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What the markets expect
Layne Riggs 65%
Next is Kaden Honeycutt at 62.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Layne Riggs65%65%52¢ bid, 78¢ askpolled, 20s ago78¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $128 (1.28x)Layne Riggs65%Kalshi 65%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Layne Riggs
65%
65%
52¢ bid, 78¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
78¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Layne Riggs
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Layne Riggs
- Last price
- 65%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 78¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $128 (1.28x)
Kaden Honeycutt62.5%62.5%46¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, 20s ago79¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $127 (1.27x)Kaden Honeycutt62.5%Kalshi 62.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kaden Honeycutt
62.5%
62.5%
46¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
79¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kaden Honeycutt
62.5%
Kalshi 62.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kaden Honeycutt
- Last price
- 62.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
Ty Majeski60%60%50¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 20s ago74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Ty Majeski60%Kalshi 60%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Ty Majeski
60%
60%
50¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Ty Majeski
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ty Majeski
- Last price
- 60%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
- Volume
- $250
Chandler Smith58.5%58.5%51¢ bid, 66¢ askpolled, 20s ago66¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $152 (1.52x)Chandler Smith58.5%Kalshi 58.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Chandler Smith
58.5%
58.5%
51¢ bid, 66¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
66¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Chandler Smith
58.5%
Kalshi 58.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chandler Smith
- Last price
- 58.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 66¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $152 (1.52x)
Christian Eckes58.5%58.5%48¢ bid, 69¢ askpolled, 20s ago69¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $145 (1.45x)Christian Eckes58.5%Kalshi 58.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Christian Eckes
58.5%
58.5%
48¢ bid, 69¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
69¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Christian Eckes
58.5%
Kalshi 58.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christian Eckes
- Last price
- 58.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- 48¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
Grant Enfinger43.5%43.5%31¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 20s ago56¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $179 (1.79x)Grant Enfinger43.5%Kalshi 43.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Grant Enfinger
43.5%
43.5%
31¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
56¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Grant Enfinger
43.5%
Kalshi 43.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Grant Enfinger
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
Giovanni Ruggiero42%42%29¢ bid, 55¢ askpolled, 20s ago55¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $182 (1.82x)Giovanni Ruggiero42%Kalshi 42%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Giovanni Ruggiero
42%
42%
29¢ bid, 55¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
55¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Giovanni Ruggiero
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Giovanni Ruggiero
- Last price
- 42%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 55¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $182 (1.82x)
Daniel Hemric41%41%27¢ bid, 55¢ askpolled, 20s ago55¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $182 (1.82x)Daniel Hemric41%Kalshi 41%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Daniel Hemric
41%
41%
27¢ bid, 55¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
55¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Daniel Hemric
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Daniel Hemric
- Last price
- 41%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 55¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $182 (1.82x)
Tyler Ankrum41%41%26¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, 20s ago41¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $244 (2.44x)Tyler Ankrum41%Kalshi 41%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Tyler Ankrum
41%
41%
26¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
41¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Tyler Ankrum
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyler Ankrum
- Last price
- 41%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
- Volume
- $53
Corey Heim40.5%40.5%— bid, 81¢ askpolled, 20s ago81¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $123 (1.23x)Corey Heim40.5%Kalshi 40.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Corey Heim
40.5%
40.5%
— bid, 81¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
81¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Corey Heim
40.5%
Kalshi 40.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Corey Heim
- Last price
- 40.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 81¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $123 (1.23x)
Show 25 more outcomesHide 25 outcomes
Jake Garcia40%40%24¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 20s ago40¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $250 (2.50x)Jake Garcia40%Kalshi 40%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Jake Garcia
40%
40%
24¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
40¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Jake Garcia
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jake Garcia
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
- Volume
- $56
Connor Mosack37%37%29¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 20s ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Connor Mosack37%Kalshi 37%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Connor Mosack
37%
37%
29¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Connor Mosack
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Connor Mosack
- Last price
- 37%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
Stewart Friesen37%37%31¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 20s ago37¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Stewart Friesen37%Kalshi 37%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Stewart Friesen
37%
37%
31¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
37¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Stewart Friesen
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Stewart Friesen
- Last price
- 37%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
- Volume
- $61
Landen Lewis28.5%28.5%22¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 20s ago35¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $286 (2.86x)Landen Lewis28.5%Kalshi 28.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Landen Lewis
28.5%
28.5%
22¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
35¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Landen Lewis
28.5%
Kalshi 28.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Landen Lewis
- Last price
- 28.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
Nick Sanchez28.5%28.5%— bid, 57¢ askpolled, 20s ago57¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $175 (1.75x)Nick Sanchez28.5%Kalshi 28.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Nick Sanchez
28.5%
28.5%
— bid, 57¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
57¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Nick Sanchez
28.5%
Kalshi 28.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nick Sanchez
- Last price
- 28.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 57¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $175 (1.75x)
Spencer Davis27%27%— bid, 92¢ askpolled, 20s ago92¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $109 (1.09x)Spencer Davis27%Kalshi 27%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Spencer Davis
27%
27%
— bid, 92¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
92¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Spencer Davis
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Spencer Davis
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
- Volume
- $255
Ben Rhodes26.5%26.5%19¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 20s ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Ben Rhodes26.5%Kalshi 26.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Ben Rhodes
26.5%
26.5%
19¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Ben Rhodes
26.5%
Kalshi 26.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ben Rhodes
- Last price
- 26.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Tanner Gray26%26%20¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 20s ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Tanner Gray26%Kalshi 26%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Tanner Gray
26%
26%
20¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Tanner Gray
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tanner Gray
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
Parker Kligerman21%21%13¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 20s ago29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Parker Kligerman21%Kalshi 21%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Parker Kligerman
21%
21%
13¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Parker Kligerman
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Parker Kligerman
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
Justin Haley20%20%6¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 20s ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Justin Haley20%Kalshi 20%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Justin Haley
20%
20%
6¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Justin Haley
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Justin Haley
- Last price
- 20%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $250
Corey LaJoie15.5%15.5%7¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 20s ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Corey LaJoie15.5%Kalshi 15.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Corey LaJoie
15.5%
15.5%
7¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Corey LaJoie
15.5%
Kalshi 15.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Corey LaJoie
- Last price
- 15.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
Leland Honeyman Jr12.5%12.5%6¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 20s ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Leland Honeyman Jr12.5%Kalshi 12.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Leland Honeyman Jr
12.5%
12.5%
6¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Leland Honeyman Jr
12.5%
Kalshi 12.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Leland Honeyman Jr
- Last price
- 12.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Andres Perez de Lara12%12%4¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 20s ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Andres Perez de Lara12%Kalshi 12%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Andres Perez de Lara
12%
12%
4¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Andres Perez de Lara
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Andres Perez de Lara
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
Tyler Reif10%10%— bid, 20¢ askpolled, 20s ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Tyler Reif10%Kalshi 10%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Tyler Reif
10%
10%
— bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Tyler Reif
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyler Reif
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
Mason Massey9%9%— bid, 18¢ askpolled, 20s ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Mason Massey9%Kalshi 9%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Mason Massey
9%
9%
— bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Mason Massey
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mason Massey
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
Brenden Queen7.5%7.5%4¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 20s ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Brenden Queen7.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Brenden Queen
7.5%
7.5%
4¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Brenden Queen
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brenden Queen
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
Matt Crafton7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 20s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Matt Crafton7.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Matt Crafton
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Matt Crafton
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Matt Crafton
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Cole Butcher6%6%6¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 20s ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Cole Butcher6%Kalshi 6%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Cole Butcher
6%
6%
6¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Cole Butcher
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cole Butcher
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $250
Connor Hall6%6%— bid, 12¢ askpolled, 20s ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Connor Hall6%Kalshi 6%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Connor Hall
6%
6%
— bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Connor Hall
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Connor Hall
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Mini Tyrrell3.5%3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 20s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Mini Tyrrell3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Mini Tyrrell
3.5%
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Mini Tyrrell
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mini Tyrrell
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Clayton Green2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 20s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Clayton Green2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Clayton Green
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Clayton Green
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Clayton Green
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Frankie Muniz2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 20s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Frankie Muniz2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Frankie Muniz
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Frankie Muniz
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Frankie Muniz
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Josh Reaume2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 20s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Josh Reaume2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Josh Reaume
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Josh Reaume
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Josh Reaume
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Kris Wright2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 20s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Kris Wright2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kris Wright
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kris Wright
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kris Wright
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Spencer Boyd2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 20s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Spencer Boyd2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Spencer Boyd
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 20s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Spencer Boyd
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 20s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Spencer Boyd
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Layne Riggs
- Kaden Honeycutt
- Ty Majeski
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "NASCAR NASCAR Truck Series Championship Race: Top 10 Finishers". Layne Riggs leads at 65%. Next is Kaden Honeycutt at 62.5%. $1K has traded across 35 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 14, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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