Combined depth · both venues
Loading both order books…
What the markets expect
Kyle Larson 89.1%
Next is Ryan Blaney at 70%. The venues differ most on Denny Hamlin (Polymarket 2.6%, Kalshi 72%), a 69-point gap.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 25 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Kyle Larson89.1%94.5%92.7¢ bid, 96.3¢ askpolled, 25 min ago73%62¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 22 min ago74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Kyle Larson89.1%Polymarket 94.5%polled, 25 min agoKalshi 73%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kyle Larson
89.1%
94.5%
92.7¢ bid, 96.3¢ ask
polled, 25 min ago
73%
62¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kyle Larson
89.1%
Polymarket 94.5%polled, 25 min agoKalshi 73%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kyle Larson
- Last price
- 94.5%
- As of
- Polled 25 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 96.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 92.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $7K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyle Larson
- Last price
- 73%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 62¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
- Volume
- $215
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 74¢ and selling on Polymarket at 92.7¢ nets 1870 bps before fees.
Ryan Blaney70%Not listed70%53¢ bid, 71¢ askpolled, 22 min ago71¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $141 (1.41x)Ryan Blaney70%Kalshi 70%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Ryan Blaney
70%
Not listed
70%
53¢ bid, 71¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
71¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Ryan Blaney
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ryan Blaney
- Last price
- 70%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 71¢
- Sell Yes
- 53¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $141 (1.41x)
- Volume
- $5
Tyler Reddick67%Not listed67%58¢ bid, 68¢ askpolled, 22 min ago68¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $147 (1.47x)Tyler Reddick67%Kalshi 67%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Tyler Reddick
67%
Not listed
67%
58¢ bid, 68¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
68¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Tyler Reddick
67%
Kalshi 67%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyler Reddick
- Last price
- 67%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 68¢
- Sell Yes
- 58¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $147 (1.47x)
- Volume
- $14
Chase Briscoe66%Not listed66%55¢ bid, 67¢ askpolled, 22 min ago67¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $149 (1.49x)Chase Briscoe66%Kalshi 66%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Chase Briscoe
66%
Not listed
66%
55¢ bid, 67¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
67¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Chase Briscoe
66%
Kalshi 66%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chase Briscoe
- Last price
- 66%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 67¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $149 (1.49x)
- Volume
- $14
William Byron62%Not listed62%50¢ bid, 62¢ askpolled, 22 min ago62¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $161 (1.61x)William Byron62%Kalshi 62%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
William Byron
62%
Not listed
62%
50¢ bid, 62¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
62¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $161 (1.61x)
William Byron
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- William Byron
- Last price
- 62%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 62¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $161 (1.61x)
- Volume
- $86
Ty Gibbs54%Not listed54%44¢ bid, 55¢ askpolled, 22 min ago55¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $182 (1.82x)Ty Gibbs54%Kalshi 54%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Ty Gibbs
54%
Not listed
54%
44¢ bid, 55¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
55¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Ty Gibbs
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ty Gibbs
- Last price
- 54%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 55¢
- Sell Yes
- 44¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $182 (1.82x)
- Volume
- $253
Bubba Wallace50%Not listed50%40¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 22 min ago50¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Bubba Wallace50%Kalshi 50%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Bubba Wallace
50%
Not listed
50%
40¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
50¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Bubba Wallace
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bubba Wallace
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
- Volume
- $25
Chase Elliott50%Not listed50%40¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 22 min ago51¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Chase Elliott50%Kalshi 50%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Chase Elliott
50%
Not listed
50%
40¢ bid, 51¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
51¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Chase Elliott
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chase Elliott
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $245
Joey Logano45%Not listed45%35¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 22 min ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Joey Logano45%Kalshi 45%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Joey Logano
45%
Not listed
45%
35¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Joey Logano
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joey Logano
- Last price
- 45%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
- Volume
- $13
Austin Cindric40.5%Not listed40.5%40¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, 22 min ago41¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $244 (2.44x)Austin Cindric40.5%Kalshi 40.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Austin Cindric
40.5%
Not listed
40.5%
40¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
41¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Austin Cindric
40.5%
Kalshi 40.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Austin Cindric
- Last price
- 40.5%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
Show 31 more outcomesHide 31 outcomes
Corey Heim40%Not listed40%24¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 22 min ago40¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $250 (2.50x)Corey Heim40%Kalshi 40%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Corey Heim
