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What the markets expect
Over 23.5 points 93%
Next is Over 26.5 points at 91.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Over 23.5 points93%93%92¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, just now96¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $104 (1.04x)Over 23.5 points93%Kalshi 93%polled, just nowBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Over 23.5 points
93%
93%
92¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, just now
96¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Over 23.5 points
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, just nowBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 23.5 points
- Last price
- 93%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 92¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $1K
Over 26.5 points91.5%91.5%89¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, just now94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Over 26.5 points91.5%Kalshi 91.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 26.5 points
91.5%
91.5%
89¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, just now
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 26.5 points
91.5%
Kalshi 91.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 26.5 points
- Last price
- 91.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 89¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
Over 29.5 points86%86%84¢ bid, 88¢ askpolled, just now88¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $114 (1.14x)Over 29.5 points86%Kalshi 86%polled, just nowBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Over 29.5 points
86%
86%
84¢ bid, 88¢ ask
polled, just now
88¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Over 29.5 points
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, just nowBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 29.5 points
- Last price
- 86%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 88¢
- Sell Yes
- 84¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $114 (1.14x)
Over 32.5 points79.5%79.5%77¢ bid, 82¢ askpolled, just now82¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $122 (1.22x)Over 32.5 points79.5%Kalshi 79.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Over 32.5 points
79.5%
79.5%
77¢ bid, 82¢ ask
polled, just now
82¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Over 32.5 points
79.5%
Kalshi 79.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 32.5 points
- Last price
- 79.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 82¢
- Sell Yes
- 77¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $122 (1.22x)
Over 35.5 points71.5%71.5%69¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, just now74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Over 35.5 points71.5%Kalshi 71.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Over 35.5 points
71.5%
71.5%
69¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, just now
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Over 35.5 points
71.5%
Kalshi 71.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 35.5 points
- Last price
- 71.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 69¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
Over 38.5 points62.5%62.5%59¢ bid, 66¢ askpolled, just now66¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $152 (1.52x)Over 38.5 points62.5%Kalshi 62.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Over 38.5 points
62.5%
62.5%
59¢ bid, 66¢ ask
polled, just now
66¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Over 38.5 points
62.5%
Kalshi 62.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 38.5 points
- Last price
- 62.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 66¢
- Sell Yes
- 59¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $152 (1.52x)
Over 41.5 points54%54%52¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, just now56¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $179 (1.79x)Over 41.5 points54%Kalshi 54%polled, just nowBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Over 41.5 points
54%
54%
52¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, just now
56¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Over 41.5 points
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, just nowBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 41.5 points
- Last price
- 54%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
Over 42.5 points53%53%50¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, just now54¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Over 42.5 points53%Kalshi 53%polled, just nowBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Over 42.5 points
53%
53%
50¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, just now
54¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Over 42.5 points
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, just nowBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 42.5 points
- Last price
- 53%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $82
Over 43.5 points50%50%47¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, just now50¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Over 43.5 points50%Kalshi 50%polled, just nowBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Over 43.5 points
50%
50%
47¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, just now
50¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Over 43.5 points
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, just nowBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 43.5 points
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 47¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
- Volume
- $192
Over 44.5 points42%42%42¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, just now45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Over 44.5 points42%Kalshi 42%polled, just nowBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Over 44.5 points
42%
42%
42¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, just now
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Over 44.5 points
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, just nowBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 44.5 points
- Last price
- 42%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
- Volume
- $17
Show 9 more outcomesHide 9 outcomes
Over 45.5 points41%41%38¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, just now44¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Over 45.5 points41%Kalshi 41%polled, just nowBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Over 45.5 points
41%
41%
38¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, just now
44¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Over 45.5 points
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, just nowBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 45.5 points
- Last price
- 41%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
Over 46.5 points39.5%39.5%37¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, just now42¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $238 (2.38x)Over 46.5 points39.5%Kalshi 39.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Over 46.5 points
39.5%
39.5%
37¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, just now
42¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Over 46.5 points
39.5%
Kalshi 39.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 46.5 points
- Last price
- 39.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 37¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
Over 47.5 points36%36%33¢ bid, 39¢ askpolled, just now39¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $256 (2.56x)Over 47.5 points36%Kalshi 36%polled, just nowBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Over 47.5 points
36%
36%
33¢ bid, 39¢ ask
polled, just now
39¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Over 47.5 points
36%
Kalshi 36%polled, just nowBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 47.5 points
- Last price
- 36%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 39¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $256 (2.56x)
Over 50.5 points28%28%25¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, just now31¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $323 (3.23x)Over 50.5 points28%Kalshi 28%polled, just nowBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Over 50.5 points
28%
28%
25¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, just now
31¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Over 50.5 points
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, just nowBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 50.5 points
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 25¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
Over 53.5 points22%22%19¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, just now25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Over 53.5 points22%Kalshi 22%polled, just nowBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Over 53.5 points
22%
22%
19¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, just now
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Over 53.5 points
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, just nowBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 53.5 points
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
Over 56.5 points16%16%13¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, just now19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Over 56.5 points16%Kalshi 16%polled, just nowBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Over 56.5 points
16%
16%
13¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, just now
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Over 56.5 points
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, just nowBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 56.5 points
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Over 59.5 points11%11%8¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, just now14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Over 59.5 points11%Kalshi 11%polled, just nowBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Over 59.5 points
11%
11%
8¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, just now
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Over 59.5 points
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, just nowBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 59.5 points
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Over 62.5 points7.5%7.5%5¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, just now10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Over 62.5 points7.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Over 62.5 points
7.5%
7.5%
5¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, just now
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Over 62.5 points
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 62.5 points
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Over 65.5 points5.5%5.5%3¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, just now8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Over 65.5 points5.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Over 65.5 points
5.5%
5.5%
3¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, just now
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Over 65.5 points
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 65.5 points
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Over 23.5 points
- Over 26.5 points
- Over 29.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Minnesota vs Penn St.: Total Points". Over 23.5 points leads at 93%. Next is Over 26.5 points at 91.5%. $1K has traded across 19 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 17, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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