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Best ask
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What the markets expect
Ryan Blaney 99%
Next is Kyle Larson at 74.5%. The venues differ most on Kyle Larson (Polymarket 99%, Kalshi 1%), a 98-point gap.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Ryan Blaney99%Not listed99%5¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 min agoNo askRyan Blaney99%Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min ago
Ryan Blaney
99%
Not listed
99%
5¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 min ago
No ask
Ryan Blaney
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ryan Blaney
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- Volume
- $157
Kyle LarsonArb74.5%99%98¢ bid, — askpolled, 58s ago1%— bid, 89¢ askpolled, 1 min ago89¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $112 (1.12x)Kyle LarsonArb74.5%Polymarket 99%polled, 58s agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kyle LarsonArb
74.5%
99%
98¢ bid, — ask
polled, 58s ago
1%
— bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
89¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kyle LarsonArb
74.5%
Polymarket 99%polled, 58s agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kyle Larson
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 98¢
- Volume
- $9K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyle Larson
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
- Volume
- $875
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 89¢ and selling on Polymarket at 98¢ nets 900 bps before fees.
Chad Finchum49.5%Not listed49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Chad Finchum49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Chad Finchum
49.5%
Not listed
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Chad Finchum
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chad Finchum
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Chase Elliott49.5%Not listed49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Chase Elliott49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Chase Elliott
49.5%
Not listed
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Chase Elliott
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chase Elliott
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Cody Ware49.5%Not listed49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Cody Ware49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Cody Ware
49.5%
Not listed
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Cody Ware
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cody Ware
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Cole Custer49.5%Not listed49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Cole Custer49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Cole Custer
49.5%
Not listed
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Cole Custer
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cole Custer
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Connor Zilisch49.5%Not listed49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Connor Zilisch49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Connor Zilisch
49.5%
Not listed
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Connor Zilisch
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Connor Zilisch
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Corey Heim49.5%Not listed49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Corey Heim49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Corey Heim
49.5%
Not listed
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Corey Heim
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Corey Heim
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Daniel Suarez49.5%Not listed49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Daniel Suarez49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Daniel Suarez
49.5%
Not listed
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Daniel Suarez
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Daniel Suarez
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Erik Jones49.5%Not listed49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Erik Jones49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Erik Jones
49.5%
Not listed
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Erik Jones
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Erik Jones
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Show 31 more outcomesHide 31 outcomes
J.J. Yeley49.5%Not listed49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)J.J. Yeley49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
J.J. Yeley
49.5%
Not listed
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
J.J. Yeley
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- J.J. Yeley
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Joey Logano49.5%Not listed49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Joey Logano49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Joey Logano
49.5%
Not listed
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Joey Logano
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joey Logano
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
John Hunter Nemechek49.5%Not listed49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)John Hunter Nemechek49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
John Hunter Nemechek
49.5%
Not listed
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
John Hunter Nemechek
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- John Hunter Nemechek
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Josh Berry49.5%Not listed49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Josh Berry49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Josh Berry
49.5%
Not listed
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Josh Berry
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Josh Berry
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Justin Haley49.5%Not listed49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Justin Haley49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Justin Haley
49.5%
Not listed
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Justin Haley
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Justin Haley
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Michael McDowell49.5%Not listed49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Michael McDowell49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Michael McDowell
49.5%
Not listed
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Michael McDowell
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michael McDowell
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Noah Gragson49.5%Not listed49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Noah Gragson49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Noah Gragson
49.5%
Not listed
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Noah Gragson
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Noah Gragson
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.49.5%Not listed49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Ricky Stenhouse Jr.49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
49.5%
Not listed
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Riley Herbst49.5%Not listed49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Riley Herbst49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Riley Herbst
49.5%
Not listed
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Riley Herbst
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Riley Herbst
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Ross Chastain49.5%Not listed49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Ross Chastain49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Ross Chastain
49.5%
Not listed
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Ross Chastain
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ross Chastain
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Ryan Preece49.5%Not listed49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Ryan Preece49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Ryan Preece
49.5%
Not listed
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Ryan Preece
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ryan Preece
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Shane van Gisbergen49.5%Not listed49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Shane van Gisbergen49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Shane van Gisbergen
49.5%
Not listed
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Shane van Gisbergen
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Shane van Gisbergen
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Todd Gilliland49.5%Not listed49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Todd Gilliland49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Todd Gilliland
49.5%
Not listed
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Todd Gilliland
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Todd Gilliland
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Ty Dillon49.5%Not listed49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Ty Dillon49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Ty Dillon
49.5%
Not listed
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Ty Dillon
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ty Dillon
