The Prediction Markets

Mountain West Conference Championship Matchup

Ends in about 55 daysExpected to finish
Traded
$1K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
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What the markets expect

New Mexico vs North Dakota St. 48%

Next is New Mexico vs UNLV at 30%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
New Mexico vs North Dakota St.
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
New Mexico vs North Dakota St.
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$851
Trade this on Kalshi
New Mexico vs UNLV
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
New Mexico vs UNLV
Last price
30%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$214
Trade this on Kalshi
New Mexico vs Wyoming
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
New Mexico vs Wyoming
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
New Mexico vs UNLV
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
North Dakota St. vs UNLV
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$29
Trade this on Kalshi
Air Force vs North Dakota St.
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Air Force vs North Dakota St.
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Hawai'i vs North Dakota St.
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hawai'i vs North Dakota St.
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$9
Trade this on Kalshi
Nevada vs North Dakota St.
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nevada vs North Dakota St.
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$9
Trade this on Kalshi
New Mexico vs UNLV
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hawai'i vs UNLV
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$22
Trade this on Kalshi
North Dakota St. vs Northern Illinois
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
North Dakota St. vs Northern Illinois
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$9
Trade this on Kalshi
North Dakota St. vs San Jose St.
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
North Dakota St. vs San Jose St.
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 35 more outcomes
North Dakota St. vs UTEP
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
North Dakota St. vs UTEP
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$9
Trade this on Kalshi
Air Force vs New Mexico
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Air Force vs New Mexico
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
New Mexico vs San Jose St.
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
New Mexico vs San Jose St.
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
North Dakota St. vs Wyoming
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
North Dakota St. vs Wyoming
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Air Force vs Wyoming
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Air Force vs Wyoming
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
New Mexico vs UNLV
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
UNLV vs Wyoming
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Nevada vs New Mexico
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nevada vs New Mexico
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
New Mexico vs UNLV
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Air Force vs UNLV
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Air Force vs Hawai'i
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Air Force vs Hawai'i
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Air Force vs Nevada
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Air Force vs Nevada
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Air Force vs Northern Illinois
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Air Force vs Northern Illinois
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Air Force vs San Jose St.
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Air Force vs San Jose St.
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Hawai'i vs Nevada
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hawai'i vs Nevada
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Hawai'i vs New Mexico
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hawai'i vs New Mexico
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Hawai'i vs Northern Illinois
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hawai'i vs Northern Illinois
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Hawai'i vs San Jose St.
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hawai'i vs San Jose St.
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Hawai'i vs Wyoming
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hawai'i vs Wyoming
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Nevada vs Northern Illinois
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nevada vs Northern Illinois
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Nevada vs San Jose St.
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nevada vs San Jose St.
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
New Mexico vs Northern Illinois
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
New Mexico vs Northern Illinois
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
New Mexico vs UNLV
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Northern Illinois vs UNLV
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
New Mexico vs UNLV
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Jose St. vs UNLV
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
New Mexico vs UNLV
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
UNLV vs UTEP
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
New Mexico vs UNLV
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nevada vs UNLV
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
New Mexico vs Wyoming
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nevada vs Wyoming
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
New Mexico vs Wyoming
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Northern Illinois vs Wyoming
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
North Dakota St. vs UTEP
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nevada vs UTEP
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
North Dakota St. vs UTEP
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Northern Illinois vs UTEP
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
North Dakota St. vs UTEP
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
New Mexico vs UTEP
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
North Dakota St. vs UTEP
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hawai'i vs UTEP
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
North Dakota St. vs UTEP
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Jose St. vs UTEP
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
North Dakota St. vs UTEP
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
UTEP vs Wyoming
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
North Dakota St. vs UTEP
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Air Force vs UTEP
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Northern Illinois vs San Jose St.
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Northern Illinois vs San Jose St.
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
San Jose St. vs Wyoming
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Jose St. vs Wyoming
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • New Mexico vs North Dakota St.
  • New Mexico vs UNLV
  • New Mexico vs Wyoming

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Mountain West Conference Championship Matchup". New Mexico vs North Dakota St. leads at 48%. Next is New Mexico vs UNLV at 30%. $1K has traded across 45 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 7, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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