The Prediction Markets

Mid-American Conference Men's Tournament Champion

Closes
Mar 28, 2027, in 5 months
Traded
$1K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
3 h ago
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What the markets expect

Akron 25.1%

Next is Miami (OH) at 21.1%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Akron 25.1%Miami (OH) 21.1%Kent St. 11.3%Ohio 9.7%Bowling Green 6.9%7 others 25.9%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Akron
25.1%
Kalshi 31%(25.1% fair)polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Akron
Last price
31%
Fair, margin removed
25.1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$102
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami (OH)
21.1%
Kalshi 26%(21.1% fair)polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami (OH)
Last price
26%
Fair, margin removed
21.1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$339
Trade this on Kalshi
Kent St.
11.3%
Kalshi 14%(11.3% fair)polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kent St.
Last price
14%
Fair, margin removed
11.3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$277
Trade this on Kalshi
Ohio
9.7%
Kalshi 12%(9.7% fair)polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ohio
Last price
12%
Fair, margin removed
9.7%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$400
Trade this on Kalshi
Bowling Green
6.9%
Kalshi 8.5%(6.9% fair)polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bowling Green
Last price
8.5%
Fair, margin removed
6.9%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Toledo
5.3%
Kalshi 6.5%(5.3% fair)polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Toledo
Last price
6.5%
Fair, margin removed
5.3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Central Michigan
4.9%
Kalshi 6%(4.9% fair)polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Central Michigan
Last price
6%
Fair, margin removed
4.9%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$13
Trade this on Kalshi
Western Michigan
4.1%
Kalshi 5%(4% fair)polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Western Michigan
Last price
5%
Fair, margin removed
4%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Eastern Michigan
3.6%
Kalshi 4.5%(3.6% fair)polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Eastern Michigan
Last price
4.5%
Fair, margin removed
3.6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Buffalo
3.2%
Kalshi 4%(3.2% fair)polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Buffalo
Last price
4%
Fair, margin removed
3.2%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
UMass
3.2%
Kalshi 4%(3.2% fair)polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
UMass
Last price
4%
Fair, margin removed
3.2%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ball St.
1.6%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ball St.
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN, Fox Sports

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Akron
  • Miami (OH)
  • Kent St.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Mid-American Conference Men's Tournament Champion". Akron leads at 25.1%. Next is Miami (OH) at 21.1%. $1K has traded across 12 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Mar 28, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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