40%
Not listed
40%
24¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
40¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Corey Heim
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Corey Heim
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
- Volume
- $73
Josh Berry30%Not listed30%27¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 22 min ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Josh Berry30%Kalshi 30%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Josh Berry
30%
Not listed
30%
27¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Josh Berry
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Josh Berry
- Last price
- 30%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $436
Alex Bowman27%Not listed27%26¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 22 min ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Alex Bowman27%Kalshi 27%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Alex Bowman
27%
Not listed
27%
26¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Alex Bowman
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alex Bowman
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $6
Ross Chastain26%Not listed26%5¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, 22 min ago26¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $385 (3.85x)Ross Chastain26%Kalshi 26%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Ross Chastain
26%
Not listed
26%
5¢ bid, 26¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
26¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Ross Chastain
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ross Chastain
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
- Volume
- $2
Chris Buescher25%Not listed25%24¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 22 min ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Chris Buescher25%Kalshi 25%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Chris Buescher
25%
Not listed
25%
24¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Chris Buescher
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chris Buescher
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $10
Ryan Preece25%Not listed25%19¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 22 min ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Ryan Preece25%Kalshi 25%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Ryan Preece
25%
Not listed
25%
19¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Ryan Preece
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ryan Preece
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $210
Brad Keselowski22%Not listed22%11¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 22 min ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Brad Keselowski22%Kalshi 22%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Brad Keselowski
22%
Not listed
22%
11¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Brad Keselowski
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brad Keselowski
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $2
Daniel Suarez21%Not listed21%20¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 22 min ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Daniel Suarez21%Kalshi 21%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Daniel Suarez
21%
Not listed
21%
20¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Daniel Suarez
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Daniel Suarez
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $96
Shane van Gisbergen21%Not listed21%4¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 22 min ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Shane van Gisbergen21%Kalshi 21%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Shane van Gisbergen
21%
Not listed
21%
4¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Shane van Gisbergen
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Shane van Gisbergen
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $247
Denny Hamlin19.9%2.6%0.8¢ bid, 4.3¢ askpolled, 25 min ago72%63¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 22 min ago4.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)Denny Hamlin19.9%Polymarket 2.6%polled, 25 min agoKalshi 72%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Denny Hamlin
19.9%
2.6%
0.8¢ bid, 4.3¢ ask
polled, 25 min ago
72%
63¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
4.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Denny Hamlin
19.9%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 25 min agoKalshi 72%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Denny Hamlin
- Last price
- 2.6%
- As of
- Polled 25 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,326 (23.3x)
- Volume
- $26K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Denny Hamlin
- Last price
- 72%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 63¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
- Volume
- $39
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 4.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 63¢ nets 5870 bps before fees.
AJ Allmendinger18%Not listed18%18¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 22 min ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)AJ Allmendinger18%Kalshi 18%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
AJ Allmendinger
18%
Not listed
18%
18¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
AJ Allmendinger
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- AJ Allmendinger
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $903
Christopher Bell17.6%1.2%0.7¢ bid, 1.6¢ askpolled, 25 min ago67%53¢ bid, 67¢ askpolled, 22 min ago1.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)Christopher Bell17.6%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 25 min agoKalshi 67%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Christopher Bell
17.6%
1.2%
0.7¢ bid, 1.6¢ ask
polled, 25 min ago
67%
53¢ bid, 67¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
1.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Christopher Bell
17.6%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 25 min agoKalshi 67%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Christopher Bell
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled 25 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $6,250 (62.5x)
- Volume
- $4K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christopher Bell
- Last price
- 67%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 67¢
- Sell Yes
- 53¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $149 (1.49x)
- Volume
- $14
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 1.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 53¢ nets 5140 bps before fees.
