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What the markets expect
Penn St. wins by over 1.5 points 76%
Next is Penn St. wins by over 2.5 points at 74%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Penn St. wins by over 1.5 points76%76%74¢ bid, 78¢ askpolled, just now78¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $128 (1.28x)Penn St. wins by over 1.5 points76%Kalshi 76%polled, just nowBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Penn St. wins by over 1.5 points
76%
76%
74¢ bid, 78¢ ask
polled, just now
78¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Penn St. wins by over 1.5 points
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, just nowBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Penn St. wins by over 1.5 points
- Last price
- 76%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 78¢
- Sell Yes
- 74¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $128 (1.28x)
Penn St. wins by over 2.5 points74%74%71¢ bid, 77¢ askpolled, just now77¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $130 (1.30x)Penn St. wins by over 2.5 points74%Kalshi 74%polled, just nowBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Penn St. wins by over 2.5 points
74%
74%
71¢ bid, 77¢ ask
polled, just now
77¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Penn St. wins by over 2.5 points
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, just nowBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Penn St. wins by over 2.5 points
- Last price
- 74%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 77¢
- Sell Yes
- 71¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $130 (1.30x)
Penn St. wins by over 3.5 points68%68%65¢ bid, 71¢ askpolled, just now71¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $141 (1.41x)Penn St. wins by over 3.5 points68%Kalshi 68%polled, just nowBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Penn St. wins by over 3.5 points
68%
68%
65¢ bid, 71¢ ask
polled, just now
71¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Penn St. wins by over 3.5 points
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, just nowBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Penn St. wins by over 3.5 points
- Last price
- 68%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 71¢
- Sell Yes
- 65¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $141 (1.41x)
Penn St. wins by over 4.5 points66%66%64¢ bid, 68¢ askpolled, just now68¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $147 (1.47x)Penn St. wins by over 4.5 points66%Kalshi 66%polled, just nowBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Penn St. wins by over 4.5 points
66%
66%
64¢ bid, 68¢ ask
polled, just now
68¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Penn St. wins by over 4.5 points
66%
Kalshi 66%polled, just nowBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Penn St. wins by over 4.5 points
- Last price
- 66%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 68¢
- Sell Yes
- 64¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $147 (1.47x)
Penn St. wins by over 5.5 points63%63%61¢ bid, 65¢ askpolled, just now65¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $154 (1.54x)Penn St. wins by over 5.5 points63%Kalshi 63%polled, just nowBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Penn St. wins by over 5.5 points
63%
63%
61¢ bid, 65¢ ask
polled, just now
65¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Penn St. wins by over 5.5 points
63%
Kalshi 63%polled, just nowBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Penn St. wins by over 5.5 points
- Last price
- 63%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 65¢
- Sell Yes
- 61¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $154 (1.54x)
Penn St. wins by over 6.5 points60%60%58¢ bid, 62¢ askpolled, just now62¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $161 (1.61x)Penn St. wins by over 6.5 points60%Kalshi 60%polled, just nowBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Penn St. wins by over 6.5 points
60%
60%
58¢ bid, 62¢ ask
polled, just now
62¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Penn St. wins by over 6.5 points
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, just nowBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Penn St. wins by over 6.5 points
- Last price
- 60%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 62¢
- Sell Yes
- 58¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $161 (1.61x)
Penn St. wins by over 7.5 points54%54%52¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, just now54¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Penn St. wins by over 7.5 points54%Kalshi 54%polled, just nowBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Penn St. wins by over 7.5 points
54%
54%
52¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, just now
54¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Penn St. wins by over 7.5 points
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, just nowBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Penn St. wins by over 7.5 points
- Last price
- 54%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $276
Penn St. wins by over 9.5 points52%52%49¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, just now52¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $192 (1.92x)Penn St. wins by over 9.5 points52%Kalshi 52%polled, just nowBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Penn St. wins by over 9.5 points
52%
52%
49¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, just now
52¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Penn St. wins by over 9.5 points
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, just nowBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Penn St. wins by over 9.5 points
- Last price
- 52%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
- Volume
- $505
Penn St. wins by over 10.5 points44.5%44.5%43¢ bid, 46¢ askpolled, just now46¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $217 (2.17x)Penn St. wins by over 10.5 points44.5%Kalshi 44.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Penn St. wins by over 10.5 points
44.5%
44.5%
43¢ bid, 46¢ ask
polled, just now
46¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Penn St. wins by over 10.5 points
44.5%
Kalshi 44.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Penn St. wins by over 10.5 points
- Last price
- 44.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 46¢
- Sell Yes
- 43¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $217 (2.17x)
Penn St. wins by over 11.5 points43%43%41¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, just now45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Penn St. wins by over 11.5 points43%Kalshi 43%polled, just nowBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Penn St. wins by over 11.5 points
43%
43%
41¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, just now
