Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
Justin Haley 29.5%
Next is Carson Hocevar at 29%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 26 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Justin Haley29.5%29.5%— bid, 59¢ askpolled, 26 h ago59¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $169 (1.69x)Justin Haley29.5%Kalshi 29.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Justin Haley
29.5%
29.5%
— bid, 59¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
59¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Justin Haley
29.5%
Kalshi 29.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Justin Haley
- Last price
- 29.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 59¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $169 (1.69x)
Carson Hocevar29%29%— bid, 58¢ askpolled, 26 h ago58¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $172 (1.72x)Carson Hocevar29%Kalshi 29%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Carson Hocevar
29%
29%
— bid, 58¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
58¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Carson Hocevar
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Carson Hocevar
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 58¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $172 (1.72x)
Casey Mears29%29%— bid, 58¢ askpolled, 26 h ago58¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $172 (1.72x)Casey Mears29%Kalshi 29%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Casey Mears
29%
29%
— bid, 58¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
58¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Casey Mears
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Casey Mears
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 58¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $172 (1.72x)
Denny Hamlin22%22%18¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 26 h ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Denny Hamlin22%Kalshi 22%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Denny Hamlin
22%
22%
18¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Denny Hamlin
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Denny Hamlin
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $62
Tyler Reddick21%21%12¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 26 h ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Tyler Reddick21%Kalshi 21%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Tyler Reddick
21%
21%
12¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Tyler Reddick
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyler Reddick
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $67
Kyle Larson19%19%6¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 26 h ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Kyle Larson19%Kalshi 19%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kyle Larson
19%
19%
6¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kyle Larson
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyle Larson
- Last price
- 19%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
- Volume
- $613
Ryan Blaney13%13%7¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 26 h ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Ryan Blaney13%Kalshi 13%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Ryan Blaney
13%
13%
7¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Ryan Blaney
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ryan Blaney
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $151
Christopher Bell12%12%3¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 26 h ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Christopher Bell12%Kalshi 12%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Christopher Bell
12%
12%
3¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Christopher Bell
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christopher Bell
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $121
William Byron10%10%1¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 26 h ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)William Byron10%Kalshi 10%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
William Byron
10%
10%
1¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
William Byron
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- William Byron
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Ty Gibbs9.5%9.5%— bid, 19¢ askpolled, 26 h ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Ty Gibbs9.5%Kalshi 9.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Ty Gibbs
9.5%
9.5%
— bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Ty Gibbs
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ty Gibbs
- Last price
- 9.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Show 31 more outcomesHide 31 outcomes
Chase Briscoe9%9%3¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 26 h ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Chase Briscoe9%Kalshi 9%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Chase Briscoe
9%
9%
3¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Chase Briscoe
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chase Briscoe
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Chase Elliott8.5%8.5%— bid, 17¢ askpolled, 26 h ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Chase Elliott8.5%Kalshi 8.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Chase Elliott
8.5%
8.5%
— bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Chase Elliott
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chase Elliott
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
Daniel Suárez8.5%8.5%— bid, 17¢ askpolled, 26 h ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Daniel Suárez8.5%Kalshi 8.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Daniel Suárez
8.5%
8.5%
— bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Daniel Suárez
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Daniel Suárez
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
Austin Cindric8%8%— bid, 16¢ askpolled, 26 h ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Austin Cindric8%Kalshi 8%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Austin Cindric
8%
8%
— bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Austin Cindric
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Austin Cindric
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Bubba Wallace8%8%— bid, 16¢ askpolled, 26 h ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Bubba Wallace8%Kalshi 8%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Bubba Wallace
8%
8%
— bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Bubba Wallace
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bubba Wallace
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Alex Bowman7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 26 h ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Alex Bowman7.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Alex Bowman
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Alex Bowman
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alex Bowman
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Brad Keselowski7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 26 h ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Brad Keselowski7.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Brad Keselowski
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Brad Keselowski
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brad Keselowski
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Chris Buescher7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 26 h ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Chris Buescher7.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Chris Buescher
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Chris Buescher
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chris Buescher
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Corey Heim7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 26 h ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Corey Heim7.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Corey Heim
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Corey Heim
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Corey Heim
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Erik Jones7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 26 h ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Erik Jones7.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Erik Jones
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Erik Jones
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Erik Jones