Erik Jones16%Not listed16%15¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 22 min ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Erik Jones16%Kalshi 16%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Erik Jones
16%
Not listed
16%
15¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Erik Jones
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Erik Jones
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $254
Austin Dillon11%Not listed11%10¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 22 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Austin Dillon11%Kalshi 11%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Austin Dillon
11%
Not listed
11%
10¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Austin Dillon
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Austin Dillon
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $1
Connor Zilisch11%Not listed11%10¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 22 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Connor Zilisch11%Kalshi 11%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Connor Zilisch
11%
Not listed
11%
10¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Connor Zilisch
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Connor Zilisch
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $10
Michael McDowell11%Not listed11%10¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 22 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Michael McDowell11%Kalshi 11%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Michael McDowell
11%
Not listed
11%
10¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Michael McDowell
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michael McDowell
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $1
Justin Haley10.5%Not listed10.5%10¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 22 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Justin Haley10.5%Kalshi 10.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Justin Haley
10.5%
Not listed
10.5%
10¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Justin Haley
10.5%
Kalshi 10.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Justin Haley
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Zane Smith8%Not listed8%7¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 22 min ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Zane Smith8%Kalshi 8%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Zane Smith
8%
Not listed
8%
7¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Zane Smith
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Zane Smith
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $258
John Hunter Nemechek6%Not listed6%6¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 22 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)John Hunter Nemechek6%Kalshi 6%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
John Hunter Nemechek
6%
Not listed
6%
6¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
John Hunter Nemechek
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- John Hunter Nemechek
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $0
Noah Gragson6%Not listed6%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 22 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Noah Gragson6%Kalshi 6%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Noah Gragson
6%
Not listed
6%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Noah Gragson
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Noah Gragson
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $2
Todd Gilliland6%Not listed6%2¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 22 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Todd Gilliland6%Kalshi 6%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Todd Gilliland
6%
Not listed
6%
2¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Todd Gilliland
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Todd Gilliland
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $2
Riley Herbst5.5%Not listed5.5%5¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 22 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Riley Herbst5.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Riley Herbst
5.5%
Not listed
5.5%
5¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Riley Herbst
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Riley Herbst
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Austin Hill5%Not listed5%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 22 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Austin Hill5%Kalshi 5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Austin Hill
5%
Not listed
5%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Austin Hill
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Austin Hill
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $2
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.5%Not listed5%2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 22 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Ricky Stenhouse Jr.5%Kalshi 5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
5%
Not listed
5%
2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $2
Cole Custer4.5%Not listed4.5%4¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 22 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Cole Custer4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Cole Custer
4.5%
Not listed
4.5%
4¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Cole Custer
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cole Custer
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Ty Dillon3%Not listed3%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 22 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Ty Dillon3%Kalshi 3%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Ty Dillon
3%
Not listed
3%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Ty Dillon
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ty Dillon
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $2
Cody Ware2%Not listed2%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 22 min ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Cody Ware2%Kalshi 2%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Cody Ware
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Cody Ware
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cody Ware
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $2
Carson Hocevar1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 22 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Carson Hocevar1%Kalshi 1%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Carson Hocevar
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Carson Hocevar
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Carson Hocevar
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $620
Casey Mears1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 22 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Casey Mears1%Kalshi 1%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Casey Mears
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Casey Mears
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Casey Mears
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $2
Chad Finchum1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 22 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Chad Finchum1%Kalshi 1%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Chad Finchum
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Chad Finchum
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chad Finchum
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2
J.J. Yeley1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 22 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)J.J. Yeley1%Kalshi 1%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
J.J. Yeley
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
J.J. Yeley
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- J.J. Yeley
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2
Indicative gap, prices are 25 min old: Denny Hamlin asks 4.3¢ on Polymarket and bids 63¢ on Kalshi (5870 bps). Recheck both venues before trading. See all spreads
Mostly the same bet: one difference
Where they differ
- Trading closes at different times: Nov 8, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 16, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
Show full rule comparisonHide full rule comparison
- Trading closes Nov 8, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 16, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Kyle Larson
- Ryan Blaney
- Tyler Reddick
Live prices for Kyle Larson
What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Open on Polymarket ↗Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
Depth · top 8 levels
Loading snapshot…Recent trades
Loading…Kalshi
Open on Kalshi ↗Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
Depth · top 8 levels
Loading snapshot…Recent trades
Loading…What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "NASCAR NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race: Top 10 Finishers". Kyle Larson leads at 89.1%. Next is Ryan Blaney at 70%. $93K has traded across 41 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 16, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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