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Ty Gibbs49.5%Not listed49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Ty Gibbs49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Ty Gibbs
49.5%
Not listed
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Ty Gibbs
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ty Gibbs
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Tyler Reddick49.5%Not listed49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Tyler Reddick49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Tyler Reddick
49.5%
Not listed
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Tyler Reddick
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyler Reddick
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
William Byron49.5%Not listed49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)William Byron49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
William Byron
49.5%
Not listed
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
William Byron
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- William Byron
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Zane Smith49.5%Not listed49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Zane Smith49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Zane Smith
49.5%
Not listed
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Zane Smith
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Zane Smith
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Austin Dillon48%Not listed48%— bid, 96¢ askpolled, 1 min ago96¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $104 (1.04x)Austin Dillon48%Kalshi 48%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Austin Dillon
48%
Not listed
48%
— bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
96¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Austin Dillon
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Austin Dillon
- Last price
- 48%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
Austin Hill48%Not listed48%— bid, 96¢ askpolled, 1 min ago96¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $104 (1.04x)Austin Hill48%Kalshi 48%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Austin Hill
48%
Not listed
48%
— bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
96¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Austin Hill
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Austin Hill
- Last price
- 48%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
AJ Allmendinger44.5%Not listed44.5%— bid, 89¢ askpolled, 1 min ago89¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $112 (1.12x)AJ Allmendinger44.5%Kalshi 44.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
AJ Allmendinger
44.5%
Not listed
44.5%
— bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
89¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
AJ Allmendinger
44.5%
Kalshi 44.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- AJ Allmendinger
- Last price
- 44.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
Alex Bowman44.5%Not listed44.5%— bid, 89¢ askpolled, 1 min ago89¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $112 (1.12x)Alex Bowman44.5%Kalshi 44.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Alex Bowman
44.5%
Not listed
44.5%
— bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
89¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Alex Bowman
44.5%
Kalshi 44.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alex Bowman
- Last price
- 44.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
Brad Keselowski44.5%Not listed44.5%— bid, 89¢ askpolled, 1 min ago89¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $112 (1.12x)Brad Keselowski44.5%Kalshi 44.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Brad Keselowski
44.5%
Not listed
44.5%
— bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
89¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Brad Keselowski
44.5%
Kalshi 44.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brad Keselowski
- Last price
- 44.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
Bubba Wallace44.5%Not listed44.5%— bid, 89¢ askpolled, 1 min ago89¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $112 (1.12x)Bubba Wallace44.5%Kalshi 44.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Bubba Wallace
44.5%
Not listed
44.5%
— bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
89¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Bubba Wallace
44.5%
Kalshi 44.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bubba Wallace
- Last price
- 44.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
Carson Hocevar44.5%Not listed44.5%— bid, 89¢ askpolled, 1 min ago89¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $112 (1.12x)Carson Hocevar44.5%Kalshi 44.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Carson Hocevar
44.5%
Not listed
44.5%
— bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
89¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Carson Hocevar
44.5%
Kalshi 44.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Carson Hocevar
- Last price
- 44.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
Casey Mears44.5%Not listed44.5%— bid, 89¢ askpolled, 1 min ago89¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $112 (1.12x)Casey Mears44.5%Kalshi 44.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Casey Mears
44.5%
Not listed
44.5%
— bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
89¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Casey Mears
44.5%
Kalshi 44.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Casey Mears
- Last price
- 44.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
Chris Buescher44.5%Not listed44.5%— bid, 89¢ askpolled, 1 min ago89¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $112 (1.12x)Chris Buescher44.5%Kalshi 44.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Chris Buescher
44.5%
Not listed
44.5%
— bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
89¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Chris Buescher
44.5%
Kalshi 44.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chris Buescher
- Last price
- 44.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
Denny Hamlin25.2%1%0.2¢ bid, 1.9¢ askpolled, 58s ago49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)Denny Hamlin25.2%Polymarket 1%polled, 58s agoKalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Denny Hamlin
25.2%
1%
0.2¢ bid, 1.9¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Denny Hamlin
25.2%
Polymarket 1%polled, 58s agoKalshi 49.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Denny Hamlin
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,263 (52.6x)
- Volume
- $30K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Denny Hamlin
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 99¢.
Austin Cindric3%Not listed3%— bid, 96¢ askpolled, 1 min ago96¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $104 (1.04x)Austin Cindric3%Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Austin Cindric
3%
Not listed
3%
— bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
96¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Austin Cindric
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Austin Cindric
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $200
Chase Briscoe1%Not listed1%— bid, 14¢ askpolled, 1 min ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Chase Briscoe1%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Chase Briscoe
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Chase Briscoe
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chase Briscoe
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $887
Christopher Bell0.6%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 58s ago1%— bid, 89¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Christopher Bell0.6%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 58s agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Christopher Bell
0.6%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 58s ago
1%
— bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Christopher Bell
0.6%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 58s agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Christopher Bell
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $6K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christopher Bell
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
- Volume
- $857
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Kyle Larson on Kalshi at 89¢, sell on Polymarket at 98¢ (900 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads
Mostly the same bet: one difference
Where they differ
- Trading closes at different times: Nov 8, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 16, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
Show full rule comparisonHide full rule comparison
- Trading closes Nov 8, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 16, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Ryan Blaney
- Kyle Larson
- Chad Finchum
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list Ryan Blaney for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "NASCAR NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race: Fastest Lap". Ryan Blaney leads at 99%. Next is Kyle Larson at 74.5%. $99K has traded across 41 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 16, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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