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Joey Logano7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 26 h ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Joey Logano7.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Joey Logano
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Joey Logano
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joey Logano
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
AJ Allmendinger7%7%— bid, 14¢ askpolled, 26 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)AJ Allmendinger7%Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
AJ Allmendinger
7%
7%
— bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
AJ Allmendinger
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- AJ Allmendinger
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Austin Dillon7%7%— bid, 14¢ askpolled, 26 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Austin Dillon7%Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Austin Dillon
7%
7%
— bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Austin Dillon
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Austin Dillon
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Austin Hill7%7%— bid, 14¢ askpolled, 26 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Austin Hill7%Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Austin Hill
7%
7%
— bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Austin Hill
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Austin Hill
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Chad Finchum7%7%— bid, 14¢ askpolled, 26 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Chad Finchum7%Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Chad Finchum
7%
7%
— bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Chad Finchum
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chad Finchum
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Cody Ware7%7%— bid, 14¢ askpolled, 26 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Cody Ware7%Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Cody Ware
7%
7%
— bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Cody Ware
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cody Ware
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Cole Custer7%7%— bid, 14¢ askpolled, 26 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Cole Custer7%Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Cole Custer
7%
7%
— bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Cole Custer
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cole Custer
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Connor Zilisch7%7%— bid, 14¢ askpolled, 26 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Connor Zilisch7%Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Connor Zilisch
7%
7%
— bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Connor Zilisch
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Connor Zilisch
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
J.J. Yeley7%7%— bid, 14¢ askpolled, 26 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)J.J. Yeley7%Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
J.J. Yeley
7%
7%
— bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
J.J. Yeley
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- J.J. Yeley
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
John H. Nemechek7%7%— bid, 14¢ askpolled, 26 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)John H. Nemechek7%Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
John H. Nemechek
7%
7%
— bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
John H. Nemechek
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- John H. Nemechek
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Josh Berry7%7%— bid, 14¢ askpolled, 26 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Josh Berry7%Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Josh Berry
7%
7%
— bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Josh Berry
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Josh Berry
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Michael McDowell7%7%— bid, 14¢ askpolled, 26 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Michael McDowell7%Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Michael McDowell
7%
7%
— bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Michael McDowell
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michael McDowell
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Noah Gragson7%7%— bid, 14¢ askpolled, 26 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Noah Gragson7%Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Noah Gragson
7%
7%
— bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Noah Gragson
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Noah Gragson
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Ricky Stenhouse7%7%— bid, 14¢ askpolled, 26 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Ricky Stenhouse7%Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Ricky Stenhouse
7%
7%
— bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Ricky Stenhouse
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ricky Stenhouse
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Riley Herbst7%7%— bid, 14¢ askpolled, 26 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Riley Herbst7%Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Riley Herbst
7%
7%
— bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Riley Herbst
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Riley Herbst
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Ross Chastain7%7%— bid, 14¢ askpolled, 26 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Ross Chastain7%Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Ross Chastain
7%
7%
— bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Ross Chastain
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ross Chastain
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Ryan Preece7%7%— bid, 14¢ askpolled, 26 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Ryan Preece7%Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Ryan Preece
7%
7%
— bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Ryan Preece
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ryan Preece
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Shane Van Gisbergen7%7%— bid, 14¢ askpolled, 26 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Shane Van Gisbergen7%Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Shane Van Gisbergen
7%
7%
— bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Shane Van Gisbergen
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Shane Van Gisbergen
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Todd Gilliland7%7%— bid, 14¢ askpolled, 26 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Todd Gilliland7%Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Todd Gilliland
7%
7%
— bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Todd Gilliland
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Todd Gilliland
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Ty Dillon7%7%— bid, 14¢ askpolled, 26 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Ty Dillon7%Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Ty Dillon
7%
7%
— bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Ty Dillon
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ty Dillon
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Zane Smith7%7%— bid, 14¢ askpolled, 26 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Zane Smith7%Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Zane Smith
7%
7%
— bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 26 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Zane Smith
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 26 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Zane Smith
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 1 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Justin Haley
- Carson Hocevar
- Casey Mears
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race Qualifying Session: Pole Position". Justin Haley leads at 29.5%. Next is Carson Hocevar at 29%. $1K has traded across 41 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 14, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
More sports markets
See all sports markets- 2027 Pro Football ChampionBuffalo14%$223.4M traded
- College Football National Championship WinnerGeorgia23%$74.0M traded
- 2027 Pro Basketball ChampionSan Antonio22%$60.0M traded
- MVP Winner?Josh Allen28%$40.5M traded
- College Football Heisman Trophy Winner?Jeremiah Smith37%$39.5M traded
- F1 Constructors' ChampionMercedes99.9%$29.3M traded