The Prediction Markets

Milavsky vs Rehberg

Starts in 5 h 40 minKickoff
Traded
$7K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
2 min ago
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What the markets expect

Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg Game Spread +/-1.5 59%

Next is Max Hans Rehberg at 53%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg Game Spread +/-1.5
59%
Polymarket 59%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg Match O/U 21.5
Last price
59%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Max Hans Rehberg
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Max Hans Rehberg
Last price
53%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg Game Spread +/-1.5
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg Match O/U 22.5
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg Game Spread +/-1.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg Set 2 Winner
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg Game Spread +/-1.5
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg Set 2 O/U 8.5
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg Game Spread +/-1.5
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg Set 2 O/U 9.5
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg Game Spread +/-1.5
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg Set 1 O/U 9.5
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg Game Spread +/-1.5
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg Set 2 O/U 10.5
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg Game Spread +/-1.5
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg Game Spread +/-1.5
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Completed Match
48%
Polymarket 48%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Completed Match
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 8 more outcomes
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg Game Spread +/-1.5
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg Set 1 Winner
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Milavsky
47.4%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 47%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Milavsky
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$63
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 47¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 47¢.

Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg Game Spread +/-1.5
44.5%
Polymarket 44.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg Match O/U 23.5
Last price
44.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg Game Spread +/-1.5
41%
Polymarket 41%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg Set 1 O/U 8.5
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg Game Spread +/-1.5
40.5%
Polymarket 40.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg Game Spread +/-1.5
32%
Polymarket 32%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Max Hans Rehberg (-1.5) vs Daniel Milavsky (+1.5)
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg Game Spread +/-1.5
29.5%
Polymarket 29.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg Set 1 O/U 10.5
Last price
29.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg Game Spread +/-1.5
28%
Polymarket 28%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Daniel Milavsky (-1.5) vs Max Hans Rehberg (+1.5)
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Polymarket

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Mostly the same bet: two differences

Where they differ

  • If the match is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the match does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the match is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (tennis: ~14 days).
  • Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ATP
Show full rule comparison
  • If the match is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the match does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the match is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (tennis: ~14 days).
  • Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
  • Trading closes Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 19, 2026, 5:10 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg Game Spread +/-1.5
  • Max Hans Rehberg
  • Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg Game Spread +/-1.5

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg Game Spread +/-1.5 for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Milavsky vs Rehberg". Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg Game Spread +/-1.5 leads at 59%. Next is Max Hans Rehberg at 53%. $7K has traded across 18 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 19, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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