Combined depth · both venues
Loading both order books…
What the markets expect
Kyle Larson 84%
Next is Tyler Reddick at 50%. The venues differ most on Denny Hamlin (Polymarket 2.9%, Kalshi 48.5%), a 46-point gap.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 5 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Kyle Larson84%94.7%92.9¢ bid, 96.4¢ askpolled, 4 min ago52%51¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 5 min ago52¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $192 (1.92x)Kyle Larson84%Polymarket 94.7%polled, 4 min agoKalshi 52%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kyle Larson
84%
94.7%
92.9¢ bid, 96.4¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
52%
51¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
52¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kyle Larson
84%
Polymarket 94.7%polled, 4 min agoKalshi 52%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kyle Larson
- Last price
- 94.7%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 96.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 92.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $7K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyle Larson
- Last price
- 52%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
- Volume
- $288
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: Buying on Kalshi at 52¢ and selling on Polymarket at 92.9¢ nets 4090 bps before fees.
Tyler Reddick50%Not listed50%43¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 5 min ago50¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Tyler Reddick50%Kalshi 50%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Tyler Reddick
50%
Not listed
50%
43¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
50¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Tyler Reddick
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyler Reddick
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 43¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
- Volume
- $113
Ryan Blaney47%Not listed47%24¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 5 min ago47¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $213 (2.13x)Ryan Blaney47%Kalshi 47%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Ryan Blaney
47%
Not listed
47%
24¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
47¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Ryan Blaney
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ryan Blaney
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
- Volume
- $78
Chase Briscoe46%Not listed46%42¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 5 min ago47¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $213 (2.13x)Chase Briscoe46%Kalshi 46%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Chase Briscoe
46%
Not listed
46%
42¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
47¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Chase Briscoe
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chase Briscoe
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
- Volume
- $42
William Byron44%Not listed44%39¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 5 min ago44¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $227 (2.27x)William Byron44%Kalshi 44%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
William Byron
44%
Not listed
44%
39¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
44¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
William Byron
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- William Byron
- Last price
- 44%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 39¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
- Volume
- $53
Bubba Wallace28%Not listed28%24¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 5 min ago29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Bubba Wallace28%Kalshi 28%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Bubba Wallace
28%
Not listed
28%
24¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Bubba Wallace
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bubba Wallace
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
- Volume
- $17
Ty Gibbs28%Not listed28%16¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 5 min ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Ty Gibbs28%Kalshi 28%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Ty Gibbs
28%
Not listed
28%
16¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Ty Gibbs
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ty Gibbs
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $2
Joey Logano27%Not listed27%8¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 5 min ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Joey Logano27%Kalshi 27%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Joey Logano
27%
Not listed
27%
8¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Joey Logano
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joey Logano
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $20
Denny Hamlin25.7%2.9%1¢ bid, 4.8¢ askpolled, 4 min ago48.5%48¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 5 min ago4.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)Denny Hamlin25.7%Polymarket 2.9%polled, 4 min agoKalshi 48.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Denny Hamlin
25.7%
2.9%
1¢ bid, 4.8¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
48.5%
48¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
4.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Denny Hamlin
25.7%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 4 min agoKalshi 48.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Denny Hamlin
- Last price
- 2.9%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,083 (20.8x)
- Volume
- $26K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Denny Hamlin
- Last price
- 48.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 48¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 4.8¢ and selling on Kalshi at 48¢ nets 4320 bps before fees.
Chase Elliott24.5%Not listed24.5%24¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 5 min ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Chase Elliott24.5%Kalshi 24.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Chase Elliott
24.5%
Not listed
24.5%
24¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Chase Elliott
24.5%
Kalshi 24.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chase Elliott
- Last price
- 24.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
Show 31 more outcomesHide 31 outcomes
Corey Heim20.5%Not listed20.5%20¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 5 min ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Corey Heim20.5%Kalshi 20.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Corey Heim
20.5%
Not listed
20.5%
20¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Corey Heim
20.5%
Kalshi 20.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Corey Heim
- Last price
- 20.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
Austin Cindric17.5%Not listed17.5%17¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 5 min ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Austin Cindric17.5%Kalshi 17.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Austin Cindric
17.5%
Not listed
17.5%
17¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Austin Cindric
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Austin Cindric
- Last price
- 17.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
Josh Berry13%Not listed13%2¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 5 min ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Josh Berry13%Kalshi 13%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Josh Berry
13%
Not listed
13%
2¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Josh Berry
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Josh Berry
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $2
Ross Chastain12.5%Not listed12.5%12¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 5 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Ross Chastain12.5%Kalshi 12.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Ross Chastain
12.5%
Not listed
12.5%
12¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Ross Chastain
12.5%
Kalshi 12.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ross Chastain
- Last price
- 12.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Christopher Bell11.5%0.7%0.4¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 4 min ago44%17¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 5 min ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Christopher Bell11.5%Polymarket 0.7%polled, 4 min agoKalshi 44%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Christopher Bell
11.5%
0.7%
0.4¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
44%
17¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Christopher Bell
11.5%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 4 min agoKalshi 44%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Christopher Bell
- Last price
- 0.7%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $4K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christopher Bell
- Last price
- 44%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
- Volume
- $52
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Indicative only, prices are 5 min old: Buying on Polymarket at 0.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 17¢ nets 1610 bps before fees.