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Penn St. wins by over 11.5 points
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, just nowBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Penn St. wins by over 11.5 points
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 41¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
Show 21 more outcomesHide 21 outcomes
Penn St. wins by over 13.5 points39%39%36¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, just now42¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $238 (2.38x)Penn St. wins by over 13.5 points39%Kalshi 39%polled, just nowBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Penn St. wins by over 13.5 points
39%
39%
36¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, just now
42¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Penn St. wins by over 13.5 points
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, just nowBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Penn St. wins by over 13.5 points
- Last price
- 39%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
Penn St. wins by over 14.5 points35%35%32¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, just now38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Penn St. wins by over 14.5 points35%Kalshi 35%polled, just nowBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Penn St. wins by over 14.5 points
35%
35%
32¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, just now
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Penn St. wins by over 14.5 points
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, just nowBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Penn St. wins by over 14.5 points
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
Penn St. wins by over 16.5 points32%32%29¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, just now35¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $286 (2.86x)Penn St. wins by over 16.5 points32%Kalshi 32%polled, just nowBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Penn St. wins by over 16.5 points
32%
32%
29¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, just now
35¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Penn St. wins by over 16.5 points
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, just nowBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Penn St. wins by over 16.5 points
- Last price
- 32%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
Penn St. wins by over 17.5 points29%29%27¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, just now30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Penn St. wins by over 17.5 points29%Kalshi 29%polled, just nowBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Penn St. wins by over 17.5 points
29%
29%
27¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, just now
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Penn St. wins by over 17.5 points
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, just nowBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Penn St. wins by over 17.5 points
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $263
Penn St. wins by over 20.5 points23.5%23.5%21¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, just now26¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $385 (3.85x)Penn St. wins by over 20.5 points23.5%Kalshi 23.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Penn St. wins by over 20.5 points
23.5%
23.5%
21¢ bid, 26¢ ask
polled, just now
26¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Penn St. wins by over 20.5 points
23.5%
Kalshi 23.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Penn St. wins by over 20.5 points
- Last price
- 23.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points21%21%18¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, just now24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points21%Kalshi 21%polled, just nowBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points
21%
21%
18¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, just now
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, just nowBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
Minnesota wins by over 2.5 points19.5%19.5%17¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, just now22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Minnesota wins by over 2.5 points19.5%Kalshi 19.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Minnesota wins by over 2.5 points
19.5%
19.5%
17¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, just now
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Minnesota wins by over 2.5 points
19.5%
Kalshi 19.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota wins by over 2.5 points
- Last price
- 19.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
Penn St. wins by over 21.5 points19.5%19.5%17¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, just now22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Penn St. wins by over 21.5 points19.5%Kalshi 19.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Penn St. wins by over 21.5 points
19.5%
19.5%
17¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, just now
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Penn St. wins by over 21.5 points
19.5%
Kalshi 19.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Penn St. wins by over 21.5 points
- Last price
- 19.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
Penn St. wins by over 23.5 points16.5%16.5%14¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, just now19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Penn St. wins by over 23.5 points16.5%Kalshi 16.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Penn St. wins by over 23.5 points
16.5%
16.5%
14¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, just now
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Penn St. wins by over 23.5 points
16.5%
Kalshi 16.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Penn St. wins by over 23.5 points
- Last price
- 16.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Minnesota wins by over 3.5 points15.5%15.5%13¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, just now18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Minnesota wins by over 3.5 points15.5%Kalshi 15.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Minnesota wins by over 3.5 points
15.5%
15.5%
13¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, just now
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Minnesota wins by over 3.5 points
15.5%
Kalshi 15.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota wins by over 3.5 points
- Last price
- 15.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
Penn St. wins by over 24.5 points14.5%14.5%12¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, just now17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Penn St. wins by over 24.5 points14.5%Kalshi 14.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Penn St. wins by over 24.5 points
