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What the markets expect
Over 0.5 goals scored 93%
Next is Over 1.5 goals scored at 78%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Over 0.5 goals scored93%Not listed93%93¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 3 h ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Over 0.5 goals scored93%Kalshi 93%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Over 0.5 goals scored
93%
Not listed
93%
93¢ bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Over 0.5 goals scored
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 0.5 goals scored
- Last price
- 93%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
- Volume
- $0
Over 1.5 goals scored78%Not listed78%77¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, 3 h ago79¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $127 (1.27x)Over 1.5 goals scored78%Kalshi 78%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Over 1.5 goals scored
78%
Not listed
78%
77¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
79¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Over 1.5 goals scored
78%
Kalshi 78%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 1.5 goals scored
- Last price
- 78%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 77¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
Over 2.5 goals scored55%Not listed55%54¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 3 h ago56¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $179 (1.79x)Over 2.5 goals scored55%Kalshi 55%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Over 2.5 goals scored
55%
Not listed
55%
54¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
56¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Over 2.5 goals scored
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 2.5 goals scored
- Last price
- 55%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 54¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
- Volume
- $175
SSC Napoli43.5%43.5%43¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 3 h agoNot listed44¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $227 (2.27x)SSC Napoli43.5%Polymarket 43.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
SSC Napoli
43.5%
43.5%
43¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
Not listed
44¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
SSC Napoli
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- SSC Napoli
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 43¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
- Volume
- $1K
Over 3.5 goals scored31%Not listed31%31¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 3 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Over 3.5 goals scored31%Kalshi 31%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Over 3.5 goals scored
31%
Not listed
31%
31¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Over 3.5 goals scored
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 3.5 goals scored
- Last price
- 31%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $1
SS Lazio30.5%30.5%30¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 3 h agoNot listed31¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $323 (3.23x)SS Lazio30.5%Polymarket 30.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
SS Lazio
30.5%
30.5%
30¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
Not listed
31¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
SS Lazio
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- SS Lazio
- Last price
- 30.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
- Volume
- $2K
SSC NapoliPolymarket: “Draw (SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio)”26.5%26.5%26¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 3 h agoNot listed27¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $370 (3.70x)SSC Napoli26.5%Polymarket 26.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
SSC Napoli
Polymarket: “Draw (SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio)”
26.5%
26.5%
26¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
Not listed
27¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
SSC Napoli
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Draw (SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio)
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $399
Over 4.5 goals scored15%Not listed15%14¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 3 h ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Over 4.5 goals scored15%Kalshi 15%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Over 4.5 goals scored
15%
Not listed
15%
14¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Over 4.5 goals scored
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 4.5 goals scored
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $2
Over 5.5 goals scored6%Not listed6%5¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Over 5.5 goals scored6%Kalshi 6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Over 5.5 goals scored
6%
Not listed
6%
5¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Over 5.5 goals scored
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 5.5 goals scored
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 3 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $6K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: legaseriea.it
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Fox Sports, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Over 0.5 goals scored
- Over 1.5 goals scored
- Over 2.5 goals scored
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list Over 0.5 goals scored for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Napoli vs Lazio: Total Goals". Over 0.5 goals scored leads at 93%. Next is Over 1.5 goals scored at 78%. $9K has traded across 9 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 10, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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