Combined depth · both venues
Loading both order books…
What the markets expect
Kyle Larson 88%
Next is Tyler Reddick at 78.5%. The venues differ most on Denny Hamlin (Polymarket 2.6%, Kalshi 83%), a 80-point gap.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 25 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Kyle Larson88%94.5%92.7¢ bid, 96.3¢ askpolled, 25 min ago81.5%70¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 22 min ago93¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $108 (1.08x)Kyle Larson88%Polymarket 94.5%polled, 25 min agoKalshi 81.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kyle Larson
88%
94.5%
92.7¢ bid, 96.3¢ ask
polled, 25 min ago
81.5%
70¢ bid, 93¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
93¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kyle Larson
88%
Polymarket 94.5%polled, 25 min agoKalshi 81.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kyle Larson
- Last price
- 94.5%
- As of
- Polled 25 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 96.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 92.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $7K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyle Larson
- Last price
- 81.5%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 70¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 92.7¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 93¢.
Tyler Reddick78.5%Not listed78.5%66¢ bid, 91¢ askpolled, 22 min ago91¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $110 (1.10x)Tyler Reddick78.5%Kalshi 78.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Tyler Reddick
78.5%
Not listed
78.5%
66¢ bid, 91¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
91¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Tyler Reddick
78.5%
Kalshi 78.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyler Reddick
- Last price
- 78.5%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 91¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $110 (1.10x)
William Byron75.5%Not listed75.5%59¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, 22 min ago92¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $109 (1.09x)William Byron75.5%Kalshi 75.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
William Byron
75.5%
Not listed
75.5%
59¢ bid, 92¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
92¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
William Byron
75.5%
Kalshi 75.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- William Byron
- Last price
- 75.5%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 59¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
Ryan Blaney75%Not listed75%60¢ bid, 90¢ askpolled, 22 min ago90¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Ryan Blaney75%Kalshi 75%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Ryan Blaney
75%
Not listed
75%
60¢ bid, 90¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
90¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Ryan Blaney
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ryan Blaney
- Last price
- 75%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
Chase Briscoe74%Not listed74%59¢ bid, 89¢ askpolled, 22 min ago89¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $112 (1.12x)Chase Briscoe74%Kalshi 74%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Chase Briscoe
74%
Not listed
74%
59¢ bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
89¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Chase Briscoe
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chase Briscoe
- Last price
- 74%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- 59¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
Chase Elliott72%Not listed72%54¢ bid, 90¢ askpolled, 22 min ago90¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Chase Elliott72%Kalshi 72%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Chase Elliott
72%
Not listed
72%
54¢ bid, 90¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
90¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Chase Elliott
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chase Elliott
- Last price
- 72%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- 54¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
Bubba Wallace65.5%Not listed65.5%51¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, 22 min ago80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Bubba Wallace65.5%Kalshi 65.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Bubba Wallace
65.5%
Not listed
65.5%
51¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Bubba Wallace
65.5%
Kalshi 65.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bubba Wallace
- Last price
- 65.5%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
Chris Buescher63.5%Not listed63.5%46¢ bid, 81¢ askpolled, 22 min ago81¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $123 (1.23x)Chris Buescher63.5%Kalshi 63.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Chris Buescher
63.5%
Not listed
63.5%
46¢ bid, 81¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
81¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Chris Buescher
63.5%
Kalshi 63.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chris Buescher
- Last price
- 63.5%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 81¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $123 (1.23x)
Ty Gibbs63%Not listed63%47¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, 22 min ago79¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $127 (1.27x)Ty Gibbs63%Kalshi 63%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Ty Gibbs
63%
Not listed
63%
47¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
79¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Ty Gibbs
63%
Kalshi 63%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ty Gibbs
- Last price
- 63%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 47¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
