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What the markets expect
Michigan wins by over 1.5 points 82%
Next is Michigan wins by over 2.5 points at 80.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 5 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Michigan wins by over 1.5 points82%82%81¢ bid, 83¢ askpolled, 5 h ago83¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $120 (1.20x)Michigan wins by over 1.5 points82%Kalshi 82%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Michigan wins by over 1.5 points
82%
82%
81¢ bid, 83¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
83¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Michigan wins by over 1.5 points
82%
Kalshi 82%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan wins by over 1.5 points
- Last price
- 82%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 83¢
- Sell Yes
- 81¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $120 (1.20x)
Michigan wins by over 2.5 points80.5%80.5%79¢ bid, 82¢ askpolled, 5 h ago82¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $122 (1.22x)Michigan wins by over 2.5 points80.5%Kalshi 80.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Michigan wins by over 2.5 points
80.5%
80.5%
79¢ bid, 82¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
82¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Michigan wins by over 2.5 points
80.5%
Kalshi 80.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan wins by over 2.5 points
- Last price
- 80.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 82¢
- Sell Yes
- 79¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $122 (1.22x)
Michigan wins by over 3.5 points77%77%75¢ bid, 77¢ askpolled, 5 h ago77¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $130 (1.30x)Michigan wins by over 3.5 points77%Kalshi 77%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Michigan wins by over 3.5 points
77%
77%
75¢ bid, 77¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
77¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Michigan wins by over 3.5 points
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan wins by over 3.5 points
- Last price
- 77%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 77¢
- Sell Yes
- 75¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $130 (1.30x)
- Volume
- $13
Michigan wins by over 4.5 points73.5%73.5%72¢ bid, 75¢ askpolled, 5 h ago75¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $133 (1.33x)Michigan wins by over 4.5 points73.5%Kalshi 73.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Michigan wins by over 4.5 points
73.5%
73.5%
72¢ bid, 75¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
75¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Michigan wins by over 4.5 points
73.5%
Kalshi 73.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan wins by over 4.5 points
- Last price
- 73.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 75¢
- Sell Yes
- 72¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $133 (1.33x)
Michigan wins by over 5.5 points72%72%71¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 5 h ago73¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $137 (1.37x)Michigan wins by over 5.5 points72%Kalshi 72%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Michigan wins by over 5.5 points
72%
72%
71¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
73¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Michigan wins by over 5.5 points
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan wins by over 5.5 points
- Last price
- 72%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 71¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
Michigan wins by over 6.5 points69%69%68¢ bid, 70¢ askpolled, 5 h ago70¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $143 (1.43x)Michigan wins by over 6.5 points69%Kalshi 69%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Michigan wins by over 6.5 points
69%
69%
68¢ bid, 70¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
70¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Michigan wins by over 6.5 points
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan wins by over 6.5 points
- Last price
- 69%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 70¢
- Sell Yes
- 68¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $143 (1.43x)
Michigan wins by over 7.5 points63%63%62¢ bid, 64¢ askpolled, 5 h ago64¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $156 (1.56x)Michigan wins by over 7.5 points63%Kalshi 63%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Michigan wins by over 7.5 points
63%
63%
62¢ bid, 64¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
64¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Michigan wins by over 7.5 points
63%
Kalshi 63%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan wins by over 7.5 points
- Last price
- 63%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 64¢
- Sell Yes
- 62¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $156 (1.56x)
Michigan wins by over 9.5 points61%61%58¢ bid, 61¢ askpolled, 5 h ago61¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $164 (1.64x)Michigan wins by over 9.5 points61%Kalshi 61%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Michigan wins by over 9.5 points
61%
61%
58¢ bid, 61¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
61¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Michigan wins by over 9.5 points
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan wins by over 9.5 points
- Last price
- 61%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 58¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
- Volume
- $9
Michigan wins by over 10.5 points56.5%56.5%55¢ bid, 58¢ askpolled, 5 h ago58¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $172 (1.72x)Michigan wins by over 10.5 points56.5%Kalshi 56.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Michigan wins by over 10.5 points
56.5%
56.5%
55¢ bid, 58¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
58¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Michigan wins by over 10.5 points
56.5%
Kalshi 56.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan wins by over 10.5 points
- Last price
- 56.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 58¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $172 (1.72x)
Michigan wins by over 11.5 points55%55%54¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 5 h ago56¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $179 (1.79x)Michigan wins by over 11.5 points55%Kalshi 55%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Michigan wins by over 11.5 points