14.5%
14.5%
12¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, just now
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Penn St. wins by over 24.5 points
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Penn St. wins by over 24.5 points
- Last price
- 14.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
Minnesota wins by over 4.5 points13.5%13.5%11¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, just now16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Minnesota wins by over 4.5 points13.5%Kalshi 13.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Minnesota wins by over 4.5 points
13.5%
13.5%
11¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, just now
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Minnesota wins by over 4.5 points
13.5%
Kalshi 13.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota wins by over 4.5 points
- Last price
- 13.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Minnesota wins by over 5.5 points13%13%10¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, just now16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Minnesota wins by over 5.5 points13%Kalshi 13%polled, just nowBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Minnesota wins by over 5.5 points
13%
13%
10¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, just now
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Minnesota wins by over 5.5 points
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, just nowBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota wins by over 5.5 points
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Minnesota wins by over 6.5 points11%11%8¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, just now14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Minnesota wins by over 6.5 points11%Kalshi 11%polled, just nowBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Minnesota wins by over 6.5 points
11%
11%
8¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, just now
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Minnesota wins by over 6.5 points
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, just nowBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota wins by over 6.5 points
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Penn St. wins by over 27.5 points10.5%10.5%8¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, just now13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Penn St. wins by over 27.5 points10.5%Kalshi 10.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Penn St. wins by over 27.5 points
10.5%
10.5%
8¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, just now
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Penn St. wins by over 27.5 points
10.5%
Kalshi 10.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Penn St. wins by over 27.5 points
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Minnesota wins by over 7.5 points8%8%5¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, just now11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Minnesota wins by over 7.5 points8%Kalshi 8%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Minnesota wins by over 7.5 points
8%
8%
5¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, just now
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Minnesota wins by over 7.5 points
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota wins by over 7.5 points
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Minnesota wins by over 9.5 points6%6%3¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, just now9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Minnesota wins by over 9.5 points6%Kalshi 6%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Minnesota wins by over 9.5 points
6%
6%
3¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, just now
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Minnesota wins by over 9.5 points
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota wins by over 9.5 points
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Minnesota wins by over 11.5 points5.5%5.5%3¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, just now8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Minnesota wins by over 11.5 points5.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Minnesota wins by over 11.5 points
5.5%
5.5%
3¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, just now
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Minnesota wins by over 11.5 points
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota wins by over 11.5 points
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Minnesota wins by over 10.5 points5%5%3¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, just now7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Minnesota wins by over 10.5 points5%Kalshi 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Minnesota wins by over 10.5 points
5%
5%
3¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, just now
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Minnesota wins by over 10.5 points
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota wins by over 10.5 points
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Minnesota wins by over 13.5 points4%4%2¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, just now6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Minnesota wins by over 13.5 points4%Kalshi 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Minnesota wins by over 13.5 points
4%
4%
2¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, just now
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Minnesota wins by over 13.5 points
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota wins by over 13.5 points
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Minnesota wins by over 14.5 points4%4%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, just now4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Minnesota wins by over 14.5 points4%Kalshi 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Minnesota wins by over 14.5 points
4%
4%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, just now
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Minnesota wins by over 14.5 points
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota wins by over 14.5 points
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Penn St. wins by over 1.5 points
- Penn St. wins by over 2.5 points
- Penn St. wins by over 3.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Minnesota vs Penn St.: Spread". Penn St. wins by over 1.5 points leads at 76%. Next is Penn St. wins by over 2.5 points at 74%. $1K has traded across 31 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 17, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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