Corey Heim62.5%Not listed62.5%48¢ bid, 77¢ askpolled, 22 min ago77¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $130 (1.30x)Corey Heim62.5%Kalshi 62.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Corey Heim
62.5%
Not listed
62.5%
48¢ bid, 77¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
77¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Corey Heim
62.5%
Kalshi 62.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Corey Heim
- Last price
- 62.5%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 77¢
- Sell Yes
- 48¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $130 (1.30x)
Show 31 more outcomesHide 31 outcomes
Austin Dillon62%Not listed62%34¢ bid, 62¢ askpolled, 22 min ago62¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $161 (1.61x)Austin Dillon62%Kalshi 62%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Austin Dillon
62%
Not listed
62%
34¢ bid, 62¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
62¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Austin Dillon
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Austin Dillon
- Last price
- 62%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 62¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $161 (1.61x)
- Volume
- $8
Joey Logano62%Not listed62%47¢ bid, 77¢ askpolled, 22 min ago77¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $130 (1.30x)Joey Logano62%Kalshi 62%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Joey Logano
62%
Not listed
62%
47¢ bid, 77¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
77¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Joey Logano
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joey Logano
- Last price
- 62%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 77¢
- Sell Yes
- 47¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $130 (1.30x)
Alex Bowman60%Not listed60%45¢ bid, 75¢ askpolled, 22 min ago75¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $133 (1.33x)Alex Bowman60%Kalshi 60%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Alex Bowman
60%
Not listed
60%
45¢ bid, 75¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
75¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Alex Bowman
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alex Bowman
- Last price
- 60%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 75¢
- Sell Yes
- 45¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $133 (1.33x)
Austin Cindric60%Not listed60%42¢ bid, 78¢ askpolled, 22 min ago78¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $128 (1.28x)Austin Cindric60%Kalshi 60%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Austin Cindric
60%
Not listed
60%
42¢ bid, 78¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
78¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Austin Cindric
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Austin Cindric
- Last price
- 60%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 78¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $128 (1.28x)
Shane van Gisbergen56%Not listed56%22¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 22 min ago56¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $179 (1.79x)Shane van Gisbergen56%Kalshi 56%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Shane van Gisbergen
56%
Not listed
56%
22¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
56¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Shane van Gisbergen
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Shane van Gisbergen
- Last price
- 56%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
- Volume
- $242
Brad Keselowski55.5%Not listed55.5%36¢ bid, 75¢ askpolled, 22 min ago75¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $133 (1.33x)Brad Keselowski55.5%Kalshi 55.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Brad Keselowski
55.5%
Not listed
55.5%
36¢ bid, 75¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
75¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Brad Keselowski
55.5%
Kalshi 55.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brad Keselowski
- Last price
- 55.5%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 75¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $133 (1.33x)
Daniel Suarez55.5%Not listed55.5%41¢ bid, 70¢ askpolled, 22 min ago70¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $143 (1.43x)Daniel Suarez55.5%Kalshi 55.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Daniel Suarez
55.5%
Not listed
55.5%
41¢ bid, 70¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
70¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Daniel Suarez
55.5%
Kalshi 55.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Daniel Suarez
- Last price
- 55.5%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 70¢
- Sell Yes
- 41¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $143 (1.43x)
Ryan Preece53.5%Not listed53.5%37¢ bid, 70¢ askpolled, 22 min ago70¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $143 (1.43x)Ryan Preece53.5%Kalshi 53.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Ryan Preece
53.5%
Not listed
53.5%
37¢ bid, 70¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
70¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Ryan Preece
53.5%
Kalshi 53.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ryan Preece
- Last price
- 53.5%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 70¢
- Sell Yes
- 37¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $143 (1.43x)
Erik Jones50.5%Not listed50.5%37¢ bid, 64¢ askpolled, 22 min ago64¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $156 (1.56x)Erik Jones50.5%Kalshi 50.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Erik Jones
50.5%
Not listed
50.5%
37¢ bid, 64¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
64¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Erik Jones
50.5%
Kalshi 50.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Erik Jones
- Last price
- 50.5%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 64¢
- Sell Yes
- 37¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $156 (1.56x)