55%
55%
54¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
56¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Michigan wins by over 11.5 points
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan wins by over 11.5 points
- Last price
- 55%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 54¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
Show 22 more outcomesHide 22 outcomes
Michigan wins by over 12.5 points53%53%52¢ bid, 53¢ askpolled, 5 h ago53¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $189 (1.89x)Michigan wins by over 12.5 points53%Kalshi 53%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Michigan wins by over 12.5 points
53%
53%
52¢ bid, 53¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
53¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Michigan wins by over 12.5 points
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan wins by over 12.5 points
- Last price
- 53%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 53¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $189 (1.89x)
- Volume
- $693
Michigan wins by over 13.5 points48%48%48¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 5 h ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Michigan wins by over 13.5 points48%Kalshi 48%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Michigan wins by over 13.5 points
48%
48%
48¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Michigan wins by over 13.5 points
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan wins by over 13.5 points
- Last price
- 48%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 48¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
- Volume
- $4K
Michigan wins by over 14.5 points44%44%43¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 5 h ago44¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Michigan wins by over 14.5 points44%Kalshi 44%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Michigan wins by over 14.5 points
44%
44%
43¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
44¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Michigan wins by over 14.5 points
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan wins by over 14.5 points
- Last price
- 44%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 43¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
- Volume
- $746
Michigan wins by over 16.5 points40%40%40¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, 5 h ago42¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $238 (2.38x)Michigan wins by over 16.5 points40%Kalshi 40%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Michigan wins by over 16.5 points
40%
40%
40¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
42¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Michigan wins by over 16.5 points
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan wins by over 16.5 points
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
- Volume
- $6
Michigan wins by over 17.5 points37.5%37.5%36¢ bid, 39¢ askpolled, 5 h ago39¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $256 (2.56x)Michigan wins by over 17.5 points37.5%Kalshi 37.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Michigan wins by over 17.5 points
37.5%
37.5%
36¢ bid, 39¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
39¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Michigan wins by over 17.5 points
37.5%
Kalshi 37.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan wins by over 17.5 points
- Last price
- 37.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 39¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $256 (2.56x)
Michigan wins by over 20.5 points30%30%29¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 5 h ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Michigan wins by over 20.5 points30%Kalshi 30%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Michigan wins by over 20.5 points
30%
30%
29¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Michigan wins by over 20.5 points
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan wins by over 20.5 points
- Last price
- 30%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $70
Michigan wins by over 21.5 points26.5%26.5%25¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 5 h ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Michigan wins by over 21.5 points26.5%Kalshi 26.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Michigan wins by over 21.5 points
26.5%
26.5%
25¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Michigan wins by over 21.5 points
26.5%
Kalshi 26.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan wins by over 21.5 points
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
Michigan wins by over 23.5 points23.5%23.5%22¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 5 h ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Michigan wins by over 23.5 points23.5%Kalshi 23.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Michigan wins by over 23.5 points
23.5%
23.5%
22¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Michigan wins by over 23.5 points
23.5%
Kalshi 23.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan wins by over 23.5 points
- Last price
- 23.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
Michigan wins by over 24.5 points20%20%19¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 5 h ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Michigan wins by over 24.5 points20%Kalshi 20%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Michigan wins by over 24.5 points
20%
20%
19¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Michigan wins by over 24.5 points
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan wins by over 24.5 points
- Last price
- 20%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $112
Michigan St. wins by over 1.5 points18%18%13¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 5 h ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Michigan St. wins by over 1.5 points18%Kalshi 18%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Michigan St. wins by over 1.5 points
18%
18%
13¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Michigan St. wins by over 1.5 points
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan St. wins by over 1.5 points
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $532
Michigan wins by over 27.5 points15.5%15.5%13¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 5 h ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Michigan wins by over 27.5 points15.5%Kalshi 15.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Michigan wins by over 27.5 points
