The Prediction Markets

NCAA Football: Team to Qualify for 2026 Mountain West Championship Game

Closes
Dec 6, 2026, in 25 days
Traded
$1K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

New Mexico Lobos 50%

Next is North Dakota State Bison at 50%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
New Mexico Lobos
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
New Mexico Lobos
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
North Dakota State Bison
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
North Dakota State Bison
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Polymarket
UNLV Rebels
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
UNLV Rebels
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
San José State Spartans
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 99.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
San José State Spartans
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
UTEP Miners
41.5%
Polymarket 41.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Polymarket
Contract
UTEP Miners
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$340
Trade this on Polymarket
Northern Illinois Huskies
24.9%
Polymarket 24.9%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 49.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $201 (2.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Northern Illinois Huskies
Last price
24.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$201 (2.01x)
Volume
$472
Trade this on Polymarket
Wyoming Cowboys
17.5%
Polymarket 17.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wyoming Cowboys
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Polymarket
Air Force Falcons
11%
Polymarket 11%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
Air Force Falcons
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
4.3%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 8.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
Last price
4.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,163 (11.6x)
Volume
$378
Trade this on Polymarket
Nevada Wolf Pack
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nevada Wolf Pack
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • New Mexico Lobos
  • North Dakota State Bison
  • UNLV Rebels

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "NCAA Football: Team to Qualify for 2026 Mountain West Championship Game". New Mexico Lobos leads at 50%. Next is North Dakota State Bison at 50%. $1K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 6, 2026.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 Mountain West Championship Game. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 Mountain West Championship Game (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Mountain West Championship Game is cancelled, postponed after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Mountain West Championship Game matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Mountain West; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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