Josh Berry50%Not listed50%34¢ bid, 66¢ askpolled, 22 min ago66¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $152 (1.52x)Josh Berry50%Kalshi 50%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Josh Berry
50%
Not listed
50%
34¢ bid, 66¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
66¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Josh Berry
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Josh Berry
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 66¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $152 (1.52x)
Justin Haley49.5%Not listed49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, 22 min ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Justin Haley49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Justin Haley
49.5%
Not listed
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Justin Haley
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Justin Haley
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Ross Chastain48.5%Not listed48.5%26¢ bid, 71¢ askpolled, 22 min ago71¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $141 (1.41x)Ross Chastain48.5%Kalshi 48.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Ross Chastain
48.5%
Not listed
48.5%
26¢ bid, 71¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
71¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Ross Chastain
48.5%
Kalshi 48.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ross Chastain
- Last price
- 48.5%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 71¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $141 (1.41x)
Noah Gragson48%Not listed48%29¢ bid, 48¢ askpolled, 22 min ago48¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $208 (2.08x)Noah Gragson48%Kalshi 48%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Noah Gragson
48%
Not listed
48%
29¢ bid, 48¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
48¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Noah Gragson
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Noah Gragson
- Last price
- 48%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 48¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $208 (2.08x)
- Volume
- $23
AJ Allmendinger47.5%Not listed47.5%32¢ bid, 63¢ askpolled, 22 min ago63¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $159 (1.59x)AJ Allmendinger47.5%Kalshi 47.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
AJ Allmendinger
47.5%
Not listed
47.5%
32¢ bid, 63¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
63¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $159 (1.59x)
AJ Allmendinger
47.5%
Kalshi 47.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- AJ Allmendinger
- Last price
- 47.5%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 63¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $159 (1.59x)
Michael McDowell46.5%Not listed46.5%32¢ bid, 61¢ askpolled, 22 min ago61¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $164 (1.64x)Michael McDowell46.5%Kalshi 46.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Michael McDowell
46.5%
Not listed
46.5%
32¢ bid, 61¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
61¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Michael McDowell
46.5%
Kalshi 46.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michael McDowell
- Last price
- 46.5%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
Zane Smith45.5%Not listed45.5%31¢ bid, 60¢ askpolled, 22 min ago60¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $167 (1.67x)Zane Smith45.5%Kalshi 45.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Zane Smith
45.5%
Not listed
45.5%
31¢ bid, 60¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
60¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Zane Smith
45.5%
Kalshi 45.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Zane Smith
- Last price
- 45.5%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 60¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $167 (1.67x)
Todd Gilliland45%Not listed45%24¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 22 min ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Todd Gilliland45%Kalshi 45%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Todd Gilliland
45%
Not listed
45%
24¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Todd Gilliland
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Todd Gilliland
- Last price
- 45%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
- Volume
- $38
John Hunter Nemechek43%Not listed43%28¢ bid, 58¢ askpolled, 22 min ago58¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $172 (1.72x)John Hunter Nemechek43%Kalshi 43%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
John Hunter Nemechek
43%
Not listed
43%
28¢ bid, 58¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
58¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $172 (1.72x)
John Hunter Nemechek
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- John Hunter Nemechek
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 58¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $172 (1.72x)
Denny Hamlin42.8%2.6%0.8¢ bid, 4.3¢ askpolled, 25 min ago83%71¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 22 min ago4.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)Denny Hamlin42.8%Polymarket 2.6%polled, 25 min agoKalshi 83%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Denny Hamlin
42.8%
2.6%
0.8¢ bid, 4.3¢ ask
polled, 25 min ago
83%
71¢ bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
4.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Denny Hamlin
42.8%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 25 min agoKalshi 83%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Denny Hamlin
- Last price
- 2.6%
- As of
- Polled 25 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,326 (23.3x)
- Volume
- $26K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Denny Hamlin
- Last price
- 83%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 71¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 4.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 71¢ nets 6670 bps before fees.