Alex Bowman10%Not listed10%10¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 5 min ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Alex Bowman10%Kalshi 10%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Alex Bowman
10%
Not listed
10%
10¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Alex Bowman
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alex Bowman
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $10
Brad Keselowski9.5%Not listed9.5%9¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 5 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Brad Keselowski9.5%Kalshi 9.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Brad Keselowski
9.5%
Not listed
9.5%
9¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Brad Keselowski
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brad Keselowski
- Last price
- 9.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Chris Buescher9.5%Not listed9.5%9¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 5 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Chris Buescher9.5%Kalshi 9.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Chris Buescher
9.5%
Not listed
9.5%
9¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Chris Buescher
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chris Buescher
- Last price
- 9.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
AJ Allmendinger8%Not listed8%7¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 5 min ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)AJ Allmendinger8%Kalshi 8%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
AJ Allmendinger
8%
Not listed
8%
7¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
AJ Allmendinger
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- AJ Allmendinger
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $14
Daniel Suarez7.5%Not listed7.5%7¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 5 min ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Daniel Suarez7.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Daniel Suarez
7.5%
Not listed
7.5%
7¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Daniel Suarez
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Daniel Suarez
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Ryan Preece7.5%Not listed7.5%2¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 5 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Ryan Preece7.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Ryan Preece
7.5%
Not listed
7.5%
2¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Ryan Preece
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ryan Preece
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Shane van Gisbergen7%Not listed7%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 5 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Shane van Gisbergen7%Kalshi 7%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Shane van Gisbergen
7%
Not listed
7%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Shane van Gisbergen
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Shane van Gisbergen
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $2
Cole Custer4.5%Not listed4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 5 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Cole Custer4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Cole Custer
4.5%
Not listed
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Cole Custer
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cole Custer
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Erik Jones4.5%Not listed4.5%4¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 5 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Erik Jones4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Erik Jones
4.5%
Not listed
4.5%
4¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Erik Jones
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Erik Jones
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Justin Haley4.5%Not listed4.5%4¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 5 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Justin Haley4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Justin Haley
4.5%
Not listed
4.5%
4¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Justin Haley
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Justin Haley
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Austin Dillon3.5%Not listed3.5%3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 5 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Austin Dillon3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Austin Dillon
3.5%
Not listed
3.5%
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Austin Dillon
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Austin Dillon
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Connor Zilisch3.5%Not listed3.5%3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 5 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Connor Zilisch3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Connor Zilisch
3.5%
Not listed
3.5%
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Connor Zilisch
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Connor Zilisch
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Michael McDowell3.5%Not listed3.5%3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 5 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Michael McDowell3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Michael McDowell
3.5%
Not listed
3.5%
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Michael McDowell
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michael McDowell
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Todd Gilliland3%Not listed3%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 5 min ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Todd Gilliland3%Kalshi 3%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Todd Gilliland
3%
Not listed
3%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Todd Gilliland
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Todd Gilliland
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $2
Austin Hill2.5%Not listed2.5%2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 5 min ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Austin Hill2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Austin Hill
2.5%
Not listed
2.5%
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Austin Hill
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Austin Hill
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
John Hunter Nemechek2.5%Not listed2.5%2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 5 min ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)John Hunter Nemechek2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
John Hunter Nemechek
2.5%
Not listed
2.5%
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
John Hunter Nemechek
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- John Hunter Nemechek
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Noah Gragson2.5%Not listed2.5%2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 5 min ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Noah Gragson2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Noah Gragson
2.5%
Not listed
2.5%
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Noah Gragson
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Noah Gragson
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.2.5%Not listed2.5%2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 5 min ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Ricky Stenhouse Jr.2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
2.5%
Not listed
2.5%
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Riley Herbst2.5%Not listed2.5%2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 5 min ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Riley Herbst2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Riley Herbst
2.5%
Not listed
2.5%
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Riley Herbst
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Riley Herbst
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Zane Smith2.5%Not listed2.5%2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 5 min ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Zane Smith2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Zane Smith
2.5%
Not listed
2.5%
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Zane Smith
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Zane Smith
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Carson Hocevar1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 5 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Carson Hocevar1%Kalshi 1%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Carson Hocevar
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Carson Hocevar
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Carson Hocevar
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $220
Casey Mears1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 5 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Casey Mears1%Kalshi 1%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Casey Mears
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Casey Mears
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Casey Mears
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $20
Chad Finchum1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 5 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Chad Finchum1%Kalshi 1%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Chad Finchum
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Chad Finchum
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chad Finchum
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $20
Cody Ware1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 5 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Cody Ware1%Kalshi 1%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Cody Ware
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Cody Ware
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cody Ware
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $20
J.J. Yeley1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 5 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)J.J. Yeley1%Kalshi 1%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
J.J. Yeley
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
J.J. Yeley
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- J.J. Yeley
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $20
Ty Dillon1%Not listed1%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 5 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Ty Dillon1%Kalshi 1%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Ty Dillon
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 5 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Ty Dillon
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ty Dillon
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 5 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $20
Indicative gap, prices are 5 min old: Denny Hamlin asks 4.8¢ on Polymarket and bids 48¢ on Kalshi (4320 bps). Recheck both venues before trading. See all spreads
Mostly the same bet: one difference
Where they differ
- Trading closes at different times: Nov 8, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 16, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
Show full rule comparisonHide full rule comparison
- Trading closes Nov 8, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Nov 16, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Kyle Larson
- Tyler Reddick
- Ryan Blaney
Live prices for Kyle Larson
What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Open on Polymarket ↗Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
Depth · top 8 levels
Loading snapshot…Recent trades
Loading…Kalshi
Open on Kalshi ↗Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
Depth · top 8 levels
Loading snapshot…Recent trades
Loading…What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "NASCAR NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race: Top 5 Finishers". Kyle Larson leads at 84%. Next is Tyler Reddick at 50%. $90K has traded across 41 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 16, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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