villa FC
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
3.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,125 (31.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United FC 3 - 3 Aston Villa FC
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 3 - 3 Aston Villa FC
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
2.2¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,545 (45.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United FC 4 - 2 Aston Villa FC
1.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 4 - 2 Aston Villa FC
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
2.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,167 (41.7x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United FC 5 - 2 Aston Villa FC
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United FC 5 - 2 Aston Villa FC
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: premierleague.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Fox Sports, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Manchester United FC
  • Aston Villa FC
  • Draw (Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC)

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Manchester United FC for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Manchester United vs Aston Villa: Spread". Manchester United FC leads at 44%. Next is Aston Villa FC at 30.5%. $50K has traded across 44 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 10, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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