15.5%
15.5%
13¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Michigan wins by over 27.5 points
15.5%
Kalshi 15.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan wins by over 27.5 points
- Last price
- 15.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
Michigan St. wins by over 2.5 points13.5%13.5%11¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 5 h ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Michigan St. wins by over 2.5 points13.5%Kalshi 13.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Michigan St. wins by over 2.5 points
13.5%
13.5%
11¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Michigan St. wins by over 2.5 points
13.5%
Kalshi 13.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan St. wins by over 2.5 points
- Last price
- 13.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Michigan wins by over 30.5 points11%11%8¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 5 h ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Michigan wins by over 30.5 points11%Kalshi 11%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Michigan wins by over 30.5 points
11%
11%
8¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Michigan wins by over 30.5 points
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan wins by over 30.5 points
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $8
Michigan St. wins by over 3.5 points9.5%9.5%7¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 5 h ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Michigan St. wins by over 3.5 points9.5%Kalshi 9.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Michigan St. wins by over 3.5 points
9.5%
9.5%
7¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Michigan St. wins by over 3.5 points
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan St. wins by over 3.5 points
- Last price
- 9.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Michigan St. wins by over 4.5 points9%9%6¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 5 h ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Michigan St. wins by over 4.5 points9%Kalshi 9%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Michigan St. wins by over 4.5 points
9%
9%
6¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Michigan St. wins by over 4.5 points
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan St. wins by over 4.5 points
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Michigan St. wins by over 5.5 points8%8%5¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 5 h ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Michigan St. wins by over 5.5 points8%Kalshi 8%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Michigan St. wins by over 5.5 points
8%
8%
5¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Michigan St. wins by over 5.5 points
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan St. wins by over 5.5 points
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Michigan St. wins by over 6.5 points7%7%4¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 5 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Michigan St. wins by over 6.5 points7%Kalshi 7%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Michigan St. wins by over 6.5 points
7%
7%
4¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Michigan St. wins by over 6.5 points
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan St. wins by over 6.5 points
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $552
Michigan St. wins by over 7.5 points4.5%4.5%3¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 5 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Michigan St. wins by over 7.5 points4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Michigan St. wins by over 7.5 points
4.5%
4.5%
3¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Michigan St. wins by over 7.5 points
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan St. wins by over 7.5 points
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Michigan St. wins by over 9.5 points3.5%3.5%2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 5 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Michigan St. wins by over 9.5 points3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Michigan St. wins by over 9.5 points
3.5%
3.5%
2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Michigan St. wins by over 9.5 points
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan St. wins by over 9.5 points
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Michigan St. wins by over 10.5 points3%3%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 5 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Michigan St. wins by over 10.5 points3%Kalshi 3%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Michigan St. wins by over 10.5 points
3%
3%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Michigan St. wins by over 10.5 points
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan St. wins by over 10.5 points
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Michigan St. wins by over 11.5 points2.5%2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 5 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Michigan St. wins by over 11.5 points2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Michigan St. wins by over 11.5 points
2.5%
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Michigan St. wins by over 11.5 points
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan St. wins by over 11.5 points
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Michigan St. wins by over 13.5 points2.5%2.5%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 5 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Michigan St. wins by over 13.5 points2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Michigan St. wins by over 13.5 points
2.5%
2.5%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Michigan St. wins by over 13.5 points
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michigan St. wins by over 13.5 points
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Michigan wins by over 1.5 points
- Michigan wins by over 2.5 points
- Michigan wins by over 3.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Michigan St. vs Michigan: Spread". Michigan wins by over 1.5 points leads at 82%. Next is Michigan wins by over 2.5 points at 80.5%. $7K has traded across 32 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 10, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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