The Prediction Markets

Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov

Starts in 2 h 49 minKickoff
Traded
$6K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Marvin Moeller 67%

Next is Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov at 66.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Marvin Moeller
67%
Kalshi 67%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
Contract
Marvin Moeller
Last price
67%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$130
Trade this on Kalshi
Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov
66.5%
Polymarket 66.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
Contract
Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov
Last price
66.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov
62%
Polymarket 62%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Polymarket
Contract
Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov Set 1 Winner
Last price
62%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov
54.5%
Polymarket 54.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Polymarket
Contract
Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov Match O/U 21.5
Last price
54.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Volume
$104
Trade this on Polymarket
Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov Set 2 Winner
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov Game Spread +/-5.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov
48%
Polymarket 48%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov Match O/U 22.5
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov Match O/U 23.5
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov
42%
Polymarket 42%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Marvin Moeller (-1.5) vs Nikolai Barsukov (+1.5)
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$107
Trade this on Polymarket
Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov
40.5%
Polymarket 40.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
Nikolai Barsukov
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nikolai Barsukov
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov
19.5%
Polymarket 19.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Set Handicap: Nikolai Barsukov (-1.5) vs Marvin Moeller (+1.5)
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: atptour.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ATP

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Marvin Moeller
  • Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov
  • Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Marvin Moeller for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
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Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov". Marvin Moeller leads at 67%. Next is Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov at 66.5%. $6K has traded across 12 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 17, 2026.

This market refers to the tennis match between Marvin Moeller and Nikolai Barsukov in the Monastir, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marvin Moeller' if Marvin Moeller advances against Nikolai Barsukov. This market will resolve to 'Nikolai Barsukov' if Nikolai Barsukov advances against Marvin Moeller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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