Riley Herbst42%Not listed42%24¢ bid, 60¢ askpolled, 22 min ago60¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $167 (1.67x)Riley Herbst42%Kalshi 42%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Riley Herbst
42%
Not listed
42%
24¢ bid, 60¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
60¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Riley Herbst
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Riley Herbst
- Last price
- 42%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 60¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $167 (1.67x)
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.38%Not listed38%24¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 22 min ago52¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $192 (1.92x)Ricky Stenhouse Jr.38%Kalshi 38%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
38%
Not listed
38%
24¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
52¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
- Last price
- 38%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
Austin Hill35.5%Not listed35.5%22¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 22 min ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Austin Hill35.5%Kalshi 35.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Austin Hill
35.5%
Not listed
35.5%
22¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Austin Hill
35.5%
Kalshi 35.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Austin Hill
- Last price
- 35.5%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
Cole Custer32.5%Not listed32.5%15¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 22 min ago50¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Cole Custer32.5%Kalshi 32.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Cole Custer
32.5%
Not listed
32.5%
15¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
50¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Cole Custer
32.5%
Kalshi 32.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cole Custer
- Last price
- 32.5%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Connor Zilisch27%Not listed27%— bid, 54¢ askpolled, 22 min ago54¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Connor Zilisch27%Kalshi 27%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Connor Zilisch
27%
Not listed
27%
— bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
54¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Connor Zilisch
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Connor Zilisch
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
Ty Dillon26%Not listed26%12¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 22 min ago40¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $250 (2.50x)Ty Dillon26%Kalshi 26%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Ty Dillon
26%
Not listed
26%
12¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
40¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Ty Dillon
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ty Dillon
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
Christopher Bell16.4%1.2%0.7¢ bid, 1.6¢ askpolled, 25 min ago62%62¢ bid, 85¢ askpolled, 22 min ago1.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)Christopher Bell16.4%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 25 min agoKalshi 62%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Christopher Bell
16.4%
1.2%
0.7¢ bid, 1.6¢ ask
polled, 25 min ago
62%
62¢ bid, 85¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
1.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Christopher Bell
16.4%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 25 min agoKalshi 62%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Christopher Bell
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled 25 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $6,250 (62.5x)
- Volume
- $4K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christopher Bell
- Last price
- 62%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 85¢
- Sell Yes
- 62¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $118 (1.18x)
- Volume
- $49
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 25 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 1.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 62¢ nets 6040 bps before fees.
J.J. Yeley5%Not listed5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 22 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)J.J. Yeley5%Kalshi 5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
J.J. Yeley
5%
Not listed
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
J.J. Yeley
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- J.J. Yeley
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Cody Ware4.5%Not listed4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 22 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Cody Ware4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Cody Ware
4.5%
Not listed
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Cody Ware
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cody Ware
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Casey Mears3%Not listed3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 22 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Casey Mears3%Kalshi 3%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Casey Mears
3%
Not listed
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Casey Mears
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Casey Mears
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Chad Finchum2.5%Not listed2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 22 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Chad Finchum2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Chad Finchum
2.5%
Not listed
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Chad Finchum
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chad Finchum
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Carson Hocevar1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 22 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Carson Hocevar1%Kalshi 1%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Carson Hocevar
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 22 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Carson Hocevar
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 22 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Carson Hocevar
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 22 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $832
Indicative gap, prices are 25 min old: Denny Hamlin asks 4.3¢ on Polymarket and bids 71¢ on Kalshi (6670 bps). Recheck both venues before trading. See all spreads
Mostly the same bet: one difference
Where they differ
- Trading closes at different times: Nov 8, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 16, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
Show full rule comparisonHide full rule comparison
- Trading closes Nov 8, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 16, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Kyle Larson
- Tyler Reddick
- William Byron
Live prices for Kyle Larson
What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Open on Polymarket ↗Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
Depth · top 8 levels
Loading snapshot…Recent trades
Loading…Kalshi
Open on Kalshi ↗Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
Depth · top 8 levels
Loading snapshot…Recent trades
Loading…What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "NASCAR NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race: Top 20 Finishers". Kyle Larson leads at 88%. Next is Tyler Reddick at 78.5%. $90K has traded across 41 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 16, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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