The Prediction Markets

NCAA Football: Team to Qualify for 2026 ACC Championship Game

Closes
Dec 6, 2026, in 32 days
Traded
$69K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
3 h ago
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What the markets expect

Miami Hurricanes 93%

Next is Wake Forest Demon Deacons at 55.5%. The venues differ most on North Carolina Tar Heels (Polymarket 50%, Kalshi 1%), a 49-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Miami Hurricanes
93%
Polymarket 91.5%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 96%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miami Hurricanes
Last price
91.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$27K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Miami (FL)
Last price
96%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
94¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons
55.5%
Polymarket 50%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 61%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Wake Forest
Last price
61%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

SMU Mustangs
35%
Polymarket 50%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 20%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
SMU Mustangs
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
SMU
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Louisville Cardinals
28.5%
Polymarket 46%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 11%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Louisville Cardinals
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Louisville
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Duke Blue Devils
28%
Polymarket 50%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Duke Blue Devils
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Duke
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Boston College Eagles
27.5%
Polymarket 50%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Boston College Eagles
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Boston College
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

NC State Wolfpack
27.5%
Polymarket 50%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
NC State Wolfpack
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
North Carolina St.
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$204
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Pittsburgh Panthers
26.5%
Polymarket 49%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 4%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pittsburgh Panthers
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Pittsburgh
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Clemson Tigers
25.8%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Clemson Tigers
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Clemson
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

North Carolina Tar Heels
25.5%
Polymarket 50%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
North Carolina Tar Heels
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
North Carolina
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Show 7 more outcomes
Stanford Cardinal
25.5%
Polymarket 50%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Stanford Cardinal
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Stanford
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$27
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Syracuse Orange
25.5%
Polymarket 50%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Syracuse Orange
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Syracuse
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$263
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Virginia Tech Hokies
25.3%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 4%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Virginia Tech Hokies
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Virginia Tech
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

California Golden Bears
25%
Polymarket 49%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
California Golden Bears
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
California
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Virginia Cavaliers
23.5%
Polymarket 46%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Virginia Cavaliers
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Virginia
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
10.9%
Polymarket 40.5%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$103
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Georgia Tech
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$590
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Florida State Seminoles
3.2%
Polymarket 9.7%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 1%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Florida State Seminoles
Last price
9.7%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$192
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Florida St.
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$554
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity · AI-reviewed

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Prices on these venues are 3 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Venue prices are 3 h old, so we are not showing a cross-venue spread. Check each venue for current prices. Find markets with fresh spreads

Mostly the same bet: 5 differences

Where they differ

  • Polymarket states a fallback: resolves No if the game is cancelled or the matchup is not declared by Jan 15, 2027; Kalshi has no stated rule for cancellation and its end date is Jan 10, 2027.
  • Polymarket explicitly resolves No early once a team is mathematically eliminated; Kalshi does not state this, but the outcome would be the same since eliminated teams cannot qualify.
  • Polymarket names an official ACC source with credible reporting as a fallback; Kalshi states no resolution source in the rules text.
  • Kalshi rules do not address cancellation or postponement of the game or a failure to determine participants, whereas Polymarket resolves No.
  • Trading closes at different times: Dec 6, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Jan 10, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN
Show full rule comparison
  • Polymarket states a fallback: resolves No if the game is cancelled or the matchup is not declared by Jan 15, 2027; Kalshi has no stated rule for cancellation and its end date is Jan 10, 2027.
  • Polymarket explicitly resolves No early once a team is mathematically eliminated; Kalshi does not state this, but the outcome would be the same since eliminated teams cannot qualify.
  • Polymarket names an official ACC source with credible reporting as a fallback; Kalshi states no resolution source in the rules text.
  • Kalshi rules do not address cancellation or postponement of the game or a failure to determine participants, whereas Polymarket resolves No.
  • Trading closes Dec 6, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and Jan 10, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Miami Hurricanes
  • Wake Forest Demon Deacons
  • SMU Mustangs

Live prices for Miami Hurricanes

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

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Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NCAA Football: Team to Qualify for 2026 ACC Championship Game". Miami Hurricanes leads at 93%. Next is Wake Forest Demon Deacons at 55.5%. $69K has traded across 17 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 6, 2026.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 ACC Championship Game. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 ACC Championship Game (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 ACC Championship Game is cancelled, postponed after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 ACC Championship Game matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ACC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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