The Prediction Markets

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

Closed
Jun 30, 2026
Traded
$25.6M
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Jun 30, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 175 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
600M
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 4217 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
600M
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 175 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$859K
Trade this on Polymarket
800M
99.9%
Polymarket 99.9%polled, 4217 h agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
800M
Last price
99.9%
As of
Polled 175 d ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
99.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$1.5M
Trade this on Polymarket
1B
99.6%
Polymarket 99.6%polled, 4217 h agoBest Yes 99.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
1B
Last price
99.6%
As of
Polled 175 d ago
Buy Yes
99.7¢
Sell Yes
99.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$5.6M
Trade this on Polymarket
1.5B
73.5%
Polymarket 73.5%polled, 4217 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.5B
Last price
73.5%
As of
Polled 175 d ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$1.8M
Trade this on Polymarket
2B
24.5%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, 4217 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
2B
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled 175 d ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$8.1M
Trade this on Polymarket
3B
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 4217 h agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
3B
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 175 d ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$2.8M
Trade this on Polymarket
4B
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 4217 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
4B
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 175 d ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$2.2M
Trade this on Polymarket
6B
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 4217 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
6B
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 175 d ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$2.9M
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 600M
  • 800M
  • 1B

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?". 600M last traded at 100%. Next is 800M at 99.9%. $25.6M has traded across 8 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Dec 31, 2025.

This is a market on MegaETH FDV

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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